3170 Yale Dr · Granite City, IL 62040

$100,000

4 bd · 317.0 ba · 2,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market

Built 1983 9,374 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

ON-LINE AUCTION 3/2/26 - 4/2/26 6:00pm. STARTING BID IS $100,000.00. Don’t miss this outstanding investment opportunity located next to Wilson Park. Situated in a quiet, established neighborhood, the property provides convenient access to walking trails, playgrounds, new public swimming pool, new pickleball, tennis, & basketball courts, and other community amenities. Each unit features a functional layout, fireplace, comfortable bedrooms, and natural light. Whether you are looking to expand your rental holdings or live in one unit while generating income from the other, this property delivers flexibility and strong income potential. The prime location near Wilson Park enhances te

Key facts

• 9,374 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1983

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/317.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 7.0% in Granite City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#623 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Granite City CUSD 9 (suburban): math 9% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #570 of 620 in IL (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Granite City High School (math 10% / reading 12%, grade F, #522 of 693 statewide, top 76%, 1,805 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 59% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $97,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.51% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.63%
• DSCR: 1.96
• GRM: 5.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $210,120
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3132 Harvard Pl	0.29mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,003 (-2%)	5mo	$205,900	$103	59
3124 Yale Dr	0.16mi	4/3.0	1,920 (-6%)	4mo	$200,000	$104	59
35 Briarcliff Dr	0.17mi	4/1.5	1,881 (-8%)	3mo	$159,900	$85	56
3233 Princeton Dr	0.26mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,850 (-9%)	0mo	$199,000	$108	52
3365 Colgate Pl	0.08mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,793 (-12%)	7mo	$184,000	$103	50
2909 Idaho Ave	0.50mi	5/2.0 (+1)	2,012 (-1%)	7mo	$192,400	$96	49
3104 Colgate Pl	0.40mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,812 (-11%)	0mo	$188,000	$104	42
3514 Century Dr	0.47mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,882 (-8%)	10mo	$198,000	$105	37
2918 Indiana Ave	0.43mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,774 (-13%)	3mo	$159,900	$90	36
116 Wilson Park Ln	0.46mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,735 (-15%)	4mo	$72,500	$42	31
2912 State St	0.61mi	3/1.5 (-1)	2,214 (+8%)	10mo	$175,000	$79	28
8 Terrace Ln	0.64mi	4/2.5	2,306 (+13%)	3mo	$275,000	$119	26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 12.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.50×
• Total profit: $13,966
• Equity at exit: $14,910

10-year hold

• IRR: 20.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.63×
• Total profit: $45,662
• Equity at exit: $8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62040

• Home prices YoY: -21.8%
• Rents YoY: 1.7%
• Active inventory: 194
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,514 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$318
• Net cashflow: $505

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875

Max offer price $100,000

Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2426 E 24th St Granite City, IL	3.0	1.0	1600	$1,095	$0.68	43d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-04-07
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-04
   price $100,000
3. 2026-03-02
   listed $190,000 Active
4. 2026-02-26
   historical $190,000
5. 2009-03-17
   soldstatus $123,000
6. 1998-08-12
   soldstatus $95,000
7. 1993-02-17
   soldstatus $85,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,164
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,602
• − Property taxes: −$1,500
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,453
• − Management: −$1,453
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $4,747
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,139
• After-tax cash flow: $4,917/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Granite City CUSD 9
• NCES district ID: 1717280
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 11% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $45,082
• Composite: 9.15/100
• National rank: #9864
• State rank: #570 of 620 in IL

Livability — Granite City

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #623
• US rank: #12751

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Granite City, IL
• County: Madison County · 189,064 people
• City population: 40,404
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• Population (ZIP): 40,404
• Household income: $60,031
• Rent vs Own: 25.0% rent · 75.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 923.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 258,371 people
• By 2030: 251,523 · -2.7%
• By 2040: 233,640 · -9.6%
• By 2050: 213,042 · -17.5%
• By 2075: 165,255 · -36.0%
• By 2100: 123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

• 2024 margin: R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -56.88%
• Current HPI: 204.4612
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.67%
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

+17.6% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-07 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-04 Price Changed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-02 Listed $190,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-26 Coming Soon $190,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2009-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
• 1998-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
• 1993-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $5,388 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.