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2202 Murdock Blvd
D- Composite 36.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,900

2202 Murdock Blvd · Union Park, FL 32817
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,213 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1973 0.25 ac lot Est $301k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-located Orlando home close to UCF, major highways, shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. The property has already received substantial prep and improvement work, giving the next owner a solid, clean starting point with the freedom to complete final finishes to their own style. Key updates and systems include: • Roof approximately 5 years old • City water • Septic recently serviced and inspected The flexible layout and value-add potential make this home appealing to both owner-occupants and investment-minded buyers. Nearby renovated comparable sales support values in the low to mid $300s, depending on final finishes and updates. This creates a clear path for

Key facts

  • Strong rental demand
  • City water
  • Near ucf

Tags

PRIME ORLANDO LOCATIONNEAR UCFMAJOR HIGHWAYSSTRONG RENTAL DEMANDROOF APPROXIMATELY 5 YEARS OLDCITY WATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.25 acre
  • HOA & community: No HOA/association; Senior community; Pets allowed (up to 100 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces east; R-1 zoning; Property completed
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Storage; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Solid surface countertops; Thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($106/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (25.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $247k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.2% in Union Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#153 in FL, #2,308 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Riverdale Elementary (math 48% / reading 53%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 595 students, 71% FRL); University High (math 25% / reading 57%, grade F, #289 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 2,555 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $77k; list at $330k implies a 327% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $247,032 (25.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.11%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$300,824
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2336 Nansen Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,205 (-1%) 3mo $230,000 $191 77
11504 Churchill St 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,224 (+1%) 24mo $150,000 $123 66
2316 Fleet Cir 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,129 (-7%) 3mo $350,000 $310 64
10440 Flowers Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,295 (+7%) 3mo $186,000 $144 47
2338 Vincent Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,373 (+13%) 23mo $339,900 $248 37
11145 Eastwood Dr 0.70mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,305 (+8%) 12mo $372,000 $285 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.1%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-60,304
Equity at exit
$49,189
10-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-80,454
Equity at exit
$28,524

Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32817

Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,470 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,730
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $903/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$519
Net cashflow
$9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,459
Max offer price $329,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $196 -5% $102 +0% $9 +5% $-85 +10% $-178
Rent -10% $-186 -5% $-89 +0% $9 +5% $106 +10% $204
Rate -1.0pp $175 -0.5pp $93 base $9 +0.5pp $-77 +1.0pp $-164

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,475
Closing costs
$9,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11500 Judge Ave Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1394 $2,595 $1.86 18d 1 0.06mi
10420 Groton St Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,500 $2.08 24d 1 0.19mi
11501 Bacon St Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1112 $1,800 $1.62 22d 1 0.36mi
2211 River Park Cir Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 888 $1,928 $2.17 22d 1 0.52mi
1014 Park Manor Dr Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 943 $1,800 $1.91 24d 1 0.91mi
2515 Long Meadow Way Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,315 $1.93 21d 1 1.06mi
10945 Tangora St Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1353 $2,225 $1.64 24d 1 1.17mi
9524 Buxton Ct Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1476 $2,560 $1.73 22d 1 1.27mi
861 Blackgum Ct Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1280 $2,450 $1.91 8d 1 1.30mi
9619 Bandelier Dr Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1494 $2,365 $1.58 2d 1 1.35mi
2550 N Alafaya Trl Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 870 $1,800 $2.07 8d 4 1.44mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $329,900 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-05-20
    listed $329,900 Active
  4. 2000-02-23
    soldstatus $77,300
  5. 1990-07-01
    soldstatus $63,000
  6. 1976-06-01
    soldstatus $26,000
  7. 1973-06-01
    soldstatus $23,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$903 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,738 · $228/mo
Expected delta
+$1,836/yr (+$153/mo · 203.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,644
− Mortgage interest
−$18,480
− Property taxes
−$903
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,372
− Management
−$2,372
− Depreciation
−$9,597
Taxable loss
−$5,728
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,375
After-tax cash flow
$1,481/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange
NCES district ID
1201440
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,350
Composite
41.47/100
National rank
#3461
State rank
#43 of 73 in FL

Livability — Union Park

Score
79/100
State rank
#153
US rank
#2308

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Union Park, FL
County
Orange County · 1,471,359 people
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,014
Household income
$80,711
Rent vs Own
43.5% rent · 56.5% own
Severe rent burden
1798.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,618,226 people
By 2030
1,787,404 · +10.5%
By 2040
2,125,621 · +31.4%
By 2050
2,454,016 · +51.6%
By 2075
3,173,711 · +96.1%
By 2100
3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 19% Black 10% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 3% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -205.62%
Current HPI
321.7755
Rent YoY
▼ -0.17%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1328.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $329,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $77,300 Public Records
  • 1990-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 1976-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 1973-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $903 · +14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…