CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3535 Linda Vista Dr #144 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

3535 Linda Vista Dr #144 · San Marcos, CA 92078
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,128 sqft · Manufactured · 77 Days on market
Built 1973 2,700 sqft lot $222/sqft · 21% below area Est $318k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this cute and affordable home located in a desirable 55+ resort-style community with city rent control and an abundance of amenities! This charming residence offers an exceptional value with no property taxes (home remains on HCD registration), making it an ideal option for cost-conscious buyers seeking comfort and lifestyle. Space rent is $700.73/month and is under city rent control, adding to the home’s long-term affordability. The home features an updated kitchen, along with major system upgrades including a newer roof (2021), newer A/C and furnace, and a newer 50-gallon water heater—providing peace of mind for years to come. Inside, you’ll find a light, bright, and cheerful interior that creates a warm and welcoming atmosphere throughout. Enjoy your morning coffee or unwind in the evenings on the screened-in porch, while the spacious backyard offers room for gardening, pets, or outdoor relaxation. Located in the highly sought-after Rancho Vallecitos community, residents enjoy a true resort lifestyle with beautifully maintained grounds, scenic views, and a vibrant social atmosphere. Amenities include a clubhouse, pool & spa, fitness center, library, billiards room, card and game rooms, craft room, putting green, dog park, and RV parking (available for an additional fee). Don’t miss this opportunity to own in one of Southern California’s most desirable manufactured home communities!

Key facts

  • Screened-in porch
  • Spacious backyard
  • Newer roof

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENNEWER ROOFNEWER A/CNEWER WATER HEATERSCREENED-IN PORCHSPACIOUS BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $249,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$317,822) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $915 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 2.5% in San Marcos — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#80 in CA, #3,074 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, cost of living F.
  • San Marcos Unified (suburban): math 52% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #249 of 1,400 in CA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 232 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $234,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.69%
Cash-on-cash
15.69%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$317,822
List price
$249,900
Delta
-21.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
650 S Rancho Santa Fe Rd #118 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,153 (+2%) 2mo $213,000 $185 77
3535 Linda Vista Dr #12 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+11%) 7mo $265,000 $212 76
3535 Linda Vista Dr #176 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+11%) 7mo $315,000 $252 76
3535 Linda Vista Dr #198 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+11%) 8mo $375,000 $300 75
650 S Rancho Santa Fe Rd #50 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+2%) 12mo $405,000 $352 69
650 S Rancho Santa Fe Rd #54 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+11%) 2mo $260,000 $208 63
650 S Rancho Santa Fe Rd #124 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,249 (+11%) 7mo $395,000 $316 58
2010 W San Marcos Blvd #93 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,200 (+6%) 4mo $568,000 $473 57
1930 W San Marcos Blvd #224 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+11%) 11mo $369,000 $296 56
650 S Rancho Santa Fe RD 44 Rd #44 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+11%) 11mo $299,000 $240 55
2010 W San Marcos Blvd #166 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,288 (+14%) 5mo $788,000 $612 43
2010 W San Marcos Blvd #23 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,288 (+14%) 9mo $555,000 $431 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$9,155
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$49,422
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92078

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
232
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,344 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,748/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$702
Net cashflow
$915

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,186
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3919 Las Cruces Ave San Marcos, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $3,200 $2.91 5d 1 0.31mi
658 Las Flores Dr San Marcos, CA 3.0 1.0 1284 $3,650 $2.84 44d 1 0.32mi
3815 La Rosa Dr San Marcos, CA 3.0 1.0 1014 $3,700 $3.65 12d 1 0.39mi
3834 La Rosa Dr Unit A San Marcos, CA 2.0 1.0 1014 $4,200 $4.14 44d 1 0.44mi
2010 W San Marcos Blvd San Marcos, CA 2.0 2.0 1288 $4,000 $3.11 44d 1 0.53mi
1643 Rue de Valle San Marcos, CA 2.0 1.5 1086 $3,222 $2.97 18d 1 0.53mi
830 S Rancho Santa Fe Rd San Marcos, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 826 $3,150 $3.81 2d 5 0.58mi
603 Beverly Pl San Marcos, CA 2.0 1.5 1068 $3,150 $2.95 44d 1 0.61mi
910 S Rancho Santa Fe Rd Unit 1 San Marcos, CA 2.0 2.0 950 $2,900 $3.05 24d 1 0.70mi
1635 Creek St San Marcos, CA 1.0–2.0 2.0 1047 $3,450 $3.29 15d 3 0.74mi
1029 Martina Ct San Marcos, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,995 $2.50 44d 1 1.00mi
941 La Fiesta Way San Marcos, CA 1.0 1.0 720 $2,550 $3.54 44d 1 1.01mi
1241 W San Marcos Blvd San Marcos, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 883 $2,400 $2.72 44d 1 1.06mi
420 Smilax Rd San Marcos, CA 2.0 2.0 896 $2,445 $2.73 3d 3 1.07mi
1560 Circa Del Lago Unit D304 San Marcos, CA 2.0 2.0 1030 $4,500 $4.37 24d 1 1.12mi
1560 Circa Del Lago Unit D302 San Marcos, CA 2.0 2.0 1030 $4,500 $4.37 44d 1 1.12mi
320 Smilax Rd San Marcos, CA 2.0 1.0 875 $2,675 $3.06 24d 1 1.31mi
320 Smilax Rd San Marcos, CA 2.0 1.0 875 $2,675 $3.06 44d 1 1.31mi
300 Smilax Rd Unit 11 San Marcos, CA 2.0 1.0 875 $2,675 $3.06 24d 1 1.31mi
266 Avenida de Suerte San Marcos, CA 3.0 2.0 1132 $3,495 $3.09 22d 1 1.32mi
1257 Armorlite Dr San Marcos, CA 2.0 1.0–2.5 1189 $4,330 $3.64 2d 24 1.32mi
920 Sycamore Ave Vista, CA 2.0 2.0 950 $2,675 $2.82 3d 1 1.35mi
221 Smilax Rd Vista, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 855 $2,799 $3.27 2d 8 1.39mi
1045 Armorlite Dr San Marcos, CA 2.0 1.0–3.0 902 $3,398 $3.77 2d 16 1.50mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,900 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,900 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,900 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    price $249,900 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $259,900 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,900 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,900 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $259,900 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $259,900 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,900 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,900 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,900 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $259,900 1455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1455 chars)

