56 Cordelle St · Fruit Cove, FL 32259

$256,990

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,288 sqft · Land · 247 Days on market

Built 2025 $200/sqft · at area comps Est $257k · at est. $171/mo HOA · 7% of rent ↓ 11% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +6.4/10.0
• DSCR +5.2/10.0
• 1% rule +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

LOT 90 - The Carver's two-story townhome offers a one-of-a-kind, contemporary design in a resort-style community unlike any other. Ideal for today's busy lifestyles—whether you're a first-time buyer, a growing family, or an individual homeowner—it features an open-concept layout where living and dining spaces blend seamlessly, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The island kitchen with breakfast bar overlooks this airy space, and the nearby powder and laundry rooms add everyday convenience. Upstairs, the owner's suite is set apart from two versatile bedrooms—ideal for a nursery, home office, wellness space, or welcoming back a college student. No other home matches this modern layout in such a vibrant setting. RIVERTOWN, a master-planned community along the St. Johns River, offers unmatched amenities focused on fitness, fun, and connection. Residents enjoy parks with scenic views, miles of nature trails, and year-round sunshine in beautiful northeast Florida.

Key facts

• Island kitchen
• Nature trails
• Open concept layout

Tags

• TWO STORY TOWNHOME
• OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT
• ISLAND KITCHEN
• MASTER PLANNED COMMUNITY
• NATURE TRAILS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $257k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (0.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $226k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.9% in Fruit Cove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#469 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 762 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $226,151 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.99% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.04%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.68%
• DSCR: 1.12
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $257,250
• List price: $256,990
• Delta: -0.10%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.46×
• Total profit: $-38,789
• Equity at exit: $38,318

10-year hold

• IRR: -13.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.32×
• Total profit: $-49,111
• Equity at exit: $22,220

Cash invested: $71,957 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32259

• Home prices YoY: -28.8%
• Rents YoY: 0.0%
• Active inventory: 762
• Price-to-rent: 8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,549 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,348
• Tax from tax record: −$227 /mo · $2,724/yr
• Insurance: −$107
• HOA: −$171
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$535
• Net cashflow: $161

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,345

Max offer price $256,990

Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $64,248
• Closing costs: $7,710
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
45 Vicksburg Dr Saint Johns, FL	3.0	2.0	1620	$2,600	$1.60	23d	1	1.16mi
84 Vicksburg Dr Saint Johns, FL	4.0	2.0	1630	$2,396	$1.47	23d	1	1.20mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $171 · $2,052/yr

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $256,990 Active 247 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $256,990 Active 246 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $256,990 Active 245 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $256,990 Active 244 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $256,990 Active 242 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $256,990 Active 241 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $266,990 Active 238 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   pricestatus $266,990 Active 237 DOM
9. 2026-05-17
   status Pending 993-char remark

   Show marketing remark (993 chars)

   LOT 90 - The Carver's two-story townhome offers a one-of-a-kind, contemporary design in a resort-style community unlike any other. Ideal for today's busy lifestyles—whether you're a first-time buyer, a growing family, or an individual homeowner—it features an open-concept layout where living and dining spaces blend seamlessly, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The island kitchen with breakfast bar overlooks this airy space, and the nearby powder and laundry rooms add everyday convenience. Upstairs, the owner's suite is set apart from two versatile bedrooms—ideal for a nursery, home office, wellness space, or welcoming back a college student. No other home matches this modern layout in such a vibrant setting. RIVERTOWN, a master-planned community along the St. Johns River, offers unmatched amenities focused on fitness, fun, and connection. Residents enjoy parks with scenic views, miles of nature trails, and year-round sunshine in beautiful northeast Florida.

