12079 W 105th St S · Sapulpa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$66,750
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SOLD AT TIME OF LISTING
Key facts
- 3.74 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1998
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $67k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 2.8% in Sapulpa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#88 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sapulpa (suburban): math 23% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #129 of 270 in OK (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Jefferson Heights Es (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #255 of 845 statewide, top 35%, 310 students, 0% FRL); Sapulpa Ms (math 16% / reading 15%, grade F, #215 of 345 statewide, top 63%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Sapulpa Hs (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #215 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 951 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Creek County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $462 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.72%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $71,680
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12079 W 105th St S | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 2,048 (0%) | 1mo | $72,500 | $35 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $29,640
- Equity at exit
- $9,953
- IRR
- 43.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.18×
- Total profit
- $78,065
- Equity at exit
- $5,771
Cash invested: $18,690 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74066
- Home prices YoY
- -26.3%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,461 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$350
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,703/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $634
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $672 | -5% $653 | +0% $634 | +5% $615 | +10% $597 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $519 | -5% $577 | +0% $634 | +5% $692 | +10% $750 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $668 | -0.5pp $651 | base $634 | +0.5pp $617 | +1.0pp $599 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,688
- Closing costs
- $2,002
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-04-06$66,750 Active
-
2020-09-17soldstatus $115,000
-
2020-09-04soldstatus $114,700 Closed 23-char remark
Show marketing remark (23 chars)
SOLD AT TIME OF LISTING
-
2020-08-19status Pending 23-char remark
Show marketing remark (23 chars)
SOLD AT TIME OF LISTING
-
2020-06-05$107,000 23-char remark
Show marketing remark (23 chars)
SOLD AT TIME OF LISTING
-
2016-06-28status Active
-
2016-06-28historical
-
2016-06-07status Pending
-
2016-03-02$120,000 Active
-
2016-03-01historical
-
2015-09-02$123,000 Active
-
2015-08-25historical
-
2015-07-24price $145,000
-
2015-07-01$155,000 Active
-
2014-04-03historical
-
2013-10-02$175,500
-
2001-01-30soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,703 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,703 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,530
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,739
- − Property taxes
- −$1,703
- − Insurance
- −$334
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,402
- − Management
- −$1,402
- − Depreciation
- −$1,942
- Taxable income
- $7,008
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,682
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,930/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sapulpa
- NCES district ID
- 4026910
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,536
- Composite
- 20.29/100
- National rank
- #8616
- State rank
- #129 of 270 in OK
Livability — Sapulpa
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #10676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Creek County · 32,292 people
- City population
- 32,292
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,292
- Household income
- $64,698
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 716.0
Population outlook (Creek County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 72,706 people
- By 2030
- 73,032 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 72,788 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 71,558 · -1.6%
- By 2075
- 69,248 · -4.8%
- By 2100
- 62,722 · -13.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Native American 12% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Creek
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.2% · R 77.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -41.6pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+54.8 2016: R+54.5 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+41.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.18%
- Current HPI
- 250.2859
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+167.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-06 Listed $66,750 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-04 Sold (MLS) $114,700 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-08-19 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-06-05 Listed $107,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-06-28 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-06-28 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-06-07 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-03-02 Listed $120,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-03-01 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-09-02 Listed $123,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-08-25 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-07-24 Price Changed $145,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-07-01 Listed $155,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-04-03 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2013-10-02 Listed $175,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2001-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2020): $1,703 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…