🌊 Lakefront
2709 341st Street Ct S · South Creek, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
For Sale By Owner- Open to reasonable cash offers. Offering a 3%+ commission to buyers agents. We are selling our 1997 14x52 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home, located in all age park in Roy. Home is situated on a large lake front lot. Little Lakes MH Park is quiet and family friendly. Current lot rent is $855 monthly which includes w/ s/g. Electric bill runs about $120 a month. House will come with Starlink satellite as well as exterior security cameras already in place to connect to your TV. Appliances stay. New in the past few years- Siding Insulation Skirting Paint Carpet in bedroom Light fixtures Kitchen faucet Partially completed 8x18 foot cedar deck, all that is left to install is the
Key facts
- Lake front lot
- Cedar deck
- Starlink satellite
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
- Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 2.3% in South Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#491 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Bethel School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #103 of 291 in WA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.64%
- DSCR
- 4.19
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 71.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.23×
- Total profit
- $61,410
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 75.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.71×
- Total profit
- $146,824
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98580
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,034 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$85 /mo · $1,020/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $1,137
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,184 | -5% $1,160 | +0% $1,137 | +5% $1,113 | +10% $1,090 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $976 | -5% $1,056 | +0% $1,137 | +5% $1,217 | +10% $1,297 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,171 | -0.5pp $1,154 | base $1,137 | +0.5pp $1,119 | +1.0pp $1,101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $68,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $68,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $68,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $68,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $68,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04$68,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,405
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$1,020
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,952
- − Management
- −$1,952
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $13,353
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,205
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
The home is in fair condition with cosmetic repairs needed, particularly in the kitchen and exterior. Painting and landscaping improvements can significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Aged appearance
- Minor Bathtub and sink — Dated appearance
- Moderate Siding — Weathered and discolored
- Minor Carpet — Worn appearance
- Minor Paint — Faded appearance
- Minor Windows — Could use cleaning
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and repainting — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Trimming and maintaining the landscaping can enhance curb appeal and property value
- Both Siding repair — Repairing the weathered siding can improve the home's appearance and increase its value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Aged appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathtub and sink · Dated appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Siding · Weathered and discolored | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Carpet · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Paint · Faded appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Windows · Could use cleaning | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $5,500–30,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and repainting — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Trimming and maintaining the landscaping can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Siding repair — Repairing the weathered siding can improve the home's appearance and increase its value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethel School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300480
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,872
- Composite
- 48.66/100
- National rank
- #4568
- State rank
- #103 of 291 in WA
Livability — South Creek
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #491
- US rank
- #20442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,472
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.93%
- Current HPI
- 344.1901
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $68,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…