1402 Hotiyee Ave · Sebring, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming home with a nice floorplan, set on a corner double lot and partially fenced. With a bit of TLC and some updating this can be an great starter home or rental. Utility room with washer and dryer plus access to workshop area. Den with passthrough window to kitchen, this space could make a cute sitting area or reading nook. From the den, there's access to a bonus room that could make a nice family room, office or hobby room. 2019 AC, shed, city water and sewer!
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Construction materials: see remarks
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Shed(s); Workshop; Paved road frontage with approximately 100 feet of frontage; Lot is about 0.34 acres; Zoned R1
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Blinds and drapes on windows; 10 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.3% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 475 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $69k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.42%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,536
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1402 Hotiyee Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,038 (0%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $92 | 99 |
| 1110 Taseschee Dr | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,108 (+7%) | 2mo | $179,000 | $162 | 82 |
| 1539 Hitakee Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 990 (-5%) | 6mo | $160,500 | $162 | 80 |
| 1613 Hitakee Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+5%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $160 | 78 |
| 1732 Valencia Ave | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,030 (-1%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $180 | 75 |
| 1407 Nancesowee Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-14%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $218 | 66 |
| 1808 Roberta Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (-8%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $156 | 64 |
| 308 Micco Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 | 986 (-5%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $177 | 59 |
| 410 Walnut St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 969 (-7%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $134 | 52 |
| 1460 Hawthorne Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-8%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $172 | 51 |
| 1802 Lagrange Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (-14%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $186 | 45 |
| 1305 Arbuckle Creek Rd | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,184 (+14%) | 2mo | $223,000 | $188 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $9,561
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $30,466
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33870
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 475
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,315 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $577/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $453
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-27$95,000 Active
-
2006-03-13soldstatus $69,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $577 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$211/yr (+$18/mo · 36.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,776
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$577
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,262
- − Management
- −$1,262
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $4,114
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$987
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highlands
- NCES district ID
- 1200840
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,276
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4672
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sebring
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #618
- US rank
- #11992
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sebring, FL
- County
- Highlands County · 98,898 people
- City population
- 50,797
- Metro
- Sebring-Avon Park, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,195
- Household income
- $49,942
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 994.0
Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,674 people
- By 2030
- 99,615 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 99,342 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 98,242 · -1.4%
- By 2075
- 93,291 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 79,894 · -19.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Highlands
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.68%
- Current HPI
- 273.9861
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.29%
- Metro
- Sebring-Avon Park, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+37.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-27 Listed $95,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2006-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $577 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…