107 High St · Kiskiminetas, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$45,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice two story aluminum sided home close to river with a covered rear porch, pool w/ deck, shed, 3 bedrooms, newer kitchen, some pergo type flooring and neutral decor. Take a look at this one today.
Key facts
- Raised bed gardens
- Riverfront access
- Rear porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking (1 space)
- Home design: 2-story residence; Resale property
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.22 acres (40 x 238); Vinyl siding
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating
- Interior features: Unfinished interior-entry basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $46k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $46k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Apollo-Ridge SD (rural): math 23% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #425 of 539 in PA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($317 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
- Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $46k implies a 281% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.79%
- DSCR
- 2.95
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,292
- List price
- $45,900
- Delta
- -74.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 Water St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,290 (+1%) | 20mo | $56,000 | $43 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.74×
- Total profit
- $35,230
- Equity at exit
- $20,387
- IRR
- 48.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.53×
- Total profit
- $83,944
- Equity at exit
- $31,225
Cash invested: $12,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15618
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,096 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$241
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $469
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,475
- Closing costs
- $1,377
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $45,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-12$49,900 Active 249-char remark
-
2026-04-02soldstatus $12,043
-
2026-03-02historical
-
2026-01-12price $55,000
-
2025-12-26price $65,000
-
2025-10-27price $72,000
-
2025-09-11price $80,000
-
2025-08-26$92,000 Active
-
2016-03-04soldstatus $5,000
-
2012-02-14soldstatus $15,000
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Nice two story aluminum sided home close to river with a covered rear porch, pool w/ deck, shed, 3 bedrooms, newer kitchen, some pergo type flooring and neutral decor. Take a look at this one today.
-
2012-02-14price $22,165
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Nice two story aluminum sided home close to river with a covered rear porch, pool w/ deck, shed, 3 bedrooms, newer kitchen, some pergo type flooring and neutral decor. Take a look at this one today.
-
2011-07-29$15,000
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Nice two story aluminum sided home close to river with a covered rear porch, pool w/ deck, shed, 3 bedrooms, newer kitchen, some pergo type flooring and neutral decor. Take a look at this one today.
-
2006-12-08soldstatus $80
-
2006-12-08soldstatus $80,500
-
2006-09-26$77,500
-
1979-12-31soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,571
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$230
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,053
- − Management
- −$1,053
- − Depreciation
- −$1,335
- Taxable income
- $5,268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,264
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,364/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Apollo-Ridge SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202550
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,741
- Composite
- 28.83/100
- National rank
- #6654
- State rank
- #425 of 539 in PA
Livability — Kiskiminetas
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,388
Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,513 people
- By 2030
- 59,579 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 52,890 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 45,904 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 32,023 · -48.8%
- By 2100
- 20,415 · -67.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Black 1% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Serbian 4% Polish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Current HPI
- 254.6433
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+206.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $45,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $49,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $12,043 Public Records
- 2026-03-02 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed $65,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $72,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $80,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-08-26 Listed $92,000 West Penn MLS
- 2016-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-14 Price Changed $22,165 West Penn MLS
- 2012-02-14 Sold (MLS) $15,000 West Penn MLS
- 2011-07-29 Listed $15,000 West Penn MLS
- 2006-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $80,500 Public Records
- 2006-12-08 Sold (MLS) $80 West Penn MLS
- 2006-09-26 Listed $77,500 West Penn MLS
- 1979-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,648 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…