15 Beach Rd Unit 3D · Great Neck, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- Schools +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$279,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Pristine 1-Bedroom Co-Op Adjacent to the Village Green Experience the perfect blend of tranquility and convenience in this meticulously maintained one-bedroom co-op at 15 Beach Road. Located on the third floor of a charming walk-up, this bright and clean residence offers a modern aesthetic and a functional layout, providing an excellent move-in-ready opportunity in the heart of Great Neck. Property Highlights:• Impeccable Condition: Exceptionally clean and well-kept interior with abundant natural light.• Serene Setting: The building sits on a lush, manicured lawn directly adjacent to the iconic Village Green.• On-Site Amenities: Features dedicated laundry facilities and private storage space within the building.• Prime Location: Moments from the Great Neck LIRR, premier shopping, dining, and local village services. Building Policies: Please note this is a no-pet and no-sublet building, ensuring a consistent and quiet community environment. Enjoy park-side living in one of the North Shore’s most desirable locations.
Key facts
- Park-side living
- Built 1953
- Listed 79 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $279k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (3.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $262k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.0% in Great Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#294 in NY, #4,766 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
- Great Neck Union Free School District (suburban): math 86% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #30 of 590 in NY (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $215k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.14%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $295,810
- List price
- $279,000
- Delta
- -5.68%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-13,662
- Equity at exit
- $61,274
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $21,988
- Equity at exit
- $59,300
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11023
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,699 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$349 /mo · $4,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$567
- Net cashflow
- $204
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $397 | -5% $301 | +0% $204 | +5% $108 | +10% $12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-9 | -5% $98 | +0% $204 | +5% $311 | +10% $418 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $345 | -0.5pp $275 | base $204 | +0.5pp $132 | +1.0pp $58 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Stoner Ave Unit 2G Great Neck, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,800 | $4.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 30 Barstow Rd Unit LL4 Great Neck, NY | — | 1.0 | 415 | $1,825 | $4.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7 Bond St Unit 3J Great Neck, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,800 | $4.31 | 20d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 11 Schenck Ave Unit 2D Great Neck Plaza, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,200 | $2.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 17 Schenck Ave Unit 3B Great Neck Plaza, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,295 | $3.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 240 E Shore Rd Great Neck, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 999 | $4,770 | $4.77 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- cable
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $279,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $279,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $279,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $279,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $279,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $289,000 1056-char remark
Show marketing remark (1056 chars)
Pristine 1-Bedroom Co-Op Adjacent to the Village Green Experience the perfect blend of tranquility and convenience in this meticulously maintained one-bedroom co-op at 15 Beach Road. Located on the third floor of a charming walk-up, this bright and clean residence offers a modern aesthetic and a functional layout, providing an excellent move-in-ready opportunity in the heart of Great Neck. Property Highlights:• Impeccable Condition: Exceptionally clean and well-kept interior with abundant natural light.• Serene Setting: The building sits on a lush, manicured lawn directly adjacent to the iconic Village Green.• On-Site Amenities: Features dedicated laundry facilities and private storage space within the building.• Prime Location: Moments from the Great Neck LIRR, premier shopping, dining, and local village services. Building Policies: Please note this is a no-pet and no-sublet building, ensuring a consistent and quiet community environment. Enjoy park-side living in one of the North Shore’s most desirable locations.
-
2026-03-30$299,000 Active 1056-char remark
Show marketing remark (1056 chars)
Pristine 1-Bedroom Co-Op Adjacent to the Village Green Experience the perfect blend of tranquility and convenience in this meticulously maintained one-bedroom co-op at 15 Beach Road. Located on the third floor of a charming walk-up, this bright and clean residence offers a modern aesthetic and a functional layout, providing an excellent move-in-ready opportunity in the heart of Great Neck. Property Highlights:• Impeccable Condition: Exceptionally clean and well-kept interior with abundant natural light.• Serene Setting: The building sits on a lush, manicured lawn directly adjacent to the iconic Village Green.• On-Site Amenities: Features dedicated laundry facilities and private storage space within the building.• Prime Location: Moments from the Great Neck LIRR, premier shopping, dining, and local village services. Building Policies: Please note this is a no-pet and no-sublet building, ensuring a consistent and quiet community environment. Enjoy park-side living in one of the North Shore’s most desirable locations.
-
2024-03-19soldstatus $215,000 Closed 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Lovely Top Floor One Bedroom in Great Neck Village. Close to Everything. Welcome to this charming one-bedroom apartment nestled on the top floor of a well-maintained walk-up building. enjoy views of the private landscaped courtyard and the village green park/ .the location offers convenience With nearby bus stops and town amenities within walking distance, you'll have easy access to public transportation and a variety of shops and restaurants. Enjoy all the benefits of the Great Neck Park District., Additional information: Appearance:Very Good,Interior Features:Lr/Dr
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2023-10-11status Pending 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Lovely Top Floor One Bedroom in Great Neck Village. Close to Everything. Welcome to this charming one-bedroom apartment nestled on the top floor of a well-maintained walk-up building. enjoy views of the private landscaped courtyard and the village green park/ .the location offers convenience With nearby bus stops and town amenities within walking distance, you'll have easy access to public transportation and a variety of shops and restaurants. Enjoy all the benefits of the Great Neck Park District., Additional information: Appearance:Very Good,Interior Features:Lr/Dr
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2023-08-03$220,000 Active 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Lovely Top Floor One Bedroom in Great Neck Village. Close to Everything. Welcome to this charming one-bedroom apartment nestled on the top floor of a well-maintained walk-up building. enjoy views of the private landscaped courtyard and the village green park/ .the location offers convenience With nearby bus stops and town amenities within walking distance, you'll have easy access to public transportation and a variety of shops and restaurants. Enjoy all the benefits of the Great Neck Park District., Additional information: Appearance:Very Good,Interior Features:Lr/Dr
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,391
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$4,185
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,591
- − Management
- −$2,591
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable loss
- −$2,116
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$508
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,960/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in-ready one-bedroom condo is in good condition with a good curb appeal. Minor updates to the walls and kitchen can further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
- Both replace wallpaper — New wallpaper can modernize the space and add value
- Both clean kitchen — A clean kitchen can attract more buyers and renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance ↑
- Both replace wallpaper — New wallpaper can modernize the space and add value ↑
- Both clean kitchen — A clean kitchen can attract more buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Great Neck Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612510
- Math proficiency
- 86% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 83% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $99,939
- Composite
- 76.19/100
- National rank
- #111
- State rank
- #30 of 590 in NY
Livability — Great Neck
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #294
- US rank
- #4766
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Great Neck, NY
- City population
- 19,783
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,824
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Asian 17% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · China, Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Other Indo-European 17% Chinese 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.46%
- Current HPI
- 274.3808
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+31.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $289,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Listed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-19 Sold (MLS) $215,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-11 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-03 Listed $220,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…