    Welcome to this cute and affordable home located in a desirable 55+ resort-style community with city rent control and an abundance of amenities! This charming residence offers an exceptional value with no property taxes (home remains on HCD registration), making it an ideal option for cost-conscious buyers seeking comfort and lifestyle. Space rent is $700.73/month and is under city rent control, adding to the home’s long-term affordability. The home features an updated kitchen, along with major system upgrades including a newer roof (2021), newer A/C and furnace, and a newer 50-gallon water heater—providing peace of mind for years to come. Inside, you’ll find a light, bright, and cheerful interior that creates a warm and welcoming atmosphere throughout. Enjoy your morning coffee or unwind in the evenings on the screened-in porch, while the spacious backyard offers room for gardening, pets, or outdoor relaxation. Located in the highly sought-after Rancho Vallecitos community, residents enjoy a true resort lifestyle with beautifully maintained grounds, scenic views, and a vibrant social atmosphere. Amenities include a clubhouse, pool & spa, fitness center, library, billiards room, card and game rooms, craft room, putting green, dog park, and RV parking (available for an additional fee). Don’t miss this opportunity to own in one of Southern California’s most desirable manufactured home communities!

  16. 2026-04-02
    listed $289,900 Active 1455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1455 chars)

    Welcome to this cute and affordable home located in a desirable 55+ resort-style community with city rent control and an abundance of amenities! This charming residence offers an exceptional value with no property taxes (home remains on HCD registration), making it an ideal option for cost-conscious buyers seeking comfort and lifestyle. Space rent is $700.73/month and is under city rent control, adding to the home’s long-term affordability. The home features an updated kitchen, along with major system upgrades including a newer roof (2021), newer A/C and furnace, and a newer 50-gallon water heater—providing peace of mind for years to come. Inside, you’ll find a light, bright, and cheerful interior that creates a warm and welcoming atmosphere throughout. Enjoy your morning coffee or unwind in the evenings on the screened-in porch, while the spacious backyard offers room for gardening, pets, or outdoor relaxation. Located in the highly sought-after Rancho Vallecitos community, residents enjoy a true resort lifestyle with beautifully maintained grounds, scenic views, and a vibrant social atmosphere. Amenities include a clubhouse, pool & spa, fitness center, library, billiards room, card and game rooms, craft room, putting green, dog park, and RV parking (available for an additional fee). Don’t miss this opportunity to own in one of Southern California’s most desirable manufactured home communities!

  17. 2010-02-28
    historical
  18. 2010-02-28
    historical
  19. 2009-11-28
    listed $29,999
  20. 2009-11-28
    listed $29,999

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,134
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$3,748
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,211
− Management
−$3,211
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable income
$7,446
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,787
After-tax cash flow
$9,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Marcos Unified
NCES district ID
0634880
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$64,752
Composite
53.67/100
National rank
#3093
State rank
#249 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Marcos

Score
77/100
State rank
#80
US rank
#3074

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Marcos, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
100,940
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
53,605
Household income
$120,268
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
1594.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 17% Asian 10% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -351.55%
Current HPI
358.3294
Rent YoY
▲ 0.35%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+766.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $259,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $289,900 CRMLS
  • 2010-02-28 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2010-02-28 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2009-11-28 Listed $29,999 SDMLS
  • 2009-11-28 Listed $29,999 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…