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15 West College St
B- Composite 69.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$93,000

15 West College St · Clayton, AL 36027
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,700 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 108 Days on market
Built 1860 0.75 ac lot $34/sqft · at area comps Est $99k · 6% under ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking to move into a friendly small town where friends feel like family then this is the perfect home for you. Sitting on approx. .75 AC flat lot great for kids to play or to install a pool for entertainment. The historic home has had some improvements in this last year. The 14 ft. ceilings offers spacious living area in every room. All rooms are spacious with nice front and back porch. Property also includes apartment 1 BR-1 Bath. Great additional space. Call today to view

Key facts

  • Spacious living area
  • Flat lot
  • Historic home

Tags

FLAT LOTHISTORIC HOMESPACIOUS LIVING AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#453 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Barbour County (rural): math 10% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #133 of 133 in AL (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 95% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Barbour County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $643 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Barbour County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,630 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
14.00%
Cash-on-cash
27.53%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,921
List price
$93,000
Delta
-5.99%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
71 N Midway St 0.24mi 4/2.0 2,800 (+4%) 17mo $165,000 $59 68
8 W College St 0.05mi 3/3.0 (-1) 3,069 (+14%) 7mo $72,900 $24 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$22,950
Equity at exit
$13,867
10-year hold
IRR
29.6%
Equity multiple
3.64×
Total profit
$68,860
Equity at exit
$8,041

Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36027

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Active inventory
213
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,463 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$488
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $383/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$597

Break-even live

Break-even rent $707
Max offer price $93,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $650 -5% $624 +0% $597 +5% $571 +10% $545
Rent -10% $482 -5% $540 +0% $597 +5% $655 +10% $713
Rate -1.0pp $644 -0.5pp $621 base $597 +0.5pp $573 +1.0pp $549

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,250
Closing costs
$2,790
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $93,000 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $93,000 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $93,000 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $93,000 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $93,000 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $93,000 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $93,000 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $93,000 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $93,000 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $93,000 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,500 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,500 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,500 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,500 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 88 DOM
  17. 2026-03-24
    price $99,500 481-char remark
    Show marketing remark (481 chars)

    Looking to move into a friendly small town where friends feel like family then this is the perfect home for you. Sitting on approx. .75 AC flat lot great for kids to play or to install a pool for entertainment. The historic home has had some improvements in this last year. The 14 ft. ceilings offers spacious living area in every room. All rooms are spacious with nice front and back porch. Property also includes apartment 1 BR-1 Bath. Great additional space. Call today to view

  18. 2026-03-03
    listed $109,500 Active 481-char remark
    Show marketing remark (481 chars)

    Looking to move into a friendly small town where friends feel like family then this is the perfect home for you. Sitting on approx. .75 AC flat lot great for kids to play or to install a pool for entertainment. The historic home has had some improvements in this last year. The 14 ft. ceilings offers spacious living area in every room. All rooms are spacious with nice front and back porch. Property also includes apartment 1 BR-1 Bath. Great additional space. Call today to view

  19. 2025-09-29
    soldstatus Closed 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    Experience small-town living in this charming historic home situated on a large 3/4-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home boasts beautiful hardwood floors, soaring 14-foot ceilings, and a spacious family room perfect for relaxation and entertaining. The enormous bedrooms offer plenty of space and comfort. Outside, you'll find a covered two-car carport and a detached workshop, providing ample room for projects and storage. There is also an unfinished apartment on the property, adding even more potential for use as a guest space or rental opportunity. This home is being sold "as is" and offers great potential for anyone looking to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a piece of history with plenty of room to grow!

  20. 2025-09-26
    status Active 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    Experience small-town living in this charming historic home situated on a large 3/4-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home boasts beautiful hardwood floors, soaring 14-foot ceilings, and a spacious family room perfect for relaxation and entertaining. The enormous bedrooms offer plenty of space and comfort. Outside, you'll find a covered two-car carport and a detached workshop, providing ample room for projects and storage. There is also an unfinished apartment on the property, adding even more potential for use as a guest space or rental opportunity. This home is being sold "as is" and offers great potential for anyone looking to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a piece of history with plenty of room to grow!

