Triplex
126 Main St · Lakota, ND
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Key facts
- Four units
- Commercial space
- 6,000 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security:
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential income property (apartment); Two levels
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Stone exterior
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms: 8 total bedrooms; Each unit is a 2-bedroom unit (4 units total)
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Block basement
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $838/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#19 in ND, #3,699 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Lakota 66 (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #39 of 169 in ND (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lakota Elementary School (math 54% / reading 44%, grade D, #65 of 236 statewide, top 37%, 117 students, 30% FRL); Lakota High School (math 24% / reading 64%, grade F, #33 of 144 statewide, top 32%, 67 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Nelson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 66.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 216.00%
- DSCR
- 10.61
- GRM
- 1.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.90×
- Total profit
- $166,244
- Equity at exit
- $22,437
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 27.30×
- Total profit
- $367,413
- Equity at exit
- $34,578
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58344
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,620 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$760
- Net cashflow
- $2,515
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,549 | -5% $2,532 | +0% $2,515 | +5% $2,498 | +10% $2,480 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,229 | -5% $2,372 | +0% $2,515 | +5% $2,658 | +10% $2,801 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,540 | -0.5pp $2,528 | base $2,515 | +0.5pp $2,502 | +1.0pp $2,489 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1.3 | $3,621 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.3 | $1,207 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.3 | $1,207 |
| #3 | 3 | 1.3 | $1,207 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,620 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,900 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $49,900 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $49,900 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $49,900 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 126 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 125 DOM
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2026-05-22price $49,900
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2026-05-09price $79,900
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2026-04-13price $95,000
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2026-01-26$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,440
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,475
- − Management
- −$3,475
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $31,245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,499
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,681/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakota 66
- NCES district ID
- 3810600
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,679
- Composite
- 46.47/100
- National rank
- #5326
- State rank
- #39 of 169 in ND
Livability — Lakota
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #3699
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakota, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,004
Population outlook (Nelson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847 people
- By 2030
- 2,797 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 2,737 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 2,854 · +0.2%
- By 2075
- 3,790 · +33.1%
- By 2100
- 5,304 · +86.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 31% Scotch-Irish 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nelson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.0) · D 33.0% · R 65.0% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: -32.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.0 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
-50.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-26 Listed $100,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…