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15494 Cedargrove St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

15494 Cedargrove St · Detroit, MI 48205
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 987 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1948 4,792 sqft lot $40/sqft · 26% below area Est $54k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 Bed, 1 Bath Ranch with 987 square feet of living space offers a strong opportunity for both Homeowners and Investors. Whether you're looking to build equity over time or add a rental to your portfolio, this property delivers a solid starting point at an approachable price. The functional single-story layout keeps living simple and efficient, while convenient access to major roads supports an easy commute. Property is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease. The long-term occupant is interested in staying, offering immediate rental potential.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with alley access (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and block construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Living room fireplace; Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $39,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$53,746) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $582 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $38,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.02%
Cap rate
23.81%
Cash-on-cash
62.55%
DSCR
3.78
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$53,746
List price
$39,900
Delta
-25.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12056 Duchess St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 950 (-4%) 3mo $30,000 $32 74
15260 Faircrest St 0.49mi 2/1.0 942 (-5%) 1mo $35,000 $37 69
11475 Lakepointe St 0.62mi 2/1.0 953 (-3%) 3mo $95,000 $100 63
12660 Duchess St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 974 (-1%) 2mo $55,000 $56 61
12893 Payton St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (+3%) 1mo $75,000 $74 58
11545 Roxbury St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,003 (+2%) 1mo $65,000 $65 58
10904 N Mogul St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,045 (+6%) 0mo $113,000 $108 57
10696 Stratman St 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,000 (+1%) 3mo $53,000 $53 56
14728 Wilfred St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+6%) 3mo $30,500 $29 51
12519 Riad St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,135 (+15%) 0mo $100,000 $88 48
15256 Fordham St 0.64mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,099 (+11%) 3mo $60,000 $55 42
14750 Lannette St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,099 (+11%) 3mo $78,000 $71 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.5%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$28,711
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
63.6%
Equity multiple
6.83×
Total profit
$65,172
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,204 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,715/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$582

Break-even live

Break-even rent $467
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 43d 1 0.28mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 43d 1 0.32mi
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 43d 1 0.41mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 17d 1 0.62mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 43d 1 0.64mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 0.64mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 11d 1 0.68mi
10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.70mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 12d 1 0.73mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 14d 1 0.83mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 43d 1 0.83mi
15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,266 $1.42 43d 1 0.85mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 0.85mi
16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 43d 1 0.87mi
19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 0.87mi
16212 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 12d 1 0.88mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 0.89mi
14103 Rochelle Ave Unit 3 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 43d 1 0.96mi
9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,375 $1.46 14d 1 0.99mi
9516 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 17d 1 1.01mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 43d 1 1.01mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 43d 1 1.02mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 1.04mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 12d 1 1.04mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 3d 1 1.05mi
9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 797 $1,100 $1.38 43d 1 1.06mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 17d 1 1.07mi
19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 1.10mi
19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 17d 1 1.10mi
9140 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $700 $1.27 43d 1 1.18mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 1.20mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 4d 1 1.24mi
19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 916 $1,500 $1.64 17d 1 1.24mi
9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 14d 1 1.25mi
13503 E McNichols Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 17d 1 1.27mi
19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 866 $1,200 $1.39 3d 1 1.27mi
19661 Kenosha St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 1.28mi
15030 Rossini Dr Unit 2 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 720 $800 $1.11 43d 1 1.30mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 1.32mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 4d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $39,900 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 31 DOM
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    2 Bed, 1 Bath Ranch with 987 square feet of living space offers a strong opportunity for both Homeowners and Investors. Whether you're looking to build equity over time or add a rental to your portfolio, this property delivers a solid starting point at an approachable price. The functional single-story layout keeps living simple and efficient, while convenient access to major roads supports an easy commute. Property is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease. The long-term occupant is interested in staying, offering immediate rental potential.

  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-05
    listed $45,000 Active 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    2 Bed, 1 Bath Ranch with 987 square feet of living space offers a strong opportunity for both Homeowners and Investors. Whether you're looking to build equity over time or add a rental to your portfolio, this property delivers a solid starting point at an approachable price. The functional single-story layout keeps living simple and efficient, while convenient access to major roads supports an easy commute. Property is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease. The long-term occupant is interested in staying, offering immediate rental potential.

  15. 2026-05-05
    listed $45,000 Active 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    2 Bed, 1 Bath Ranch with 987 square feet of living space offers a strong opportunity for both Homeowners and Investors. Whether you're looking to build equity over time or add a rental to your portfolio, this property delivers a solid starting point at an approachable price. The functional single-story layout keeps living simple and efficient, while convenient access to major roads supports an easy commute. Property is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease. The long-term occupant is interested in staying, offering immediate rental potential.

  16. 2026-05-04
    historical $45,000 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    2 Bed, 1 Bath Ranch with 987 square feet of living space offers a strong opportunity for both Homeowners and Investors. Whether you're looking to build equity over time or add a rental to your portfolio, this property delivers a solid starting point at an approachable price. The functional single-story layout keeps living simple and efficient, while convenient access to major roads supports an easy commute. Property is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease. The long-term occupant is interested in staying, offering immediate rental potential.

  17. 2008-06-03
    soldstatus $40,000
  18. 2007-09-28
    historical
  19. 2007-06-28
    listed $55,000
  20. 2004-11-30
    soldstatus $26,000
  21. 2004-09-27
    listed $25,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,715 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,715 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,447
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$1,715
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,156
− Management
−$1,156
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$6,826
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,638
After-tax cash flow
$5,350/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Coming Soon $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-28 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-11-30 Sold (MLS) $26,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-09-27 Listed $25,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,715 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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