50 N Main St · Austintown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this adorable Austintown ranch, that has been tastefully updated throughout. The kitchen and dining area are open to each other, and the refrigerator and dishwasher stay. New flooring in the living room, as well as new carpeting in the two bedrooms and the first-floor laundry. Back patio with a privacy fence and shed. Move in ready, call today!
Key facts
- New metal roof
- Classic bay window
- Bright living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-59/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (0.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $92k (20.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $92k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.8% in Austintown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#322 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Austintown Local Schools (suburban): math 56% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #290 of 656 in OH (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $115k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.18%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $111,456
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 N Main St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (0%) | 1mo | $107,000 | $124 | 99 |
| 155 N Navarre Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-3%) | 21mo | $80,000 | $95 | 67 |
| 55 S Main St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (-5%) | 19mo | $117,875 | $143 | 66 |
| 250 N Edgehill Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-3%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $137 | 66 |
| 81 S Edgehill Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 | 944 (+9%) | 5mo | $122,000 | $129 | 65 |
| 117 N Navarre Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 928 (+7%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $135 | 65 |
| 121 Westminster Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 918 (+6%) | 13mo | $117,501 | $128 | 65 |
| 48 N Navarre Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+10%) | 17mo | $64,000 | $67 | 59 |
| 192 N Main St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (+14%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $121 | 55 |
| 325 N Yorkshire | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+6%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $159 | 52 |
| 149 S Raccoon Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 948 (+10%) | 12mo | $178,000 | $188 | 40 |
| 292 Idlewood Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 954 (+10%) | 16mo | $114,000 | $119 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-18,976
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-17,035
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44515
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $918 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $955/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$193
- Net cashflow
- $-5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $60 | -5% $28 | +0% $-5 | +5% $-38 | +10% $-70 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-78 | -5% $-41 | +0% $-5 | +5% $31 | +10% $68 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $53 | -0.5pp $24 | base $-5 | +0.5pp $-35 | +1.0pp $-65 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 N Raccoon Rd Youngstown, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $975 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3143 Mahoning Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 478 S Raccoon Rd Youngstown, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $855 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4815 Westchester Dr Unit 31-203 Austintown, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $695 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4815 Westchester Dr Unit 41-318 Austintown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $875 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2624 Oakwood Ave Unit 2632 Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $850 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2929 Roy St Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4222 New Rd Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $835 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2634 Austin Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $775 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4661 New Hampshire Ct Austintown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 795 | $1,125 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-04-02historical Contingent
-
2026-03-01$115,000 Active
-
2021-05-28soldstatus $67,500 Closed 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
Check out this adorable Austintown ranch, that has been tastefully updated throughout. The kitchen and dining area are open to each other, and the refrigerator and dishwasher stay. New flooring in the living room, as well as new carpeting in the two bedrooms and the first-floor laundry. Back patio with a privacy fence and shed. Move in ready, call today!
-
2021-04-13status Pending 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
Check out this adorable Austintown ranch, that has been tastefully updated throughout. The kitchen and dining area are open to each other, and the refrigerator and dishwasher stay. New flooring in the living room, as well as new carpeting in the two bedrooms and the first-floor laundry. Back patio with a privacy fence and shed. Move in ready, call today!
-
2021-04-06$72,900 Active 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
Check out this adorable Austintown ranch, that has been tastefully updated throughout. The kitchen and dining area are open to each other, and the refrigerator and dishwasher stay. New flooring in the living room, as well as new carpeting in the two bedrooms and the first-floor laundry. Back patio with a privacy fence and shed. Move in ready, call today!
-
2009-12-11$17,600
-
2009-11-02soldstatus $30,000
-
2009-10-26soldstatus $30,000
-
2006-05-01soldstatus $58,600
-
2006-04-28soldstatus $58,600
-
2006-01-21$59,500
-
2000-04-06$44,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $955 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,374 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$420/yr (+$35/mo · 43.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$955
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$882
- − Management
- −$882
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$2,059
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$494
- After-tax cash flow
- $435/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Austintown Local Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904829
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,129
- Composite
- 50.99/100
- National rank
- #1778
- State rank
- #290 of 656 in OH
Livability — Austintown
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #322
- US rank
- #5290
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Austintown, OH
- County
- Mahoning · 224,175 people
- City population
- 27,740
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,740
- Household income
- $52,831
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.9
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.64%
- Current HPI
- 228.0895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+156.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-02 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-01 Listed $115,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-05-28 Sold (MLS) $67,500 MLSNOW
- 2021-04-13 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2021-04-06 Listed $72,900 MLSNOW
- 2009-12-11 Listed $17,600 MLSNOW
- 2009-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2009-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $58,600 Public Records
- 2006-04-28 Sold (MLS) $58,600 MLSNOW
- 2006-01-21 Listed $59,500 MLSNOW
- 2000-04-06 Listed $44,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $955 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…