2202 Murdock Blvd · Union Park, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.2/15.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-located Orlando home close to UCF, major highways, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. The property has already received substantial prep and improvement work, giving the next owner a solid, clean starting point with the freedom to complete final finishes to their own style. Key updates and systems include: • Roof approximately 5 years old • City water • Septic recently serviced and inspected The flexible layout and value-add potential make this home appealing to both owner-occupants and investment-minded buyers. Nearby renovated comparable sales support values in the low to mid $300s, depending on final finishes and updates. This creates a clear path for
Key facts
- Strong rental demand
- City water
- Near ucf
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.25 acre
- HOA & community: No HOA/association; Senior community; Pets allowed (up to 100 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces east; R-1 zoning; Property completed
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Storage; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Solid surface countertops; Thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($106/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (25.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $247k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.2% in Union Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#153 in FL, #2,308 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Riverdale Elementary (math 48% / reading 53%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 595 students, 71% FRL); University High (math 25% / reading 57%, grade F, #289 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 2,555 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $330k implies a 327% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.11%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $300,824
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2336 Nansen Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,205 (-1%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $191 | 77 |
| 11504 Churchill St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (+1%) | 24mo | $150,000 | $123 | 66 |
| 2316 Fleet Cir | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,129 (-7%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $310 | 64 |
| 10440 Flowers Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,295 (+7%) | 3mo | $186,000 | $144 | 47 |
| 2338 Vincent Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,373 (+13%) | 23mo | $339,900 | $248 | 37 |
| 11145 Eastwood Dr | 0.70mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 1,305 (+8%) | 12mo | $372,000 | $285 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-60,304
- Equity at exit
- $49,189
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-80,454
- Equity at exit
- $28,524
Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32817
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,470 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,730
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $903/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$519
- Net cashflow
- $9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $196 | -5% $102 | +0% $9 | +5% $-85 | +10% $-178 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-186 | -5% $-89 | +0% $9 | +5% $106 | +10% $204 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $175 | -0.5pp $93 | base $9 | +0.5pp $-77 | +1.0pp $-164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,475
- Closing costs
- $9,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11500 Judge Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $2,595 | $1.86 | 18d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 10420 Groton St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 11501 Bacon St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2211 River Park Cir Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 888 | $1,928 | $2.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1014 Park Manor Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 943 | $1,800 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2515 Long Meadow Way Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,315 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 10945 Tangora St Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $2,225 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9524 Buxton Ct Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,560 | $1.73 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 861 Blackgum Ct Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,450 | $1.91 | 8d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 9619 Bandelier Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $2,365 | $1.58 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2550 N Alafaya Trl Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,800 | $2.07 | 8d | 4 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-01status $329,900 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$329,900 Active
-
2000-02-23soldstatus $77,300
-
1990-07-01soldstatus $63,000
-
1976-06-01soldstatus $26,000
-
1973-06-01soldstatus $23,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $903 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,738 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,836/yr (+$153/mo · 203.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,480
- − Property taxes
- −$903
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,372
- − Management
- −$2,372
- − Depreciation
- −$9,597
- Taxable loss
- −$5,728
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,375
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,481/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Union Park
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #153
- US rank
- #2308
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Union Park, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,014
- Household income
- $80,711
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1798.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 19% Black 10% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 3% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -205.62%
- Current HPI
- 321.7755
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.17%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1328.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $329,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $77,300 Public Records
- 1990-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 1976-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 1973-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $903 · +14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…