502 Dixon Ave · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$0 USDA ELIGIBLE!! Welcome to this spacious home offering over 1,800 square feet of functional living space. PRICED TO SELL and full of potential! With 4 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, multiple flexible living areas, and plenty of parking, this home is perfect for buyers looking for space, comfort, and value all at an affordable price point. Inside, you’ll find a large living room with beautiful built-ins and a cozy fireplace, a generously sized primary bedroom, a sunroom filled with natural light, and an additional office space that could easily serve as a 5th bedroom, playroom, or hobby room. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, stainless steel appliances, and a functional layout ideal
Key facts
- Large living room
- Ample cabinet space
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as standard, for sale; Possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: No second mortgage reported; Loan type listed as Treat As Clear
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 covered carport space); Additional parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Video surveillance present
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property; Not attached to another property; Subdivision: Wildwood South; Facing direction not specified
- Construction: Built in 1971; Combination and slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Covered patio; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level with walk-in closet)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Built-in features; Built-in cabinets; Fireplace (wood burning); Smoke detector(s); Two living areas; One dining area; Three total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 485 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $117k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.00%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $230,640
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 436 Mars Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,884 (+1%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $106 | 62 |
| 401 Jann Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,684 (-10%) | 19mo | $208,000 | $124 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,619
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $62,920
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71106
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 485
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,627 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,917/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1021 Willow Dr Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2265 | $1,800 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18price $145,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-14$205,000 Active 1341-char remark
-
2025-11-29historical
-
2025-11-02price $100,000
-
2025-11-02status Active
-
2025-10-01status Pending
-
2025-09-30price $103,000
-
2025-06-07price $118,000
-
2025-05-29$140,000 Active
-
2020-12-21soldstatus $117,000
-
2005-11-02soldstatus
-
2004-10-29soldstatus
-
1985-07-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,917 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,917 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,917
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,561
- − Management
- −$1,561
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $1,413
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$339
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,117
- Household income
- $81,452
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1333.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.48%
- Current HPI
- 124.2416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+28.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Price Changed $149,900 NTREIS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $179,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-25 Listed $189,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-22 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $205,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-29 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-11-02 Price Changed $100,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-02 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-10-01 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $103,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-07 Price Changed $118,000 NTREIS
- 2025-05-29 Listed $140,000 NTREIS
- 2020-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-10-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1985-07-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+16.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,917 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…