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7710 Carleton Ave
B- Composite 69.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

7710 Carleton Ave · University City, MO 63130
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1947 6,050 sqft lot Est $199k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming all-brick 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located on a quiet street in desirable University City. This well-maintained property features new hardwood floors, a spacious living room with a functional fireplace, separate dining room, and a screened-in porch perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The finished lower level includes an egress window, offering additional living space and potential for a future bedroom or home office. This property invites you to envision a life of comfort and convenience. Conveniently located near parks, shopping, restaurants, and major highways. To truly appreciate the potential of this exceptional property, we invite your inquiry and a personal viewing. Property

Key facts

  • 6,050 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,080 (public records); Lot size approximately 0.1389 acre
  • Financial info: Seller may consider concessions; Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available; Phone available; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed, screened front porch; Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished basement with egress window and storage space; Partially finished full basement; Fireplace in the living room; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.4% in University City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#84 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D-, commute D-, health & safety F.
  • University City (suburban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #297 of 324 in MO (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Jackson Park Elem. (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 268 students, 100% FRL); University City Sr. High (math 5% / reading 52%, grade F, #409 of 521 statewide, top 79%, 726 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.63%
Cash-on-cash
11.91%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$198,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7724 Trenton Ave 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,075 (-0%) 0mo $109,900 $102 78
1109 North And South Rd 0.39mi 2/1.0 1,100 (+2%) 2mo $184,900 $168 77
7831 Drexel Dr 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,080 (0%) 1mo $249,900 $231 70
7504 Trenton 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,032 (-4%) 2mo $85,000 $82 69
7844 Drexel Dr 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,080 (0%) 1mo $159,000 $147 69
7530 Trenton Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,124 (+4%) 1mo $125,000 $111 67
1243 Fairview Ave 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (-7%) 2mo $185,000 $184 67
1135 Wilshire Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 962 (-11%) 1mo $190,000 $198 66
1008 Groby Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (0%) 0mo $275,000 $255 63
7449 Wayne Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,212 (+12%) 2mo $272,500 $225 50
7331 Wayne Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 950 (-12%) 1mo $159,900 $168 48
1140 E Parkedge Ln 0.70mi 2/1.5 1,230 (+14%) 1mo $269,900 $219 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,765
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$34,634
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63130

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,472 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,293/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$347

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,032
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $418 -5% $383 +0% $347 +5% $312 +10% $277
Rent -10% $231 -5% $289 +0% $347 +5% $405 +10% $464
Rate -1.0pp $410 -0.5pp $379 base $347 +0.5pp $315 +1.0pp $282

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1245 North and South Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 860 $1,200 $1.40 16d 1 0.09mi
1351 N Hanley Rd Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 911 $1,575 $1.73 45d 1 0.29mi
7430 Canton Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,450 $1.35 25d 1 0.39mi
7720 Ahern Ave University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,350 $1.25 45d 1 0.41mi
1086 Wilshire Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,297 $1.20 0d 1 0.42mi
7361 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1278 $2,095 $1.64 45d 1 0.49mi
1276 Vaughan Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 825 $1,100 $1.33 17d 1 0.52mi
7812 Drexel Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 0d 1 0.52mi
978 Warder Ave University City, MO 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,145 $1.04 25d 1 0.55mi
7737 Wild Plum Ln University City, MO 3.0 1.5 900 $1,200 $1.33 13d 1 0.56mi
7386 Milan Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 5d 1 0.56mi
8449 Atherton Dr St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 900 $1,245 $1.38 4d 2 0.60mi
1535 N Jackson Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 988 $1,450 $1.47 45d 1 0.63mi
8303 Braddock Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $1,075 $1.49 25d 1 0.72mi
8246 Montreal Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,450 $1.71 45d 1 0.84mi
1115 Backer St Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 984 $1,395 $1.42 0d 1 0.86mi
1115 Backer St Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 984 $1,495 $1.52 25d 1 0.86mi
7350 Amherst Ave Unit 1E University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,795 $1.63 19d 1 1.08mi
7254 Tulane Ave #1 University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1144 $1,600 $1.40 19d 1 1.14mi
7034 Corbitt Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 870 $1,450 $1.67 25d 1 1.15mi
910 N McKnight Rd St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1400 $2,500 $1.79 0d 1 1.19mi
7204 Tulane Ave Unit 7204-B Tulane University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 1.22mi
8241 Delmar Blvd Apt 2E St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 16d 1 1.23mi
7156 Tulane Ave Unit 56A University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 23d 1 1.26mi
7125 Dartmouth Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1242 $1,550 $1.25 45d 1 1.27mi
7120 Dartmouth Ave Unit A University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,345 $1.12 4d 1 1.29mi
8669 Old Towne Dr St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1185 $1,874 $1.58 0d 9 1.31mi
7055 Dartmouth Ave Unit 1 University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1320 $2,100 $1.59 45d 1 1.33mi
7055 Dartmouth Ave Unit 2 University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1320 $2,100 $1.59 45d 1 1.33mi
6913 Etzel Ave Unit 1496954P University City, MO 3.0 2.0 1399 $5,966 $4.26 0d 1 1.34mi
7104 Tulane Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,745 $1.25 45d 1 1.35mi
7104 Tulane Ave Unit 1 University City, MO 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 25d 1 1.35mi
7261 Delmar Blvd University City, MO 3.0 1.0 1416 $1,950 $1.38 3d 1 1.38mi
6827 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 9d 1 1.43mi
8400 Delmar Blvd St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 1006 $2,967 $2.95 0d 8 1.43mi
8342 Delcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1089 $2,326 $2.13 0d 16 1.45mi
8650 Kingsbridge Dr St. Louis, MO 2.0–3.0 1.0 887 $1,150 $1.30 0d 9 1.45mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    status $125,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-08
    listed $125,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,293 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,293 · $108/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,660
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,293
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,413
− Management
−$1,413
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$2,278
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$547
After-tax cash flow
$3,621/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
University City
NCES district ID
2930660
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,927
Composite
18.57/100
National rank
#8910
State rank
#297 of 324 in MO

Livability — University City

Score
73/100
State rank
#84
US rank
#5618

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute D- Cost of living B Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
University City, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
28,910
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
28,910
Household income
$85,823
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
893.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 31% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Chinese 4% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -436.88%
Current HPI
185.599
Rent YoY
▲ 3.61%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Coming Soon $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1989-06-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,293 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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