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202 N Mabel St
C- Composite 53.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$135,000

202 N Mabel St · Bunkie, LA 71322
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,590 sqft · SingleFamily · 7 Days on market
Built 1979 9,147 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Imagine a home where everyone finally has their own space. Nestled in the heart of Bunkie, this charming 4-bedroom residence combines small-town tranquility with a layout designed for modern living. From quiet morning coffees in the eat-in kitchen to movie nights in the cozy den, this is more than just a house--it's the backdrop for your family's next great chapter. Don't miss your chance to view this versatile, move-in-ready space in the heart of Bunkie--where comfort meets value and your front door is waiting! Schedule your private showing today.

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1979

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#267 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Avoyelles Parish (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Avoyelles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Avoyelles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $87k; list at $135k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,318 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.81%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$28,620
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 E Commercial St 0.63mi 4/1.5 1,700 (+7%) 2mo $30,000 $18 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$18,434
Equity at exit
$52,787
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$61,739
Equity at exit
$75,663

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71322

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $891/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,061
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-03-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-17
    listed $135,000 Active
  3. 2025-08-23
    listed $135,000 Active
  4. 2022-03-18
    listed $97,500
  5. 2021-12-27
    listed $50,000
  6. 2013-07-09
    soldstatus $87,000
  7. 2006-03-22
    soldstatus
  8. 2006-03-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$891 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$891 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,038
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$891
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,203
− Management
−$1,203
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$424
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$102
After-tax cash flow
$1,920/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Avoyelles Parish
NCES district ID
2200150
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -29.00%
Median HH income
$33,891
Composite
21.32/100
National rank
#8378
State rank
#56 of 98 in LA

Livability — Bunkie

Score
59/100
State rank
#267
US rank
#19665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bunkie, LA
Population (ZIP)
5,257

Population outlook (Avoyelles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,084 people
By 2030
37,784 · -3.3%
By 2040
35,049 · -10.3%
By 2050
32,225 · -17.5%
By 2075
25,695 · -34.3%
By 2100
18,985 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 43% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Avoyelles

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-20.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.94%
Current HPI
82.0658
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-08-23 Listed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2022-03-18 Listed $97,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2021-12-27 Listed $50,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2013-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 2006-03-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-03-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $891 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…