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435 3rd St Multi-family
B- Composite 69.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$759,000

435 3rd St · Niagara Falls, NY 14301
8 bd · None ba · 13,991 sqft · MultiFamily · 77 Days on market
Built 1925 8,712 sqft lot $54/sqft · 176% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional mixed-use property anchored by 8 income-generating residential apartments, complemented by 2 commercial spaces, delivering multiple streams of stable, diversified income. Located just steps from Niagara Falls State Park and the Rainbow Bridge, this high-visibility asset sits in a premier tourist corridor benefiting from over 14 million annual visitors. The residential component is fully leased & well maintained, featuring separate utilities for all units and on-site parking. The unit mix includes one spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath apartment with historic charm & private entrances; two 2-bedroom units; five 1-bedroom units, offering strong occupancy appeal & consistent rental demand. Units have been updated with modern kitchens, newer appliances (included), fresh paint & laminate flooring. Additional improvements include newer windows and updated sewer lines. The commercial component provides valuable supplemental income and long-term upside. The lower left unit is occupied by an established tenant and features a Pub with indoor seating, outdoor patio, walk-in cooler and dedicated storage. The second commercial unit offers a flexible, large-format layout with multiple access points, including garage-style entry and delivery access, making it attractive for a variety of uses such as retail, gallery, entertainment, or hospitality concepts. This future space is currently leased and is positioned for a museum/lounge concept, highlighting its adaptability & additional income potential. Both commercial units also have all separate utilities and are designed to support steady tenancy in a high-demand tourism & entertainment district, enhancing overall property cash flow and reducing reliance on a single income source. Surrounded by dining, entertainment, public transportation & year-round attractions, this walkable location supports both residential stability & commercial success. Please note that this property may be eligible for a grant of up to 100k from the City of NF & it may be used towards renovation & acquisition. It is reimbursed & 10% must go towards exterior improvements (signage, landscaping, parking lot improvements etc). Also listed under B1670381.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1925

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $759k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $759k).
  • Recommended offer: $713k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $8,666/mo this rent would consume 301% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $81k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $76k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $213k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$130k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($713k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $713,460 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.82%
Cash-on-cash
9.04%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$274,888
List price
$759,000
Delta
176.11%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.1%
Equity multiple
3.64×
Total profit
$561,260
Equity at exit
$683,767
10-year hold
IRR
30.3%
Equity multiple
8.94×
Total profit
$1,686,355
Equity at exit
$1,474,570

Cash invested: $212,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14301

Home prices YoY
6.2%
Rents YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
48.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,666 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,980
Tax est. 1.5%
$949 /mo · $11,385/yr
Insurance
$316
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,820
Net cashflow
$1,601

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,640
Max offer price $759,000
Occupancy floor 77%

8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3 2 $1,313
Total (8 units) $8,666

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$189,750
Closing costs
$22,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $759,000 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $759,000 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $759,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $759,000 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $759,000 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $759,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $759,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $759,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $759,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $759,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $759,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $759,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $759,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $759,000 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-04-02
    listed $759,000 Active 2266-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2266 chars)

    Exceptional mixed-use property anchored by 8 income-generating residential apartments, complemented by 2 commercial spaces, delivering multiple streams of stable, diversified income. Located just steps from Niagara Falls State Park and the Rainbow Bridge, this high-visibility asset sits in a premier tourist corridor benefiting from over 14 million annual visitors. The residential component is fully leased & well maintained, featuring separate utilities for all units and on-site parking. The unit mix includes one spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath apartment with historic charm & private entrances; two 2-bedroom units; five 1-bedroom units, offering strong occupancy appeal & consistent rental demand. Units have been updated with modern kitchens, newer appliances (included), fresh paint & laminate flooring. Additional improvements include newer windows and updated sewer lines. The commercial component provides valuable supplemental income and long-term upside. The lower left unit is occupied by an established tenant and features a Pub with indoor seating, outdoor patio, walk-in cooler and dedicated storage. The second commercial unit offers a flexible, large-format layout with multiple access points, including garage-style entry and delivery access, making it attractive for a variety of uses such as retail, gallery, entertainment, or hospitality concepts. This future space is currently leased and is positioned for a museum/lounge concept, highlighting its adaptability & additional income potential. Both commercial units also have all separate utilities and are designed to support steady tenancy in a high-demand tourism & entertainment district, enhancing overall property cash flow and reducing reliance on a single income source. Surrounded by dining, entertainment, public transportation & year-round attractions, this walkable location supports both residential stability & commercial success. Please note that this property may be eligible for a grant of up to 100k from the City of NF & it may be used towards renovation & acquisition. It is reimbursed & 10% must go towards exterior improvements (signage, landscaping, parking lot improvements etc). Also listed under B1670381.

  16. 2020-07-09
    historical
  17. 2019-07-09
    listed $725,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$103,992
− Mortgage interest
−$42,516
− Property taxes
−$11,385
− Insurance
−$3,795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,319
− Management
−$8,319
− Depreciation
−$22,080
Taxable income
$7,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,819
After-tax cash flow
$17,392/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
10,923
Household income
$34,549
Rent vs Own
54.1% rent · 45.9% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.41%
Current HPI
266.1457
Rent YoY
▲ 8.79%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $759,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-07-09 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2019-07-09 Listed $725,000 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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