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403 Bridle Path
D- Composite 39.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

403 Bridle Path · Grand Blanc, MI 48439
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 1995 Fair condition $22/sqft · 17% above area Est $30k · 17% over ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Your Dream Log Cabin–Style Retreat Awaits! Step into the cozy charm you’ve always dreamed of with this beautiful log cabin–style manufactured home that perfectly blends rustic character with modern comfort. The inviting eat-in kitchen features gorgeous cabinetry and countertops, creating the perfect space for cooking, dining, and gathering with family and friends. Your primary bedroom retreat offers a private full bathroom along with his-and-hers closets, giving you both comfort and plenty of storage space. The heart of the home is the spacious living room, highlighted by stunning natural wood trim and a large stone fireplace with a natural wood-burning fire — the perfect place to relax and cozy up on those chilly evenings. You’ll also love the rare, spacious mudroom, ideal for keeping coats, boots, and everyday messes neatly tucked away during Michigan winters. A dedicated laundry area with appliances included adds extra convenience and peace of mind. Versatility makes this home even more special: Enjoy all the amenities of park living, or move the home to your own property and create the peaceful “up north” getaway you’ve always imagined. Seller is highly motivated — bring your offers!

Key facts

  • His-and-hers closets
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Natural wood trim

Tags

LOG CABIN STYLEEAT-IN KITCHENPRIVATE FULL BATHROOMHIS-AND-HERS CLOSETSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMNATURAL WOOD TRIM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in GRAND BLANC CROSSING subdivision
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Community clubhouse, fitness center, pool, park, playground, and street lights; Grounds maintenance included

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Shared septic
  • Home design: Manufactured home; One-level layout; Log construction
  • Construction: Log construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Community pool; Pets allowed (cats and dogs); Paved road with public maintenance

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High-speed internet; Total of 9 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $942 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Cap rate 38.6% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Blanc — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#56 in MI, #1,077 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Grand Blanc Community Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #149 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 435 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $35,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.28%
Cap rate
38.60%
Cash-on-cash
115.38%
DSCR
6.13
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$30,000
List price
$35,000
Delta
16.67%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
403 Bridle Path 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,600 (0%) 1mo $30,000 $19 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.15×
Total profit
$60,300
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.94×
Total profit
$156,206
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48439

Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
435
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,499 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $525/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$942

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $966 -5% $954 +0% $942 +5% $930 +10% $918
Rent -10% $824 -5% $883 +0% $942 +5% $1,002 +10% $1,061
Rate -1.0pp $960 -0.5pp $951 base $942 +0.5pp $933 +1.0pp $924

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11661 Hawthorne Glen Dr Grand Blanc, MI 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 44d 1 0.52mi
8225 Embury Rd Grand Blanc, MI 2.0–4.0 2.0 1368 $1,399 $1.02 14d 1 0.71mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 1242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1261 chars)

    Your Dream Log Cabin–Style Retreat Awaits! Step into the cozy charm you’ve always dreamed of with this beautiful log cabin–style manufactured home that perfectly blends rustic character with modern comfort. The inviting eat-in kitchen features gorgeous cabinetry and countertops, creating the perfect space for cooking, dining, and gathering with family and friends. Your primary bedroom retreat offers a private full bathroom along with his-and-hers closets, giving you both comfort and plenty of storage space. The heart of the home is the spacious living room, highlighted by stunning natural wood trim and a large stone fireplace with a natural wood-burning fire — the perfect place to relax and cozy up on those chilly evenings. You’ll also love the rare, spacious mudroom, ideal for keeping coats, boots, and everyday messes neatly tucked away during Michigan winters. A dedicated laundry area with appliances included adds extra convenience and peace of mind. Versatility makes this home even more special: Enjoy all the amenities of park living, or move the home to your own property and create the peaceful “up north” getaway you’ve always imagined. Seller is highly motivated — bring your offers!