  21. 2025-09-24
    historical Active Under Contract 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    Experience small-town living in this charming historic home situated on a large 3/4-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home boasts beautiful hardwood floors, soaring 14-foot ceilings, and a spacious family room perfect for relaxation and entertaining. The enormous bedrooms offer plenty of space and comfort. Outside, you'll find a covered two-car carport and a detached workshop, providing ample room for projects and storage. There is also an unfinished apartment on the property, adding even more potential for use as a guest space or rental opportunity. This home is being sold "as is" and offers great potential for anyone looking to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a piece of history with plenty of room to grow!

  22. 2025-09-20
    status Active 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    Experience small-town living in this charming historic home situated on a large 3/4-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home boasts beautiful hardwood floors, soaring 14-foot ceilings, and a spacious family room perfect for relaxation and entertaining. The enormous bedrooms offer plenty of space and comfort. Outside, you'll find a covered two-car carport and a detached workshop, providing ample room for projects and storage. There is also an unfinished apartment on the property, adding even more potential for use as a guest space or rental opportunity. This home is being sold "as is" and offers great potential for anyone looking to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a piece of history with plenty of room to grow!

  23. 2025-06-03
    price $89,000 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    Experience small-town living in this charming historic home situated on a large 3/4-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home boasts beautiful hardwood floors, soaring 14-foot ceilings, and a spacious family room perfect for relaxation and entertaining. The enormous bedrooms offer plenty of space and comfort. Outside, you'll find a covered two-car carport and a detached workshop, providing ample room for projects and storage. There is also an unfinished apartment on the property, adding even more potential for use as a guest space or rental opportunity. This home is being sold "as is" and offers great potential for anyone looking to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a piece of history with plenty of room to grow!

  24. 2025-03-20
    listed $99,000 Active 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (763 chars)

    Experience small-town living in this charming historic home situated on a large 3/4-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home boasts beautiful hardwood floors, soaring 14-foot ceilings, and a spacious family room perfect for relaxation and entertaining. The enormous bedrooms offer plenty of space and comfort. Outside, you'll find a covered two-car carport and a detached workshop, providing ample room for projects and storage. There is also an unfinished apartment on the property, adding even more potential for use as a guest space or rental opportunity. This home is being sold "as is" and offers great potential for anyone looking to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on the opportunity to own a piece of history with plenty of room to grow!

  25. 2022-10-04
    listed $125,000 Active
  26. 2022-10-04
    listed $125,000 Active
  27. 2022-10-04
    listed $125,000
  28. 2022-10-04
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$383 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$383 · $32/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,557
− Mortgage interest
−$5,209
− Property taxes
−$383
− Insurance
−$465
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,405
− Management
−$1,405
− Depreciation
−$2,705
Taxable income
$5,984
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,436
After-tax cash flow
$5,733/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Barbour County
NCES district ID
0100300
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,058
Composite
13.92/100
National rank
#14458
State rank
#133 of 133 in AL

Livability — Clayton

Score
54/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#23745

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clayton, AL
Population (ZIP)
14,981

Population outlook (Barbour County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,533 people
By 2030
23,439 · -4.5%
By 2040
21,129 · -13.9%
By 2050
18,982 · -22.6%
By 2075
14,114 · -42.5%
By 2100
9,180 · -62.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 46% White 43% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Barbour

2024 margin
R (+14.7) · D 42.3% · R 57.0%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: -14.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.7 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+5.6 2012: D+2.9 2008: R+1.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.42%
Current HPI
151.8238
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $99,500 EBOR
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $109,500 EBOR
  • 2025-09-29 Sold (MLS) EBOR
  • 2025-09-26 Relisted EBOR
  • 2025-09-24 Contingent EBOR
  • 2025-09-20 Relisted EBOR
  • 2025-06-03 Price Changed $89,000 EBOR
  • 2025-03-20 Listed $99,000 EBOR
  • 2022-10-04 Listed $125,000 MAAR
  • 2022-10-04 Listed $125,000 WBR
  • 2022-10-04 Listed $125,000 EBOR
  • 2022-10-04 Listed $125,000 SAMLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $383 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…