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1141 Southern Pine Rd
C- Composite 54.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,000

1141 Southern Pine Rd · Greensboro, GA 30642
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 2021 7,405 sqft lot $181/sqft · 19% below area Est $491k · 19% under $380/mo HOA · 10% of rent ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Like-new Taft Street model with loft in Del Webb Lake Oconee! Step into this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring the popular Taft Street floor plan with an upstairs loft. The main level offers an open-concept design with a spacious living room, dedicated office, and cozy den just off the cook’s kitchen—complete with granite countertops, a large island perfect for gathering, and ample cabinetry. The covered porch extends your living space outdoors and is already wired and ready for a jacuzzi! Upstairs, you’ll find a generous loft/living area, third bedroom, and full bath—ideal for guests or multi-generational living. Enjoy all the incredible Del Webb Lake Oconee amenities, including a clubhouse, fitness center, indoor and outdoor pools, pickleball and tennis courts, community garden, and lake access. Lawn care is included in the $380 monthly HOA, allowing you to truly relax and enjoy the resort-style lifestyle this community is known for.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA and VA financing
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee (maintenance of grounds included); Initiation fee applies; Senior community; Gated community with clubhouse, fitness center, pool, playground, tennis courts, sidewalks and street lights; Boat/camper/van parking and shared dock available

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 total parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Private water source; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single-family house; One and one-half stories; Resale property; Not attached to another unit
  • Construction: Built in 2021; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Bay windows; Level lot; Lake Oconee frontage/access nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Stainless steel appliances; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (2 on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Other
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (2 on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling; Electric; Heat pump
  • Interior features: Double vanity; Separate shower; Walk-in closet(s); Dining room / living room combo; Kitchen with breakfast bar, island and pantry; Den, foyer, library, office
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $399k).
  • Recommended offer: $387k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 0.9% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#272 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Greene County (rural): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 174 in GA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Anita White Carson Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #424 of 470 statewide, top 90%, 524 students, 97% FRL); Greene County High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 420 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 64% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Greene County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 501 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 295 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 34% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $387,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.29%
Cash-on-cash
3.57%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$491,432
List price
$399,000
Delta
-18.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1081 Lake Terrace Bnd 0.22mi 3/2.5 2,180 (-1%) 3mo $589,900 $271 83
1050 Rockwood Way 0.19mi 3/2.5 2,179 (-1%) 6mo $538,900 $247 82
1060 Southwood Way 0.26mi 3/2.0 2,308 (+5%) 5mo $513,000 $222 72
1371 Starboard Way 0.56mi 3/2.5 2,179 (-1%) 4mo $539,900 $248 67
1031 Windsong Way 0.37mi 3/2.0 2,099 (-5%) 8mo $498,731 $238 65
1080 Delcove Way 0.46mi 3/2.0 2,084 (-5%) 4mo $417,000 $200 62
1570 Legend Dr 0.59mi 3/2.5 2,274 (+3%) 5mo $482,228 $212 60
1391 Crooked Creek Rd 0.61mi 3/3.0 2,409 (+10%) 6mo $462,500 $192 51
1041 Lone Oak Rd 0.75mi 3/2.0 2,096 (-5%) 7mo $499,000 $238 47
1021 Seaworthy Rd 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,412 (+10%) 1mo $443,000 $184 46
1372 Canoe Dr 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,900 (-14%) 6mo $543,093 $286 38
1000 Lone Oak Rd 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,933 (-12%) 1mo $450,000 $233 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-43,381
Equity at exit
$59,492
10-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-10,095
Equity at exit
$34,498

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30642

Active inventory
501
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,267/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$380
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$840
Net cashflow
$332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,579
Max offer price $399,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $558 -5% $445 +0% $332 +5% $219 +10% $107
Rent -10% $16 -5% $174 +0% $332 +5% $490 +10% $648
Rate -1.0pp $533 -0.5pp $434 base $332 +0.5pp $229 +1.0pp $124

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1021 Leeward Run Trl Greensboro, GA 2.0 2.0 1868 $4,000 $2.14 15d 1 0.27mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$380 · $4,560/yr
Likely covers
landscapingpoolgym

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $399,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $399,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $399,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $399,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $399,000 Active 23 DOM
  18. 2026-05-07
    listed $399,000 New 977-char remark
  19. 2026-04-23
    listed $399,000 Active 997-char remark
    Show marketing remark (997 chars)

    Like-new Taft Street model with loft in Del Webb Lake Oconee! Step into this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring the popular Taft Street floor plan with an upstairs loft. The main level offers an open-concept design with a spacious living room, dedicated office, and cozy den just off the cook’s kitchen—complete with granite countertops, a large island perfect for gathering, and ample cabinetry. The covered porch extends your living space outdoors and is already wired and ready for a jacuzzi! Upstairs, you’ll find a generous loft/living area, third bedroom, and full bath—ideal for guests or multi-generational living. Enjoy all the incredible Del Webb Lake Oconee amenities, including a clubhouse, fitness center, indoor and outdoor pools, pickleball and tennis courts, community garden, and lake access. Lawn care is included in the $380 monthly HOA, allowing you to truly relax and enjoy the resort-style lifestyle this community is known for.

  20. 2026-04-16
    historical
  21. 2026-02-11
    price $425,000
  22. 2026-02-11
    price $425,000
  23. 2025-10-26
    listed $434,900 Active
  24. 2025-10-26
    listed $434,900 New
  25. 2025-10-15
    historical
  26. 2025-10-03
    price $428,900
  27. 2025-10-03
    price $428,900
  28. 2025-08-28
    price $433,900
  29. 2025-08-28
    price $433,900
  30. 2025-08-13
    price $439,000
  31. 2025-08-13
    price $439,000
  32. 2025-06-27
    price $445,000
  33. 2025-06-27
    price $445,000
  34. 2025-04-22
    status Active
  35. 2025-03-21
    price $459,000
  36. 2025-03-21
    price $459,000
  37. 2024-12-09
    price $469,000
  38. 2024-12-09
    price $469,000
  39. 2024-10-16
    listed $479,000 Active
  40. 2024-10-11
    listed $479,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,267 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,671 · $306/mo
Expected delta
+$1,403/yr (+$117/mo · 61.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 34% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,000
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$2,267
− Insurance
−$1,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,840
− Management
−$3,840
− HOA
−$4,560
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable loss
−$2,460
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$590
After-tax cash flow
$4,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greene County
NCES district ID
1302490
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,172
Composite
27.08/100
National rank
#7046
State rank
#82 of 174 in GA

Livability — Greensboro

Score
64/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#14726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,884

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,835 people
By 2030
18,182 · +1.9%
By 2040
18,509 · +3.8%
By 2050
18,794 · +5.4%
By 2075
19,704 · +10.5%
By 2100
20,584 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.3% · R 64.2%
2008→2024 swing
-13.9pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+22.5 2008: R+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.13%
Current HPI
186.3442
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $399,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $399,000 LCBR
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $425,000 LCBR
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $425,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-10-26 Listed $434,900 LCBR
  • 2025-10-26 Listed $434,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $428,900 LCBR
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $428,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $433,900 LCBR
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $433,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $439,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $439,000 LCBR
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $445,000 LCBR
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $445,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-04-22 Relisted LCBR
  • 2025-03-21 Price Changed $459,000 LCBR
  • 2025-03-21 Price Changed $459,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-12-09 Price Changed $469,000 LCBR
  • 2024-12-09 Price Changed $469,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-10-16 Listed $479,000 LCBR
  • 2024-10-11 Listed $479,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+33.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,267 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…