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143 Mustang St
A- Composite 84.21
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.2/5.0

$95,000

143 Mustang St · Clinchport, VA 24244
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,187 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1930 0.30 ac lot $80/sqft · 42% below area Est $163k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Are you looking for a weekend getaway close to the Clinch River? This fixer upper is just a hop, skip, and a jump from the water. Walk to the water's edge and drop in your line or drive just a few minutes to the public boat launch to drop in your kayak or jon boat. Home potentially has room for up to 5 bedrooms; however septic records will need to verify actual permitted space. There are currently 3 bathrooms in the home. Roof installed in 2013. Water tanks to the rear of the home were used for campers and will convey with property. No heat pump present. Current method of heat is a wood stove and electric heaters. This home will not qualify for any gov't backed loan. This will be a cash o

Key facts

  • Wood stove
  • Water tanks
  • Public boat launch

Tags

CLINCH RIVERPUBLIC BOAT LAUNCHWOOD STOVEELECTRIC HEATERSWATER TANKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community offers fishing

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One and one-half stories; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Block, brick, concrete, and plaster construction; Block foundation; Built as a house
  • Exterior features: Enclosed side porch; Metal roof; Storage and workshop on the property; Rolling/sloped topography; Has a view

Interior

  • Flooring: Concrete; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heating available: space heater, wood stove, wood; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Concrete and vinyl flooring; Basement with block and concrete construction and walk-out access; Six total rooms; Fixer condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 45/100 on livability (#566 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Duffield-Pattonsville Primary (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 286 students, 78% FRL); Rye Cove Intermediate (math 42% / reading 72%, grade B, #178 of 342 statewide, top 53%, 153 students, 78% FRL); Rye Cove High (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #213 of 319 statewide, top 69%, 279 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 48% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
15.21%
Cash-on-cash
31.86%
DSCR
2.42
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,068
List price
$95,000
Delta
-41.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$24,323
Equity at exit
$39,494
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
3.59×
Total profit
$68,855
Equity at exit
$58,469

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24244

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $243/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,289
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $300 -5% $273 +0% $246 +5% $219 +10% $192
Rent -10% $119 -5% $183 +0% $246 +5% $309 +10% $372
Rate -1.0pp $294 -0.5pp $270 base $246 +0.5pp $221 +1.0pp $196

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
  18. 2026-04-23
    listed $95,000 Active 938-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$243 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$779 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$536/yr (+$45/mo · 220.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,206
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$243
− Insurance
−$6,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,536
− Management
−$1,536
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,804
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$433
After-tax cash flow
$2,518/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103480
Math proficiency
66% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$36,567
Composite
57.65/100
National rank
#1061
State rank
#33 of 131 in VA

Livability — Clinchport

Score
45/100
State rank
#566
US rank
#26657

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clinchport, VA
Population (ZIP)
5,531

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,405 people
By 2030
19,379 · -5.0%
By 2040
17,325 · -15.1%
By 2050
15,464 · -24.2%
By 2075
11,845 · -42.0%
By 2100
8,516 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Black 2% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-27.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -70.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.4 2020: R+67.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.6 2008: R+43.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.39%
Current HPI
192.6919
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $95,000 TVRMLS

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $243 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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