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11285 Crimson
C+ Composite 64.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

11285 Crimson · Springboro, OH 45342
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,112 sqft · Manufactured · 45 Days on market
Built 2002 Fair condition $45/sqft · 25% above area Est $76k · 25% over $700/mo HOA · 32% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Large home with 4 bedrooms and 2 baths! All appliances stay (refrigerator, microwave, range, washer, dryer, and dishwasher)!! Truly move in ready!! Big front porch and back porch! Gorgeous backyard with stepping stones and landscaping!! Attached garage and storage shed. Located in Oakwood Community that has lots to offer- pool and playground!! Nice community and ready for you to start making memories !! Hurry this one won't last long!!

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Landscaping
  • Front porch

Tags

FRONT PORCHBACK PORCHGORGEOUS BACKYARDSTEPPING STONESLANDSCAPINGATTACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $700; HOA covers clubhouse, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, pool(s), snow removal and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached one-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding exterior; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Porch; In-ground pool; Shed(s) for additional storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with island; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Main level bedrooms (three listed); Additional main level room that may serve as bedroom or flex space
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Kitchen island; Walk-in closets; Smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Storage space / shed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.0% in Springboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#93 in OH, #1,395 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Miamisburg City (suburban): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #338 of 656 in OH (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
11.26%
Cash-on-cash
17.73%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,950
List price
$95,000
Delta
25.08%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11485 Branch Ln 0.21mi 4/2.0 2,280 (+8%) 1mo $87,000 $38 76
11290 Trailing Oak 0.10mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (-12%) 9mo $30,000 $16 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$10,748
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$46,148
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45342

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,215 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$700
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$465
Net cashflow
$393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,717
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
504 Brownstone Row Springboro, OH 3.0 3.5 1800 $2,750 $1.53 44d 1 0.78mi
110 Teakwood Ln Springboro, OH 3.0 1.5 1492 $1,800 $1.21 19d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$700 · $8,400/yr
Likely covers
landscapingpool

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-04
    listed $95,000 Active 439-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,575
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,126
− Management
−$2,126
− HOA
−$8,400
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$3,938
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$945
After-tax cash flow
$3,771/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed, particularly in the kitchen and bathrooms. Upgrading the paint, cabinets, and landscaping can significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets appear dated and may need updating or replacement.
  • Moderate Bathroom fixtures — The fixtures in the bathrooms appear outdated and may need replacement.
  • Moderate Paint — The interior walls and possibly the exterior could benefit from fresh paint to improve the overall appearance.
  • Minor Landscaping — The landscaping is simple and could be improved with some additional plants and features to enhance curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the interior and exterior — Fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and value of the home.
  • Both Updating the kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Modernizing the kitchen can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve curb appeal and potentially increase the home's value.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract tenants and improve rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · The cabinets appear dated and may need updating or replacement. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Bathroom fixtures · The fixtures in the bathrooms appear outdated and may need replacement. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Paint · The interior walls and possibly the exterior could benefit from fresh paint to improve the overall appearance. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Landscaping · The landscaping is simple and could be improved with some additional plants and features to enhance curb appeal. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $9,500–48,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the interior and exterior — Fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and value of the home.
  • Both Updating the kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Modernizing the kitchen can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve curb appeal and potentially increase the home's value.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract tenants and improve rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miamisburg City
NCES district ID
3904439
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$53,394
Composite
48.47/100
National rank
#2128
State rank
#338 of 656 in OH

Livability — Springboro

Score
81/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#1395

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
27,545
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
36,152
Household income
$84,907
Rent vs Own
34.9% rent · 65.1% own
Severe rent burden
790.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -183.01%
Current HPI
227.3999
Rent YoY
▲ 3.29%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $95,000 Dayton MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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