1141 Southern Pine Rd · Greensboro, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 34.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Like-new Taft Street model with loft in Del Webb Lake Oconee! Step into this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring the popular Taft Street floor plan with an upstairs loft. The main level offers an open-concept design with a spacious living room, dedicated office, and cozy den just off the cook’s kitchen—complete with granite countertops, a large island perfect for gathering, and ample cabinetry. The covered porch extends your living space outdoors and is already wired and ready for a jacuzzi! Upstairs, you’ll find a generous loft/living area, third bedroom, and full bath—ideal for guests or multi-generational living. Enjoy all the incredible Del Webb Lake Oconee amenities, including a clubhouse, fitness center, indoor and outdoor pools, pickleball and tennis courts, community garden, and lake access. Lawn care is included in the $380 monthly HOA, allowing you to truly relax and enjoy the resort-style lifestyle this community is known for.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA and VA financing
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee (maintenance of grounds included); Initiation fee applies; Senior community; Gated community with clubhouse, fitness center, pool, playground, tennis courts, sidewalks and street lights; Boat/camper/van parking and shared dock available
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 total parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Private water source; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single-family house; One and one-half stories; Resale property; Not attached to another unit
- Construction: Built in 2021; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Bay windows; Level lot; Lake Oconee frontage/access nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Stainless steel appliances; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (2 on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Other
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (2 on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling; Electric; Heat pump
- Interior features: Double vanity; Separate shower; Walk-in closet(s); Dining room / living room combo; Kitchen with breakfast bar, island and pantry; Den, foyer, library, office
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $399k).
- Recommended offer: $387k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 0.9% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#272 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Greene County (rural): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 174 in GA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Anita White Carson Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #424 of 470 statewide, top 90%, 524 students, 97% FRL); Greene County High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 420 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 64% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Greene County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 501 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 295 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 34% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.57%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $491,432
- List price
- $399,000
- Delta
- -18.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1081 Lake Terrace Bnd | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 2,180 (-1%) | 3mo | $589,900 | $271 | 83 |
| 1050 Rockwood Way | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 2,179 (-1%) | 6mo | $538,900 | $247 | 82 |
| 1060 Southwood Way | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 2,308 (+5%) | 5mo | $513,000 | $222 | 72 |
| 1371 Starboard Way | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 2,179 (-1%) | 4mo | $539,900 | $248 | 67 |
| 1031 Windsong Way | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 2,099 (-5%) | 8mo | $498,731 | $238 | 65 |
| 1080 Delcove Way | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 2,084 (-5%) | 4mo | $417,000 | $200 | 62 |
| 1570 Legend Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 2,274 (+3%) | 5mo | $482,228 | $212 | 60 |
| 1391 Crooked Creek Rd | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 | 2,409 (+10%) | 6mo | $462,500 | $192 | 51 |
| 1041 Lone Oak Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 2,096 (-5%) | 7mo | $499,000 | $238 | 47 |
| 1021 Seaworthy Rd | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,412 (+10%) | 1mo | $443,000 | $184 | 46 |
| 1372 Canoe Dr | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,900 (-14%) | 6mo | $543,093 | $286 | 38 |
| 1000 Lone Oak Rd | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,933 (-12%) | 1mo | $450,000 | $233 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-43,381
- Equity at exit
- $59,492
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-10,095
- Equity at exit
- $34,498
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30642
- Active inventory
- 501
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,267/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$380
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$840
- Net cashflow
- $332
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $558 | -5% $445 | +0% $332 | +5% $219 | +10% $107 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $16 | -5% $174 | +0% $332 | +5% $490 | +10% $648 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $533 | -0.5pp $434 | base $332 | +0.5pp $229 | +1.0pp $124 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1021 Leeward Run Trl Greensboro, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $4,000 | $2.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.27mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $380 · $4,560/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolgym
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $399,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $399,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $399,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $399,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $399,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$399,000 New 977-char remark
-
2026-04-23$399,000 Active 997-char remark
Show marketing remark (997 chars)
Like-new Taft Street model with loft in Del Webb Lake Oconee! Step into this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 3-bath home featuring the popular Taft Street floor plan with an upstairs loft. The main level offers an open-concept design with a spacious living room, dedicated office, and cozy den just off the cook’s kitchen—complete with granite countertops, a large island perfect for gathering, and ample cabinetry. The covered porch extends your living space outdoors and is already wired and ready for a jacuzzi! Upstairs, you’ll find a generous loft/living area, third bedroom, and full bath—ideal for guests or multi-generational living. Enjoy all the incredible Del Webb Lake Oconee amenities, including a clubhouse, fitness center, indoor and outdoor pools, pickleball and tennis courts, community garden, and lake access. Lawn care is included in the $380 monthly HOA, allowing you to truly relax and enjoy the resort-style lifestyle this community is known for.
-
2026-04-16historical
-
2026-02-11price $425,000
-
2026-02-11price $425,000
-
2025-10-26$434,900 Active
-
2025-10-26$434,900 New
-
2025-10-15historical
-
2025-10-03price $428,900
-
2025-10-03price $428,900
-
2025-08-28price $433,900
-
2025-08-28price $433,900
-
2025-08-13price $439,000
-
2025-08-13price $439,000
-
2025-06-27price $445,000
-
2025-06-27price $445,000
-
2025-04-22status Active
-
2025-03-21price $459,000
-
2025-03-21price $459,000
-
2024-12-09price $469,000
-
2024-12-09price $469,000
-
2024-10-16$479,000 Active
-
2024-10-11$479,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,267 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,671 · $306/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,403/yr (+$117/mo · 61.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 34% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$2,267
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,840
- − Management
- −$3,840
- − HOA
- −$4,560
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable loss
- −$2,460
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$590
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greene County
- NCES district ID
- 1302490
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,172
- Composite
- 27.08/100
- National rank
- #7046
- State rank
- #82 of 174 in GA
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #272
- US rank
- #14726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,884
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,835 people
- By 2030
- 18,182 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 18,509 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 18,794 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 19,704 · +10.5%
- By 2100
- 20,584 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.3% · R 64.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+22.5 2008: R+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.13%
- Current HPI
- 186.3442
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $399,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $399,000 LCBR
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $425,000 LCBR
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $425,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-26 Listed $434,900 LCBR
- 2025-10-26 Listed $434,900 GAMLS
- 2025-10-15 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $428,900 LCBR
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $428,900 GAMLS
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $433,900 LCBR
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $433,900 GAMLS
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $439,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $439,000 LCBR
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $445,000 LCBR
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $445,000 GAMLS
- 2025-04-22 Relisted — LCBR
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $459,000 LCBR
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $459,000 GAMLS
- 2024-12-09 Price Changed $469,000 LCBR
- 2024-12-09 Price Changed $469,000 GAMLS
- 2024-10-16 Listed $479,000 LCBR
- 2024-10-11 Listed $479,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+33.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,267 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…