8600 N West Ln #33 · Stockton, CA 95210

$69,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 69 Days on market

Built 1970 $58/sqft · 42% below area Est $118k · 42% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.3/5.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Located in the wonderful outskirts of Stockton, This senior 55+ community offers a clean and well-maintained 2-bedroom 2-bath double-wide mobile home that offers comfortable living in a peaceful, welcoming community. The home features a spacious, well-kept kitchen with plenty of room to cook and gather, along with sizable bedrooms that provide comfort and flexibility. A dedicated laundry space adds everyday convenience, while the thoughtfully cared-for interior feels inviting and move-in ready. Step outside to enjoy a tranquil compact yard for relaxing or spending quiet time outdoors. Residents also have access to a nicely maintained club house for all living residents, including a refreshi

Key facts

• Parking
• Built 1970
• Listed 69 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
• Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 3.6% in Stockton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#734 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, amenities A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, crime F.
• Lodi Unified (urban): math 24% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #325 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,779 units permitted in San Joaquin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• San Joaquin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $64,859 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.71% ✓
• Cap rate: 23.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 62.15%
• DSCR: 3.77
• GRM: 3.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $118,225
• List price: $69,000
• Delta: -41.64%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 19 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8600 West Ln #7	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,200 (0%)	14mo	$122,500	$102	88
8700 West Ln #186	0.11mi	2/2.0	1,248 (+4%)	0mo	$85,000	$68	88
8700 West Ln #72	0.13mi	2/2.0	1,200 (0%)	15mo	$140,000	$117	82
8600 West Ln #146	0.00mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,200 (0%)	19mo	$68,000	$57	79
8700 West Ln #3	0.15mi	2/2.0	1,152 (-4%)	16mo	$115,000	$100	73
152 Clearwater Pl	0.23mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,200 (0%)	14mo	$65,000	$54	72
8600 West Ln #25	0.00mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,064 (-11%)	11mo	$143,000	$134	67
8700 West Ln #251	0.15mi	2/2.0	1,344 (+12%)	8mo	$120,000	$89	66
8600 West Ln #19	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,040 (-13%)	15mo	$110,000	$106	65
8700 NW 8700 West Ln #44	0.12mi	2/2.0	1,080 (-10%)	16mo	$110,000	$102	65
8700 West Ln #131	0.15mi	2/2.0	1,344 (+12%)	16mo	$110,000	$82	59
8700 N West Ln #145	0.15mi	2/2.0	1,344 (+12%)	17mo	$115,000	$86	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 65.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.14×
• Total profit: $60,591
• Equity at exit: $10,288

10-year hold

• IRR: 71.3%
• Equity multiple: 9.84×
• Total profit: $170,717
• Equity at exit: $5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95210

• Rents YoY: 7.1%
• Active inventory: 102
• Price-to-rent: 3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,870 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$362
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$393
• Net cashflow: $1,001

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604

Max offer price $69,000

Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,250
• Closing costs: $2,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 23 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
9211 Dalewood St Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	898	$1,495	$1.66	3d	1	0.30mi
1768 Crestwood Cir Stockton, CA	3.0	2.0	1389	$2,500	$1.80	44d	1	0.31mi
1031 Fallbrook Dr Stockton, CA	2.0	2.0	962	$1,695	$1.76	44d	1	0.40mi
7936 Montauban Ave Unit Labs Stockton, CA	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,700	$1.70	10d	1	0.51mi
826 Astor Dr Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	850	$1,400	$1.65	23d	1	0.65mi
718 Bedlow Dr Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	929	$1,250	$1.35	44d	1	0.71mi
718 Bedlow Dr Unit 720 Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	929	$1,250	$1.35	3d	1	0.71mi
326 Sue Ct Stockton, CA	3.0	2.0	1153	$2,495	$2.16	23d	1	0.84mi
326 Sue Ct Stockton, CA	3.0	2.0	1153	$2,495	$2.16	21d	1	0.84mi
7409 Village Green Dr Stockton, CA	3.0	2.0	1141	$2,000	$1.75	44d	1	0.89mi
7926 Diana Marie Dr Unit 7926 Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	900	$1,800	$2.00	3d	1	0.96mi
307 Goya Dr Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	808	$1,395	$1.73	44d	1	1.04mi
6465 West Ln Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	1200	$1,625	$1.35	44d	1	1.13mi
8446 N El Dorado St Stockton, CA	3.0	2.0	1269	$2,300	$1.81	44d	1	1.26mi
7620 N El Dorado St Stockton, CA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	827	$1,538	$1.86	44d	1	1.31mi
6807 N El Dorado St Stockton, CA	2.0	1.5	980	$1,750	$1.79	23d	1	1.32mi
8125 Kiltie Way Unit 8125 Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	800	$1,600	$2.00	19d	1	1.38mi
764 E Swain Rd Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	915	$1,675	$1.83	10d	1	1.43mi
764 E Swain Rd Unit SW-12 Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	915	$1,655	$1.81	19d	1	1.43mi
764 E Swain Rd Unit SW-05 Stockton, CA	2.0	1.0	915	$1,675	$1.83	3d	1	1.43mi
8626 Acapulco Way Unit 4 Stockton, CA	3.0	2.0	1154	$1,895	$1.64	44d	1	1.49mi
8650 Acapulco Way Stockton, CA	3.0	1.5	1100	$2,000	$1.82	44d	1	1.49mi
742 Ponce De Leon Ave Apt 2 Stockton, CA	3.0	1.5	1200	$1,825	$1.52	10d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $69,000 Active 69 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $69,000 Active 68 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $69,000 Active 67 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $69,000 Active 66 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $69,000 Active 64 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $69,000 Active 61 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $69,000 Active 60 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $69,000 Active 59 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $69,000 Active 58 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,000 Active 55 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 54 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 53 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 52 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 51 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,443
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,865
• − Property taxes: −$1,035
• − Insurance: −$345
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,795
• − Management: −$1,795
• − Depreciation: −$2,007
• Taxable income: $11,600
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,784
• After-tax cash flow: $9,224/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lodi Unified
• NCES district ID: 0622230
• Math proficiency: 24% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $57,165
• Composite: 26.84/100
• National rank: #7108
• State rank: #325 of 517 in CA

Livability — Stockton

• Score: 57/100
• State rank: #734
• US rank: #21638

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Stockton, CA
• County: San Joaquin County · 729,570 people
• City population: 332,006
• Metro: Stockton, CA
• Population (ZIP): 41,549
• Household income: $67,991
• Rent vs Own: 49.4% rent · 50.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1817.0

Population outlook (San Joaquin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 796,965 people
• By 2030: 828,849 · +4.0%
• By 2040: 885,611 · +11.1%
• By 2050: 929,798 · +16.7%
• By 2075: 994,578 · +24.8%
• By 2100: 971,291 · +21.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 38% Asian 31% Two or more races 21% White 13% Black 11% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 34%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Russian 1%
• Foreign-born: 27% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 49% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Asian/Pacific 12% Other Indo-European 6%

Political lean MEDSL · San Joaquin

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.9% · Other 3.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -0.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+0.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+12.9 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+10.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -283.31%
• Current HPI: 349.495
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.09%
• Metro: Stockton, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B