  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 1261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1261 chars)

    Your Dream Log Cabin–Style Retreat Awaits! Step into the cozy charm you’ve always dreamed of with this beautiful log cabin–style manufactured home that perfectly blends rustic character with modern comfort. The inviting eat-in kitchen features gorgeous cabinetry and countertops, creating the perfect space for cooking, dining, and gathering with family and friends. Your primary bedroom retreat offers a private full bathroom along with his-and-hers closets, giving you both comfort and plenty of storage space. The heart of the home is the spacious living room, highlighted by stunning natural wood trim and a large stone fireplace with a natural wood-burning fire — the perfect place to relax and cozy up on those chilly evenings. You’ll also love the rare, spacious mudroom, ideal for keeping coats, boots, and everyday messes neatly tucked away during Michigan winters. A dedicated laundry area with appliances included adds extra convenience and peace of mind. Versatility makes this home even more special: Enjoy all the amenities of park living, or move the home to your own property and create the peaceful “up north” getaway you’ve always imagined. Seller is highly motivated — bring your offers!

  3. 2026-04-30
    listed $35,000 Active 1242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1261 chars)

    Your Dream Log Cabin–Style Retreat Awaits! Step into the cozy charm you’ve always dreamed of with this beautiful log cabin–style manufactured home that perfectly blends rustic character with modern comfort. The inviting eat-in kitchen features gorgeous cabinetry and countertops, creating the perfect space for cooking, dining, and gathering with family and friends. Your primary bedroom retreat offers a private full bathroom along with his-and-hers closets, giving you both comfort and plenty of storage space. The heart of the home is the spacious living room, highlighted by stunning natural wood trim and a large stone fireplace with a natural wood-burning fire — the perfect place to relax and cozy up on those chilly evenings. You’ll also love the rare, spacious mudroom, ideal for keeping coats, boots, and everyday messes neatly tucked away during Michigan winters. A dedicated laundry area with appliances included adds extra convenience and peace of mind. Versatility makes this home even more special: Enjoy all the amenities of park living, or move the home to your own property and create the peaceful “up north” getaway you’ve always imagined. Seller is highly motivated — bring your offers!

  4. 2026-04-30
    listed $35,000 Active 1261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1261 chars)

    Your Dream Log Cabin–Style Retreat Awaits! Step into the cozy charm you’ve always dreamed of with this beautiful log cabin–style manufactured home that perfectly blends rustic character with modern comfort. The inviting eat-in kitchen features gorgeous cabinetry and countertops, creating the perfect space for cooking, dining, and gathering with family and friends. Your primary bedroom retreat offers a private full bathroom along with his-and-hers closets, giving you both comfort and plenty of storage space. The heart of the home is the spacious living room, highlighted by stunning natural wood trim and a large stone fireplace with a natural wood-burning fire — the perfect place to relax and cozy up on those chilly evenings. You’ll also love the rare, spacious mudroom, ideal for keeping coats, boots, and everyday messes neatly tucked away during Michigan winters. A dedicated laundry area with appliances included adds extra convenience and peace of mind. Versatility makes this home even more special: Enjoy all the amenities of park living, or move the home to your own property and create the peaceful “up north” getaway you’ve always imagined. Seller is highly motivated — bring your offers!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,987
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$525
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,439
− Management
−$1,439
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$11,431
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,743
After-tax cash flow
$8,564/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathroom, and improve the overall appearance and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — standard and functional

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen
  • Resale renovate bathroom — improving the primary bathroom
  • Both landscaping — enhancing curb appeal and increasing property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · standard and functional Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $3,500–18,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen
  • Resale renovate bathroom — improving the primary bathroom
  • Both landscaping — enhancing curb appeal and increasing property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Blanc Community Schools
NCES district ID
2616350
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$59,691
Composite
38.24/100
National rank
#4243
State rank
#149 of 540 in MI

Livability — Grand Blanc

Score
82/100
State rank
#56
US rank
#1077

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
51,900
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
51,900
Household income
$88,490
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
864.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -193.17%
Current HPI
216.3543
Rent YoY
▲ 6.79%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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