401 W Nebraska St · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into this well maintained two bedroom, two bath home offering comfort, functionality, and major recent upgrades for peace of mind. The freshly finished basement provides valuable additional living space perfect for a family room, home office, or guest area. This home has been thoughtfully updated with big-ticket improvements already completed for you. In 2025, the entire property was upgraded with new PEX plumbing. A brand-new roof was installed in April and includes a 5-year warranty, adding both value and security. The electrical panel was replaced in 2024, ensuring modern reliability, and a new concrete driveway installed in 2023 enhances curb appeal and convenience. With its combin
Key facts
- New pex plumbing
- New electrical panel
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1948
- Construction: Not new construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Corner lot; Terraced/sloping lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (Bedroom 1 on main level, Bedroom 2 on main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood in one bedroom and living room; Laminate flooring in kitchen and main-level bedroom; Carpet in basement family room
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement; Fireplaces: none
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (7.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Peoria High School (math 4% / reading 7%, grade F, #609 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 1,447 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.46%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,678
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -14.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2318 N Flora Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-2%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $117 | 77 |
| 816 W Nowland Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+2%) | 4mo | $74,000 | $93 | 71 |
| 2318 N Ellis St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 842 (+8%) | 3mo | $31,000 | $37 | 65 |
| 2332 N Ellis St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+8%) | 2mo | $24,000 | $29 | 65 |
| 2222 N Ellis St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (-10%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $50 | 64 |
| 929 W Brons Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 736 (-6%) | 2mo | $44,900 | $61 | 63 |
| 812 W Macqueen Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 822 (+5%) | 7mo | $30,000 | $36 | 60 |
| 910 W Virginia Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (-4%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $80 | 58 |
| 2124 N Bourland Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 | 864 (+11%) | 4mo | $83,500 | $97 | 50 |
| 1214 W Brons Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+11%) | 2mo | $34,900 | $40 | 48 |
| 716 E Kansas St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+15%) | 2mo | $26,666 | $30 | 41 |
| 1131 W Nowland Ave | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 880 (+13%) | 0mo | $53,500 | $61 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-6,798
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $25,819
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61614
- Home prices YoY
- -29.1%
- Rents YoY
- 10.3%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,019 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,120/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $89
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $151 | -5% $120 | +0% $89 | +5% $58 | +10% $27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $8 | -5% $49 | +0% $89 | +5% $129 | +10% $169 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $144 | -0.5pp $117 | base $89 | +0.5pp $60 | +1.0pp $31 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2207 N Ellis St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $999 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 903 W Brons Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $995 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 905 W Thrush Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1505 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,006 | $1.92 | 14d | 4 | 0.52mi |
| 812 W Macqueen Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $795 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 511 W Elizabeth St Unit A Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $800 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2214 N Linsley St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $550 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1703 N Valley Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,200 | $1.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2023 N Underhill St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 901 NE Glen Oak Ave Unit 2 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $950 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 911 N Sheridan Rd Unit A4 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $850 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 911 N Sheridan Rd Unit a1 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $850 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 905 N Sheridan Rd Unit F Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 737 E Gift Ave Unit 737 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,125 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3108 N Parish Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 967 | $1,750 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2121 N Prospect Rd Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $802 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 123 SW Jefferson Ave Unit E6W Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,495 | $1.72 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 123 SW Jefferson Ave Unit E15SW Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 506 Caroline St Unit B Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $110,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Pending 848-char remark
-
2026-05-06$110,000 Active 848-char remark
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2021-08-06historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,120 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,808 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$689/yr (+$57/mo · 61.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,225
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,120
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$978
- − Management
- −$978
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$763
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$183
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,249/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,370
- Household income
- $66,924
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1179.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.07%
- Current HPI
- 185.122
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.35%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $110,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,120 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…