14901 Emory Rd · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 3 bedroom 2 full bath, open kitchen flows into den area , beautiful laminate floor. Fence backyard and single car garage
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1979
- Listed 36 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing is marked as human-modified
- Financial info: No financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA details provided
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; Off-street parking
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: One-story; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: City lot; Rectangular lot (approximate dimensions 46 x 90)
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: No bedroom-specific details provided
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Very good condition
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliance details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $125k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.64%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,978
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -4.56%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7633 Stonewood St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,267 (-0%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $99 | 80 |
| 14737 Emory Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+6%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $108 | 79 |
| 8016 W Little Woods Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (-2%) | 20mo | $70,000 | $56 | 71 |
| 7562 Forum Blvd | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+8%) | 1mo | $98,000 | $71 | 70 |
| 7500 Avon Park Blvd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,238 (-3%) | 15mo | $80,000 | $65 | 66 |
| 7663 Stonewood St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (+8%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $65 | 63 |
| 14516 Tilbury Rd | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,316 (+4%) | 23mo | $115,000 | $87 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-4,700
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $16,019
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70128
- Home prices YoY
- -5.9%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,418 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,227/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $244
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14900 Curran Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1221 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 7808 Sun St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 14724 Emory Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 7843 Sail St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 7825 Star St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,250 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 7849 Sail St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 7851 Sail St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 14530 Duane Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 14530 Duane Rd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 14509 Duane Rd New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,518 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 7505 Shorewood Blvd New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 14031 Linden St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 7501 Briarwood Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$125,000 Active 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom 2 full bath, open kitchen flows into den area , beautiful laminate floor. Fence backyard and single car garage
-
2026-05-13$125,000 Active 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom 2 full bath, open kitchen flows into den area , beautiful laminate floor. Fence backyard and single car garage
-
2026-02-27historical $1,500
-
2026-02-27$1,500
-
2026-02-27historical $1,500
-
2026-02-26$139,990 Active
-
2026-02-01$1,500
-
1985-03-15soldstatus $56,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,227 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,227 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,014
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,227
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,361
- − Management
- −$1,361
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,004
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$241
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- City population
- 338,817
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,973
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Asian 5% White 4% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Vietnamese 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.51%
- Current HPI
- 247.7131
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+121.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $125,000 GSREIN
- 2026-02-27 Rental Removed $1,500 RAAMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed for Rent $1,500 RAAMLS
- 2026-02-27 Rental Removed $1,500 GSREIN
- 2026-02-26 Listed $139,990 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed for Rent $1,500 GSREIN
- 1985-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,227 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…