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149 Susan Dr
A- Composite 80.18
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,900

149 Susan Dr · Fort Gaines, GA 36310
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 938 sqft · Manufactured public records · 220 Days on market
Built 1985 0.46 ac lot $107/sqft · at area comps Est $106k · 6% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Home comes fully furnished in Riverview Forest Estates. This cozy, move-in ready, home sits on a half-acre lot just across the street from RVF gated community, offering all the perks of lake living. Enjoy access to community amenities including a fishing pier on the main lake, a beach area with restrooms and grills, and a playground for the kids. This home features a comfortable split floor plan, an open back deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and a spacious yard with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. With annual community dues of only $200, this property offers an affordable and relaxed lake lifestyle—ready for you to call home.

Key facts

  • Half-acre lot
  • Fishing pier
  • Community amenities

Tags

HALF-ACRE LOTCOMMUNITY AMENITIESFISHING PIERBEACH AREAPLAYGROUNDOPEN BACK DECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.0% in Fort Gaines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#573 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.86%
Cash-on-cash
19.89%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$106,341
List price
$99,900
Delta
-6.06%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
4.00×
Total profit
$83,966
Equity at exit
$89,998
10-year hold
IRR
33.7%
Equity multiple
9.01×
Total profit
$224,083
Equity at exit
$194,084

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 36310

Home prices YoY
19.7%
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,461 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 220 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 219 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 218 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 217 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 216 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 214 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 213 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 210 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 209 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 208 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 204 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 203 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 202 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 201 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 200 DOM
  16. 2026-04-15
    price $99,900 686-char remark
    Show marketing remark (686 chars)

    Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Home comes fully furnished in Riverview Forest Estates. This cozy, move-in ready, home sits on a half-acre lot just across the street from RVF gated community, offering all the perks of lake living. Enjoy access to community amenities including a fishing pier on the main lake, a beach area with restrooms and grills, and a playground for the kids. This home features a comfortable split floor plan, an open back deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and a spacious yard with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. With annual community dues of only $200, this property offers an affordable and relaxed lake lifestyle—ready for you to call home.

  17. 2025-11-12
    listed $109,900 Active 686-char remark
    Show marketing remark (686 chars)

    Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Home comes fully furnished in Riverview Forest Estates. This cozy, move-in ready, home sits on a half-acre lot just across the street from RVF gated community, offering all the perks of lake living. Enjoy access to community amenities including a fishing pier on the main lake, a beach area with restrooms and grills, and a playground for the kids. This home features a comfortable split floor plan, an open back deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and a spacious yard with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. With annual community dues of only $200, this property offers an affordable and relaxed lake lifestyle—ready for you to call home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,531
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,402
− Management
−$1,402
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$4,226
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,014
After-tax cash flow
$4,551/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
0101740
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$41,502
Composite
27.78/100
National rank
#6894
State rank
#55 of 129 in AL

Livability — Fort Gaines

Score
51/100
State rank
#573
US rank
#25161

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,224

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,109 people
By 2030
16,928 · -1.1%
By 2040
16,376 · -4.3%
By 2050
15,778 · -7.8%
By 2075
14,491 · -15.3%
By 2100
12,673 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.3% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -50.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.8 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+29.4 2008: R+29.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 39.85%
Current HPI
241.9035
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $99,900 EBOR
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $109,900 EBOR

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $103 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…