10. 2026-05-12
    price $236,500 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    LOT 90 - The Carver's two-story townhome offers a one-of-a-kind, contemporary design in a resort-style community unlike any other. Ideal for today's busy lifestyles—whether you're a first-time buyer, a growing family, or an individual homeowner—it features an open-concept layout where living and dining spaces blend seamlessly, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The island kitchen with breakfast bar overlooks this airy space, and the nearby powder and laundry rooms add everyday convenience. Upstairs, the owner's suite is set apart from two versatile bedrooms—ideal for a nursery, home office, wellness space, or welcoming back a college student. No other home matches this modern layout in such a vibrant setting. RIVERTOWN, a master-planned community along the St. Johns River, offers unmatched amenities focused on fitness, fun, and connection. Residents enjoy parks with scenic views, miles of nature trails, and year-round sunshine in beautiful northeast Florida.

11. 2026-04-23
    price $239,000 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    LOT 90 - The Carver's two-story townhome offers a one-of-a-kind, contemporary design in a resort-style community unlike any other. Ideal for today's busy lifestyles—whether you're a first-time buyer, a growing family, or an individual homeowner—it features an open-concept layout where living and dining spaces blend seamlessly, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The island kitchen with breakfast bar overlooks this airy space, and the nearby powder and laundry rooms add everyday convenience. Upstairs, the owner's suite is set apart from two versatile bedrooms—ideal for a nursery, home office, wellness space, or welcoming back a college student. No other home matches this modern layout in such a vibrant setting. RIVERTOWN, a master-planned community along the St. Johns River, offers unmatched amenities focused on fitness, fun, and connection. Residents enjoy parks with scenic views, miles of nature trails, and year-round sunshine in beautiful northeast Florida.

12. 2026-04-10
    price $241,000 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    LOT 90 - The Carver's two-story townhome offers a one-of-a-kind, contemporary design in a resort-style community unlike any other. Ideal for today's busy lifestyles—whether you're a first-time buyer, a growing family, or an individual homeowner—it features an open-concept layout where living and dining spaces blend seamlessly, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The island kitchen with breakfast bar overlooks this airy space, and the nearby powder and laundry rooms add everyday convenience. Upstairs, the owner's suite is set apart from two versatile bedrooms—ideal for a nursery, home office, wellness space, or welcoming back a college student. No other home matches this modern layout in such a vibrant setting. RIVERTOWN, a master-planned community along the St. Johns River, offers unmatched amenities focused on fitness, fun, and connection. Residents enjoy parks with scenic views, miles of nature trails, and year-round sunshine in beautiful northeast Florida.

13. 2026-03-23
    price $242,000 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    LOT 90 - The Carver's two-story townhome offers a one-of-a-kind, contemporary design in a resort-style community unlike any other. Ideal for today's busy lifestyles—whether you're a first-time buyer, a growing family, or an individual homeowner—it features an open-concept layout where living and dining spaces blend seamlessly, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The island kitchen with breakfast bar overlooks this airy space, and the nearby powder and laundry rooms add everyday convenience. Upstairs, the owner's suite is set apart from two versatile bedrooms—ideal for a nursery, home office, wellness space, or welcoming back a college student. No other home matches this modern layout in such a vibrant setting. RIVERTOWN, a master-planned community along the St. Johns River, offers unmatched amenities focused on fitness, fun, and connection. Residents enjoy parks with scenic views, miles of nature trails, and year-round sunshine in beautiful northeast Florida.

14. 2026-03-15
    price $241,000 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    LOT 90 - The Carver's two-story townhome offers a one-of-a-kind, contemporary design in a resort-style community unlike any other. Ideal for today's busy lifestyles—whether you're a first-time buyer, a growing family, or an individual homeowner—it features an open-concept layout where living and dining spaces blend seamlessly, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The island kitchen with breakfast bar overlooks this airy space, and the nearby powder and laundry rooms add everyday convenience. Upstairs, the owner's suite is set apart from two versatile bedrooms—ideal for a nursery, home office, wellness space, or welcoming back a college student. No other home matches this modern layout in such a vibrant setting. RIVERTOWN, a master-planned community along the St. Johns River, offers unmatched amenities focused on fitness, fun, and connection. Residents enjoy parks with scenic views, miles of nature trails, and year-round sunshine in beautiful northeast Florida.

