657 Big Bend Ct #201 · White House, TN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,030
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to Highland Park, where you can finally own a brand-new condo seconds to White House Municipal Park, shopping, dining, and entertainment all for less than you think! Available in October, this 2nd story condo includes: - 3 beds, 2 baths, and 1102 square feet of space - LVP flooring throughout your entire open-concept living area including your kitchen, great room, and bathrooms - a gorgeous kitchen featuring espresso cabinets, granite countertops, a spacious island, and all stainless steel appliances included. .. even your fridge!
Key facts
- Spacious island
- Quartz countertops
- Gorgeous kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $215k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-177 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (11.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (11.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $189k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.4% in White House — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#46 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Robertson County (rural): math 22% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #82 of 139 in TN (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: White House Heritage Elementary School (math 36% / reading 34%, grade F, #316 of 952 statewide, top 33%, 607 students, 0% FRL); White House Heritage High School (math 29% / reading 37%, grade F, #54 of 332 statewide, top 16%, 1,001 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 555 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 30d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 983 units permitted in Robertson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Robertson County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.53%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,585
- List price
- $215,030
- Delta
- -14.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 668 Big Bend Ct #201 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,102 (0%) | 2mo | $227,000 | $206 | 98 |
| 680 Big Bend Ct #201 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,102 (0%) | 3mo | $232,000 | $211 | 97 |
| 211 Hamlett Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,084 (-2%) | 2mo | $208,000 | $192 | 80 |
| 664 Big Bend Ct | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 931 (-16%) | 2mo | $219,670 | $236 | 68 |
| 668 Big Bend Ct #101 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 931 (-16%) | 3mo | $212,000 | $228 | 66 |
| 209 Dorchester Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,194 (+8%) | 2mo | $324,900 | $272 | 57 |
| 420 Wilkinson Ln | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,039 (-6%) | 2mo | $314,900 | $303 | 54 |
| 407 Portland Rd | 1.36mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,146 (+4%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $262 | 51 |
| 304 Indian Ridge Cir | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,285 (+17%) | 3mo | $329,000 | $256 | 44 |
| 105 Sundance Way | 1.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,249 (+13%) | 0mo | $324,900 | $260 | 42 |
| 310 Cardinal Dr | 1.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,215 (+10%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $255 | 42 |
| 463 Calista Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+22%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $189 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-51,569
- Equity at exit
- $32,062
- IRR
- -40.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.34×
- Total profit
- $-80,462
- Equity at exit
- $18,592
Cash invested: $60,208 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 18 under contract
- Months of supply
- 21.0 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $214,990 ($204/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 17 d
- This list price
- 57% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +12.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 37188
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 555
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,913 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,128
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$202
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $-177
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-28 | -5% $-103 | +0% $-177 | +5% $-251 | +10% $-326 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-328 | -5% $-253 | +0% $-177 | +5% $-101 | +10% $-26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-69 | -0.5pp $-122 | base $-177 | +0.5pp $-233 | +1.0pp $-289 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,758
- Closing costs
- $6,451
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 839 Big Bend Ct White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1455 | $1,845 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3015 Seguaro Ln White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1455 | $1,950 | $1.34 | 36d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 110 Cottage Trce White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $2,149 | $1.46 | 16d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 118 Tennessee 76 White House, TN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1077 | $2,060 | $1.91 | 11d | 15 | 0.60mi |
| 212 Dorchester Dr White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,879 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 212 Dorchester Dr White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,889 | $1.45 | 29d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1000 Indian Ridge Cir #1000 White House, TN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1450 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 56d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 130 Maiden Ln White House, TN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,482 | $1.80 | 11d | 10 | 0.76mi |
| 529 Raymond Hirsch Pkwy Unit 207 White House, TN | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1115 | $1,560 | $1.40 | 41d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2940 U.S. 31W Apt O201 White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,770 | $1.23 | 92d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2940 U.S. 31W Unit V208 White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,620 | $1.12 | 92d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2940 U.S. 31W Unit V107 White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,770 | $1.23 | 11d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 111 Calista Rd White House, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,445 | $1.61 | 40d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 111 Calista Rd White House, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,445 | $1.61 | 11d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 126 Madeline Way White House, TN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1072 | $1,679 | $1.57 | 11d | 5 | 0.99mi |
| 344 Madeline Way White House, TN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1014 | $1,975 | $1.95 | 11d | 14 | 1.19mi |
| 3001 Dartmoor Pl White House, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,979 | $1.53 | 30d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 302 Donal Ter White House, TN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1131 | $1,750 | $1.55 | 35d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- List price available (active listing)
- HOA & community
- Association fee approximately $202 (regular HOA)
Exterior
- Utilities
- Central air (cooling)
- Home design
- Condominium / unit (multifamily building)Two-story complex (unit on 2nd level implied by unit number 201)
- Exterior features
- Address: 657 Big Bend Ct #201, White House, TN 37188
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 bathrooms (both full)
- Heating & cooling
- Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Spec home (Chestnut plan)Living area approximately 1102
Listing history 37 events
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2026-07-23days on market $215,030 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $215,030 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $215,030 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $215,030 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $215,030 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $215,030 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $215,030 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $215,030 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $215,030 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $215,030 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $215,030 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $215,030 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $215,030 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $215,030 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $215,030 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $215,030 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $215,030 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $215,030 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $215,030 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $215,030 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $215,030 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $215,030 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $215,030 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $215,030 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $215,030 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $215,030 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $215,030 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $215,030 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,030 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,030 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,030 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,030 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,030 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $215,030 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $215,030 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $215,030 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-08pricedays on market $215,030 Active 7 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,045
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,836
- − Management
- −$1,836
- − HOA
- −$2,424
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$5,745
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,379
- After-tax cash flow
- $-745/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This modern townhouse in Highland Park is move-in ready with a spacious kitchen, two bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a great location with easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. The home's excellent condition and location make it an attractive investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and can be a selling point for potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home feel more inviting and can be a selling point for potential buyers or renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Robertson County
- NCES district ID
- 4703600
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,503
- Composite
- 21.55/100
- National rank
- #8313
- State rank
- #82 of 139 in TN
Livability — White House
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #6984
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- White House, TN
- County
- Robertson County · 72,786 people
- City population
- 18,241
- Metro
- Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,241
- Household income
- $90,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Robertson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 72,786 people
- By 2030
- 74,478 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 76,948 · +5.7%
- By 2050
- 77,618 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 77,545 · +6.5%
- By 2100
- 72,836 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Robertson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.9) · D 24.0% · R 74.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -31.1pp · 2024: -50.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.9 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+35.6 2008: R+31.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.31%
- Current HPI
- 273.1271
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.67%
- Metro
- Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…