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10 Columbus Square Dr
C- Composite 53.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$148,900

10 Columbus Square Dr · St. Louis, MO 63101
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,178 sqft · Townhouse public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1985 1,537 sqft lot $126/sqft · 13% below area Est $172k · 13% under $213/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Downtown St. Louis townhome with cosmopolitan style and move-in-ready appeal. Enter through the private 2-car garage into a spacious home featuring tall ceilings and large windows that fill the space with natural light. The modern kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances and flows seamlessly into the dining area, with easy access to a deck overlooking the beautifully landscaped courtyard. The living room offers oversized windows and a charming wood-burning fireplace. Upstairs, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and sits adjacent to the updated bathroom. The second bedroom is ideal for guests, a home office, or flex space. Located just minutes from the best of downtown St. Louis, including historic landmarks, the Gateway Arch, sports venues, nightlife, and local dining.

Key facts

  • $213 HOA
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1985

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($764/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 27 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $284 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-745 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $115k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,966 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.83%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$171,684
List price
$148,900
Delta
-13.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8 Columbus Square Dr 0.01mi 2/1.5 1,182 (+0%) 3mo $165,000 $140 97
1136 Washington Ave #811 0.41mi 2/2.0 1,133 (-4%) 2mo $169,900 $150 70
1520 Washington Ave Unit R411 0.60mi 2/1.0 1,186 (+1%) 4mo $119,000 $100 66
1511 Locust St #708 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,216 (+3%) 1mo $127,000 $104 63
314 N Broadway #905 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,125 (-4%) 2mo $110,000 $98 61
1136 Washington Ave #502 0.41mi 2/2.0 1,299 (+10%) 2mo $194,900 $150 60
1511 Locust St #302 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,235 (+5%) 2mo $129,000 $104 60
314 N Broadway #1102 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,132 (-4%) 4mo $162,900 $144 60
721 N 17th St #304 0.61mi 2/2.0 1,240 (+5%) 5mo $184,999 $149 57
1015 Washington Ave #609 0.37mi 1/1.5 (-1) 1,334 (+13%) 3mo $174,000 $130 54
314 N Broadway #1703 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,317 (+12%) 6mo $229,900 $175 46
1635 Washington Ave #901 0.63mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,327 (+13%) 6mo $175,000 $132 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.5% appreciation · 5.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-119
Equity at exit
$39,547
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$36,488
Equity at exit
$44,685

Cash invested: $41,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63101

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,517 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $948/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$213
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,437
Max offer price $148,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,225
Closing costs
$4,467
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1115 Carr St St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 747 $1,123 $1.50 4d 13 0.10mi
1111 Biddle St Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 44d 1 0.11mi
1204 N 8th St St. Louis, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0 740 $869 $1.17 2d 19 0.14mi
1300 Convention Plz Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 877 $1,350 $1.54 44d 1 0.34mi
1133 Washington Ave St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 637 $1,292 $2.03 44d 1 0.36mi
1110 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1006 $1,426 $1.42 2d 19 0.37mi
1000 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 959 $1,950 $2.03 2d 24 0.37mi
1209 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 1483 $2,190 $1.48 2d 22 0.39mi
917 Locust St St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 683 $1,305 $1.91 16d 3 0.42mi
1307 Washington Ave St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 1261 $1,485 $1.18 7d 17 0.44mi
1014 Locust St Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1110 $2,070 $1.86 2d 2 0.45mi
300 N Tucker Blvd St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $1,875 $1.85 2d 10 0.50mi
300 N Tucker Blvd Apt 406 St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 834 $1,250 $1.50 14d 1 0.50mi
555 N 4th St St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,450 $1.34 16d 1 0.51mi
555 N 4th St St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1180 $1,775 $1.50 44d 12 0.51mi
1006 Olive St Unit 702 St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 44d 1 0.51mi
206 N 9th St Unit 1306 St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 897 $1,250 $1.39 44d 1 0.53mi
206 N 9th St Unit 712 St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 783 $925 $1.18 7d 1 0.53mi
206 N 9th St Unit 916 St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 914 $1,250 $1.37 24d 1 0.53mi
206 N 9th St Unit 307 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 897 $1,100 $1.23 4d 1 0.53mi
206 N 9th St Unit 1207 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 843 $1,100 $1.30 44d 1 0.53mi
206 N 9th St Unit 509 St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 701 $925 $1.32 44d 1 0.53mi
800 Olive St Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1063 $2,319 $2.18 2d 26 0.54mi
1531 Washington Ave St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 656 $1,609 $2.45 2d 5 0.55mi
720 Olive St St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 1778 $3,723 $2.09 2d 15 0.55mi
511 Olive St Saint Louis, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 2053 $2,700 $1.32 44d 9 0.55mi
515 Olive St Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1117 $3,100 $2.78 2d 26 0.56mi
1226 Olive St St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1157 $1,700 $1.47 2d 2 0.56mi
618 N 2nd St Unit 501 St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 780 $1,386 $1.78 14d 1 0.58mi
618 N 2nd St Apt 409 St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 875 $1,480 $1.69 14d 1 0.58mi
618 N 2nd St Unit 405 St. Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 744 $1,266 $1.70 14d 1 0.58mi
700 N 2nd St Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 654 $1,378 $2.10 19d 5 0.59mi
400 N 4th St Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 1162 $3,160 $2.72 2d 1 0.59mi
618 N 2nd St Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 791 $1,545 $1.95 19d 4 0.59mi
1501 Locust St Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 1002 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.60mi
701 N 1st St St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 894 $1,990 $2.23 2d 8 0.60mi
1627 Washington Ave Unit 202 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1450 $1,625 $1.12 44d 1 0.62mi
1627 Washington Ave Apt 503 St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 44d 1 0.62mi
1635 Washington Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 1135 $1,495 $1.32 3d 4 0.63mi
1405 Pine St St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,240 $1.22 3d 1 0.63mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$213 · $2,556/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $148,900 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $148,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $148,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $148,900 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $148,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Active 50 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    price $155,000 802-char remark
    Show marketing remark (802 chars)

