The Wilson Plan · Crosby, TX 77532

$75,897

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,191 sqft · Manufactured · 317 Days on market

Excellent condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the Wilson by Jessup Housing—a spacious and beautifully crafted 3-bedroom, 2-bath home from the Elite Series, offering approximately 1,191 square feet of refined, open-concept living. Designed with both function and style in mind, the Wilson delivers everything you need in a modern home—at a price that makes sense. Step inside and you're welcomed by a light-filled living room with an eye-catching feature wall and plenty of space to gather, relax, or entertain. The heart of the home is the kitchen—designed to impress with a massive center island, stainless steel appliances, a farmhouse sink, upgraded cabinetry, and a walk-in pantry. Whether you're preparing everyday meals or hosting weekend get-togethers, this layout delivers both convenience and wow factor. The private primary suite offers a serene retreat with a spacious bedroom, walk-in closet, and spa-inspired ensuite bath featuring dual vanities, a deep soaking tub, and a separate shower. Two generously sized secondary bedrooms and a full bath are located on the opposite end of the home. Additional features include a large utility room with washer/dryer hookups, energy-efficient construction, and premium finishes throughout. If you're looking for elevated design, smart layout, and long-lasting value, the Jessup Wilson checks every box.

Key facts

• Upgraded cabinetry
• Farmhouse sink
• Open-concept living

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING
• MASSIVE CENTER ISLAND
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• FARMHOUSE SINK
• UPGRADED CABINETRY
• WALK-IN PANTRY

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $982 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
• Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 4.8% in Crosby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,121 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
• Crosby ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #369 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1172 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 317 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $66,789 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 317 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.51% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 55.44%
• DSCR: 3.47
• GRM: 3.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 52.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.23×
• Total profit: $47,384
• Equity at exit: $11,316

10-year hold

• IRR: 56.7%
• Equity multiple: 6.20×
• Total profit: $110,458
• Equity at exit: $6,562

Cash invested: $21,251 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77532

• Home prices YoY: -28.6%
• Rents YoY: 1.5%
• Active inventory: 1172
• Price-to-rent: 3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,907 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$398
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$95 /mo · $1,138/yr
• Insurance: −$32
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$400
• Net cashflow: $982

Break-even live

Break-even rent $664

Max offer price $75,897

Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,974
• Closing costs: $2,277
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $75,897 Active 317 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $75,897 Active 316 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $75,897 Active 315 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $75,897 Active 314 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $75,897 Active 312 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $75,897 Active 308 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $75,897 Active 307 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $75,897 Active 306 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $75,897 Active 303 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,897 Active 301 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,897 Active 300 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,897 Active 299 DOM
13. 2025-08-05
    listed $75,897 Active 1337-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1337 chars)

    Discover the Wilson by Jessup Housing—a spacious and beautifully crafted 3-bedroom, 2-bath home from the Elite Series, offering approximately 1,191 square feet of refined, open-concept living. Designed with both function and style in mind, the Wilson delivers everything you need in a modern home—at a price that makes sense. Step inside and you're welcomed by a light-filled living room with an eye-catching feature wall and plenty of space to gather, relax, or entertain. The heart of the home is the kitchen—designed to impress with a massive center island, stainless steel appliances, a farmhouse sink, upgraded cabinetry, and a walk-in pantry. Whether you're preparing everyday meals or hosting weekend get-togethers, this layout delivers both convenience and wow factor. The private primary suite offers a serene retreat with a spacious bedroom, walk-in closet, and spa-inspired ensuite bath featuring dual vanities, a deep soaking tub, and a separate shower. Two generously sized secondary bedrooms and a full bath are located on the opposite end of the home. Additional features include a large utility room with washer/dryer hookups, energy-efficient construction, and premium finishes throughout. If you're looking for elevated design, smart layout, and long-lasting value, the Jessup Wilson checks every box.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,879
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,251
• − Property taxes: −$1,138
• − Insurance: −$379
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,830
• − Management: −$1,830
• − Depreciation: −$2,208
• Taxable income: $11,241
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,698
• After-tax cash flow: $9,083/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This Wilson by Jessup Housing is a beautifully crafted 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in excellent condition, ready for immediate move-in. It offers modern amenities and a spacious, open-concept layout, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior siding and repainting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Updating the flooring with a more modern style — A new flooring style can refresh the home's look and feel.
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to the latest models — Modern appliances can improve functionality and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
• Both Adding smart home features to the HVAC system — Smart home features can enhance comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers/renters.
• Both Landscaping the front yard with a more inviting design — A well-designed front yard can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior siding and repainting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Updating the flooring with a more modern style — A new flooring style can refresh the home's look and feel. ↑
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to the latest models — Modern appliances can improve functionality and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features to the HVAC system — Smart home features can enhance comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers/renters. ↑
• Both Landscaping the front yard with a more inviting design — A well-designed front yard can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Crosby ISD
• NCES district ID: 4815750
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $61,079
• Composite: 35.14/100
• National rank: #5012
• State rank: #369 of 826 in TX

Livability — Crosby

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #1121
• US rank: #19783

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 33,780
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 33,780
• Household income: $92,201
• Rent vs Own: 13.9% rent · 86.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 382.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: White 54% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 16% Black 9%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 24%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 21%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -105.63%
• Current HPI: 264.0126
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.48%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-08-05 Listed $75,897 Zillow