15. 2026-02-19
    price $259,000 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    LOT 90 - The Carver's two-story townhome offers a one-of-a-kind, contemporary design in a resort-style community unlike any other. Ideal for today's busy lifestyles—whether you're a first-time buyer, a growing family, or an individual homeowner—it features an open-concept layout where living and dining spaces blend seamlessly, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The island kitchen with breakfast bar overlooks this airy space, and the nearby powder and laundry rooms add everyday convenience. Upstairs, the owner's suite is set apart from two versatile bedrooms—ideal for a nursery, home office, wellness space, or welcoming back a college student. No other home matches this modern layout in such a vibrant setting. RIVERTOWN, a master-planned community along the St. Johns River, offers unmatched amenities focused on fitness, fun, and connection. Residents enjoy parks with scenic views, miles of nature trails, and year-round sunshine in beautiful northeast Florida.

16. 2026-01-15
    price $264,000 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    LOT 90 - The Carver's two-story townhome offers a one-of-a-kind, contemporary design in a resort-style community unlike any other. Ideal for today's busy lifestyles—whether you're a first-time buyer, a growing family, or an individual homeowner—it features an open-concept layout where living and dining spaces blend seamlessly, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The island kitchen with breakfast bar overlooks this airy space, and the nearby powder and laundry rooms add everyday convenience. Upstairs, the owner's suite is set apart from two versatile bedrooms—ideal for a nursery, home office, wellness space, or welcoming back a college student. No other home matches this modern layout in such a vibrant setting. RIVERTOWN, a master-planned community along the St. Johns River, offers unmatched amenities focused on fitness, fun, and connection. Residents enjoy parks with scenic views, miles of nature trails, and year-round sunshine in beautiful northeast Florida.

17. 2025-09-22
    listed $265,990 Active 993-char remark

    Show marketing remark (993 chars)

    LOT 90 - The Carver's two-story townhome offers a one-of-a-kind, contemporary design in a resort-style community unlike any other. Ideal for today's busy lifestyles—whether you're a first-time buyer, a growing family, or an individual homeowner—it features an open-concept layout where living and dining spaces blend seamlessly, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The island kitchen with breakfast bar overlooks this airy space, and the nearby powder and laundry rooms add everyday convenience. Upstairs, the owner's suite is set apart from two versatile bedrooms—ideal for a nursery, home office, wellness space, or welcoming back a college student. No other home matches this modern layout in such a vibrant setting. RIVERTOWN, a master-planned community along the St. Johns River, offers unmatched amenities focused on fitness, fun, and connection. Residents enjoy parks with scenic views, miles of nature trails, and year-round sunshine in beautiful northeast Florida.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,724 · $227/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,724 · $227/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $30,585
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,395
• − Property taxes: −$2,724
• − Insurance: −$1,285
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,447
• − Management: −$2,447
• − HOA: −$2,052
• − Depreciation: −$7,476
• Taxable loss: −$2,241
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$538
• After-tax cash flow: $2,467/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: St. Johns
• NCES district ID: 1201740
• Math proficiency: 75% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 73% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $66,842
• Composite: 64.31/100
• National rank: #556
• State rank: #2 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fruit Cove

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #469
• US rank: #8490

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 75,016
• Household income: $150,736
• Rent vs Own: 11.8% rent · 88.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 727.0

Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 303,941 people
• By 2030: 342,590 · +12.7%
• By 2040: 417,328 · +37.3%
• By 2050: 487,011 · +60.2%
• By 2075: 635,395 · +109.1%
• By 2100: 717,469 · +136.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -105.54%
• Current HPI: 261.2552
• Rent YoY: ▬ 0.00%
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-11.1% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-17 Pending — realMLS
• 2026-05-12 Price Changed $236,500 realMLS
• 2026-04-23 Price Changed $239,000 realMLS
• 2026-04-10 Price Changed $241,000 realMLS
• 2026-03-23 Price Changed $242,000 realMLS
• 2026-03-15 Price Changed $241,000 realMLS
• 2026-02-19 Price Changed $259,000 realMLS
• 2026-01-15 Price Changed $264,000 realMLS
• 2025-09-22 Listed $265,990 realMLS

Property tax history

+10.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,724 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.