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102 River St Duplex
B- Composite 65.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$299,000

102 River St · Hudson Falls, NY 12839
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,102 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1880 0.29 ac lot $142/sqft · 13% below area Est $346k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

turn key 2 family , currently has a beauty salon of 31 years separate entrance for salon, adequate parking , the owner is the listing agent, high visibility for a in home business , convenient location

Key facts

  • Separate entrance
  • Adequate parking
  • Convenient location

Tags

SEPARATE ENTRANCEADEQUATE PARKINGHIGH VISIBILITYCONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two total residential units

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking for 10 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available for heating
  • Home design: Duplex; Two-story elements indicated by bath locations
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Road frontage

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two-unit property: Unit 1 has 1 bedroom; Unit 2 has 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Total of 3 bathrooms: 2 full baths and 1 half bath; Full bath locations on 1st and 2nd levels; half bath on 1st level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Carpet, ceramic tile, hardwood, and laminate flooring; Partial basement with crawl space and Bilco doors

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $156/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $294k (1.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $290k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#481 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Hudson Falls Central School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #486 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hudson Falls High School (math 87% / reading 77%, grade A, #452 of 1,100 statewide, top 44%, 694 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 82% at this address vs 43% district-wide (+39 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hudson Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $299k implies a 550% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $290,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.48%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$345,572
List price
$299,000
Delta
-13.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
280 Main St 0.63mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,856 (-12%) 2mo $90,000 $48 41
6 N Oak St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,960 (-7%) 20mo $191,000 $97 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$182,779
Equity at exit
$269,363
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
7.24×
Total profit
$522,609
Equity at exit
$580,891

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12839

Home prices YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
16.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,944 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$320 /mo · $3,844/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$618
Net cashflow
$313

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,548
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $482 -5% $397 +0% $313 +5% $228 +10% $144
Rent -10% $80 -5% $197 +0% $313 +5% $429 +10% $545
Rate -1.0pp $463 -0.5pp $389 base $313 +0.5pp $235 +1.0pp $157

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,944

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,000 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,000 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,000 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,000 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,000 Active 21 DOM
  16. 2026-05-09
    listed $312,000 Active 199-char remark
  17. 2026-03-28
    historical
  18. 2025-12-22
    listed $325,000 Active
  19. 1993-03-19
    soldstatus $46,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,844 · $320/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,449 · $371/mo
Expected delta
+$604/yr (+$50/mo · 15.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,328
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$3,844
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,826
− Management
−$2,826
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$1,111
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$267
After-tax cash flow
$4,020/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hudson Falls Central School District
NCES district ID
3614970
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$46,019
Composite
36.57/100
National rank
#4635
State rank
#486 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hudson Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#481
US rank
#8482

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hudson Falls, NY
Population (ZIP)
13,618

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,576 people
By 2030
57,618 · -3.3%
By 2040
52,751 · -11.5%
By 2050
47,514 · -20.2%
By 2075
35,690 · -40.1%
By 2100
24,807 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 5% Estonian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -21.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+20.2 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 25.92%
Current HPI
331.6315
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+550.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $299,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $312,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-03-28 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $325,000 Global MLS
  • 1993-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,844 · +16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…