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149 Bobak Rd
B+ Composite 78.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,900

149 Bobak Rd · Vinco, PA 15942
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,718 sqft · SingleFamily · 37 Days on market
Built 1956 1.61 ac lot $44/sqft · 36% below area Est $187k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is much larger than it appears. The Cape cod style home has a full upstairs just needing a little finishing touches. With a main floor consisting of a living room, 2-3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, full, bath, and a massive 24x32 family room addition. Upstairs you will find 2-3 additional bedrooms (unheated) and a full bath. The large basement has a newer furnace, hot water tank, and 100 amp electric service. A brick home in a semi rural area with over an acre of ground priced to SELL! Don't wait- call today.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • Cape cod style home
  • Brick home

Tags

CAPE COD STYLE HOMEMASSIVE FAMILY ROOM ADDITIONUPDATED OIL FURNACEHOT WATER TANK100 AMP ELECTRIC SERVICEBRICK HOME

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Crushed rock other parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer available)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half levels; 1 story
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Full unfinished basement
  • Exterior features: Irregular lot; Public maintained road frontage on a city street; Corner location (Bobak and Maple)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil); Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#1,005 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Conemaugh Valley SD (rural): math 30% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #313 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $96k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.70%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$186,582
List price
$119,900
Delta
-35.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$84,382
Equity at exit
$108,015
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
7.96×
Total profit
$233,539
Equity at exit
$232,939

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15942

Home prices YoY
7.3%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,423 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,750/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$299

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,044
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $367 -5% $333 +0% $299 +5% $265 +10% $231
Rent -10% $187 -5% $243 +0% $299 +5% $355 +10% $412
Rate -1.0pp $360 -0.5pp $330 base $299 +0.5pp $268 +1.0pp $237

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $119,900 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 587-char remark
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 15 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    listed $124,900 Active 557-char remark
  18. 2023-07-13
    soldstatus $96,000
  19. 2023-06-30
    soldstatus $96,000 Closed 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    This home is much larger than it appears. The Cape cod style home has a full upstairs just needing a little finishing touches. With a main floor consisting of a living room, 2-3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, full, bath, and a massive 24x32 family room addition. Upstairs you will find 2-3 additional bedrooms (unheated) and a full bath. The large basement has a newer furnace, hot water tank, and 100 amp electric service. A brick home in a semi rural area with over an acre of ground priced to SELL! Don't wait- call today.

  20. 2023-04-27
    status Pending 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    This home is much larger than it appears. The Cape cod style home has a full upstairs just needing a little finishing touches. With a main floor consisting of a living room, 2-3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, full, bath, and a massive 24x32 family room addition. Upstairs you will find 2-3 additional bedrooms (unheated) and a full bath. The large basement has a newer furnace, hot water tank, and 100 amp electric service. A brick home in a semi rural area with over an acre of ground priced to SELL! Don't wait- call today.

  21. 2023-04-17
    price $89,900 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    This home is much larger than it appears. The Cape cod style home has a full upstairs just needing a little finishing touches. With a main floor consisting of a living room, 2-3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, full, bath, and a massive 24x32 family room addition. Upstairs you will find 2-3 additional bedrooms (unheated) and a full bath. The large basement has a newer furnace, hot water tank, and 100 amp electric service. A brick home in a semi rural area with over an acre of ground priced to SELL! Don't wait- call today.

  22. 2023-03-20
    listed $97,900 Active 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    This home is much larger than it appears. The Cape cod style home has a full upstairs just needing a little finishing touches. With a main floor consisting of a living room, 2-3 bedrooms, eat in kitchen, full, bath, and a massive 24x32 family room addition. Upstairs you will find 2-3 additional bedrooms (unheated) and a full bath. The large basement has a newer furnace, hot water tank, and 100 amp electric service. A brick home in a semi rural area with over an acre of ground priced to SELL! Don't wait- call today.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,750 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,822 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$72/yr (+$6/mo · 4.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,072
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,750
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,366
− Management
−$1,366
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,786
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$429
After-tax cash flow
$3,163/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Conemaugh Valley SD
NCES district ID
4206430
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$42,523
Composite
36.16/100
National rank
#4739
State rank
#313 of 539 in PA

Livability — Vinco

Score
67/100
State rank
#1005
US rank
#11078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,134

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Italian 6% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
0% · South Korea

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.02%
Current HPI
161.1142
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $119,900 CSMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $124,900 CSMLS
  • 2023-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
  • 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) $96,000 CSMLS
  • 2023-04-27 Pending CSMLS
  • 2023-04-17 Price Changed $89,900 CSMLS
  • 2023-03-20 Listed $97,900 CSMLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,750 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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