149 Susan Dr · Fort Gaines, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 94.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Home comes fully furnished in Riverview Forest Estates. This cozy, move-in ready, home sits on a half-acre lot just across the street from RVF gated community, offering all the perks of lake living. Enjoy access to community amenities including a fishing pier on the main lake, a beach area with restrooms and grills, and a playground for the kids. This home features a comfortable split floor plan, an open back deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and a spacious yard with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. With annual community dues of only $200, this property offers an affordable and relaxed lake lifestyle—ready for you to call home.
Key facts
- Half-acre lot
- Fishing pier
- Community amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.0% in Fort Gaines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#573 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.89%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $106,341
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -6.06%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $83,966
- Equity at exit
- $89,998
- IRR
- 33.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.01×
- Total profit
- $224,083
- Equity at exit
- $194,084
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36310
- Home prices YoY
- 19.7%
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,461 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $464
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $99,900 686-char remark
Show marketing remark (686 chars)
Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Home comes fully furnished in Riverview Forest Estates. This cozy, move-in ready, home sits on a half-acre lot just across the street from RVF gated community, offering all the perks of lake living. Enjoy access to community amenities including a fishing pier on the main lake, a beach area with restrooms and grills, and a playground for the kids. This home features a comfortable split floor plan, an open back deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and a spacious yard with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. With annual community dues of only $200, this property offers an affordable and relaxed lake lifestyle—ready for you to call home.
-
2025-11-12$109,900 Active 686-char remark
Show marketing remark (686 chars)
Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Home comes fully furnished in Riverview Forest Estates. This cozy, move-in ready, home sits on a half-acre lot just across the street from RVF gated community, offering all the perks of lake living. Enjoy access to community amenities including a fishing pier on the main lake, a beach area with restrooms and grills, and a playground for the kids. This home features a comfortable split floor plan, an open back deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and a spacious yard with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. With annual community dues of only $200, this property offers an affordable and relaxed lake lifestyle—ready for you to call home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,531
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,402
- − Management
- −$1,402
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $4,226
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,014
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,551/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 0101740
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,502
- Composite
- 27.78/100
- National rank
- #6894
- State rank
- #55 of 129 in AL
Livability — Fort Gaines
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #573
- US rank
- #25161
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,224
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,109 people
- By 2030
- 16,928 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 16,376 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 15,778 · -7.8%
- By 2075
- 14,491 · -15.3%
- By 2100
- 12,673 · -25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.3% · R 75.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -50.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.8 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+29.4 2008: R+29.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 39.85%
- Current HPI
- 241.9035
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $99,900 EBOR
- 2025-11-12 Listed $109,900 EBOR
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $103 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…