    Downtown St. Louis townhome with cosmopolitan style and move-in-ready appeal. Enter through the private 2-car garage into a spacious home featuring tall ceilings and large windows that fill the space with natural light. The modern kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances and flows seamlessly into the dining area, with easy access to a deck overlooking the beautifully landscaped courtyard. The living room offers oversized windows and a charming wood-burning fireplace. Upstairs, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and sits adjacent to the updated bathroom. The second bedroom is ideal for guests, a home office, or flex space. Located just minutes from the best of downtown St. Louis, including historic landmarks, the Gateway Arch, sports venues, nightlife, and local dining.

  15. 2026-04-16
    listed $165,000 Active 802-char remark
    Show marketing remark (802 chars)

    Downtown St. Louis townhome with cosmopolitan style and move-in-ready appeal. Enter through the private 2-car garage into a spacious home featuring tall ceilings and large windows that fill the space with natural light. The modern kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances and flows seamlessly into the dining area, with easy access to a deck overlooking the beautifully landscaped courtyard. The living room offers oversized windows and a charming wood-burning fireplace. Upstairs, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and sits adjacent to the updated bathroom. The second bedroom is ideal for guests, a home office, or flex space. Located just minutes from the best of downtown St. Louis, including historic landmarks, the Gateway Arch, sports venues, nightlife, and local dining.

  16. 2026-04-13
    historical $165,000 802-char remark
    Show marketing remark (802 chars)

    Downtown St. Louis townhome with cosmopolitan style and move-in-ready appeal. Enter through the private 2-car garage into a spacious home featuring tall ceilings and large windows that fill the space with natural light. The modern kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances and flows seamlessly into the dining area, with easy access to a deck overlooking the beautifully landscaped courtyard. The living room offers oversized windows and a charming wood-burning fireplace. Upstairs, the primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and sits adjacent to the updated bathroom. The second bedroom is ideal for guests, a home office, or flex space. Located just minutes from the best of downtown St. Louis, including historic landmarks, the Gateway Arch, sports venues, nightlife, and local dining.

  17. 2016-09-02
    price $95,000
  18. 2016-09-02
    price $95,000
  19. 2006-06-21
    soldstatus $114,900
  20. 1998-11-24
    soldstatus $67,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$948 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,444 · $120/mo
Expected delta
+$496/yr (+$41/mo · 52.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,206
− Mortgage interest
−$8,341
− Property taxes
−$948
− Insurance
−$744
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,457
− Management
−$1,457
− HOA
−$2,556
− Depreciation
−$4,332
Taxable loss
−$1,627
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$391
After-tax cash flow
$1,155/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
3,130
Household income
$66,678
Rent vs Own
68.2% rent · 31.8% own
Severe rent burden
423.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 43% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.50%
Current HPI
192.0798
Rent YoY
▲ 5.28%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+128.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $155,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $165,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Coming Soon $165,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-02 Price Changed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-02 Price Changed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $114,900 Public Records
  • 1998-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $67,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $948 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…