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46 Amsterdam Ave
B+ Composite 76.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

46 Amsterdam Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,352 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1918 4,995 sqft lot Est $170k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the space and potential this large 3-bedroom home has to offer. Featuring high ceilings throughout, this home provides a spacious and open feel with generously sized living areas and bedrooms. The full, dry basement offers abundant storage space and flexibility for a workshop, hobby area, or future improvements. A detached 2-car garage adds convenience and additional storage options. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property offers solid bones, functional space, and endless possibilities to make it your own. Don’t miss the chance to explore all that this spacious home has to offer.

Key facts

  • Full dry basement
  • High ceilings
  • 4,995 sq ft lot

Tags

HIGH CEILINGSFULL DRY BASEMENTDETACHED 2 CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two garage spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: One-story brick home; Existing/resale condition
  • Construction: Brick construction; Poured foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Partial fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate and varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas-fired baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $619 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.75%
Cash-on-cash
23.06%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,352
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
323 Grider St 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,418 (+5%) 1mo $128,000 $90 81
42 Schauf Ave 0.27mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,281 (-5%) 5mo $170,000 $133 70
231 Stevens Ave 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,268 (-6%) 1mo $200,000 $158 68
51 Sussex St 0.34mi 4/2.0 1,465 (+8%) 7mo $251,000 $171 60
127 Durham Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,550 (+15%) 1mo $216,000 $139 58
316 Wyoming Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,474 (+9%) 8mo $148,000 $100 57
368 Northumberland Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,420 (+5%) 8mo $125,000 $88 55
491 Northland Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,239 (-8%) 0mo $155,775 $126 53
855 Woodlawn Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,303 (-4%) 10mo $116,500 $89 50
102 Carl St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,158 (-14%) 2mo $124,900 $108 48
31 Worcester Pl 0.62mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,452 (+7%) 9mo $105,000 $72 46
226 Olympic Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,223 (-10%) 6mo $195,000 $159 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$16,949
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$50,520
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,651 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $413/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$619

Break-even live

Break-even rent $868
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
408 Winslow Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 14d 1 0.75mi
179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 3d 1 0.81mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 43d 1 0.82mi
184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1496 $3,226 $2.16 14d 1 0.86mi
104 Butler Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.98mi
517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1559 $1,800 $1.15 19d 1 0.99mi
85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1022 $1,000 $0.98 43d 1 1.13mi
140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 43d 1 1.18mi
117 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1105 $2,300 $2.08 43d 1 1.19mi
76 Vernon Pl Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,595 $1.34 14d 1 1.24mi
76 Vernon Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,445 $1.21 14d 1 1.24mi
102 Florida St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,650 $1.27 43d 1 1.24mi
67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 23d 1 1.33mi
67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,000 $1.04 3d 1 1.33mi
97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 925 $1,495 $1.62 1d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $115,000 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 646-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $115,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$413 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,178 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$765/yr (+$64/mo · 185.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,810
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$413
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,585
− Management
−$1,585
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$5,865
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,408
After-tax cash flow
$6,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $115,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $413 · +67.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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