Triplex
138 Park Blvd · Marion, OH
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.5%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special - Value-Add Rental Opportunity. Excellent buy-and-hold property with strong upside potential in an established Marion neighborhood with consistent rental demand. 138 Park Blvd is well-suited for renovation and repositioning as a long-term income-producing asset. Opportunity to add value through improvements and capture increased rental income over time.
Key facts
- 9,337 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $852/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 74.6% vs local median 6.9% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#704 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
- Marion City (town): math 22% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #600 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 210 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,578/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 1554% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $45k implies a 274% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 74.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 243.93%
- DSCR
- 11.85
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,973
- List price
- $44,900
- Delta
- -67.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.37×
- Total profit
- $155,523
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 28.45×
- Total profit
- $345,139
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43302
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,578 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $202/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$751
- Net cashflow
- $2,556
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,581 | -5% $2,568 | +0% $2,556 | +5% $2,543 | +10% $2,530 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,273 | -5% $2,414 | +0% $2,556 | +5% $2,697 | +10% $2,838 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,578 | -0.5pp $2,567 | base $2,556 | +0.5pp $2,544 | +1.0pp $2,532 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | — | $3,579 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $1,193 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $1,193 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $1,193 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,578 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $44,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $44,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $44,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $44,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $44,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-03-17price $44,900 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Investor Special - Value-Add Rental Opportunity. Excellent buy-and-hold property with strong upside potential in an established Marion neighborhood with consistent rental demand. 138 Park Blvd is well-suited for renovation and repositioning as a long-term income-producing asset. Opportunity to add value through improvements and capture increased rental income over time.
-
2026-02-27$49,900 Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Investor Special - Value-Add Rental Opportunity. Excellent buy-and-hold property with strong upside potential in an established Marion neighborhood with consistent rental demand. 138 Park Blvd is well-suited for renovation and repositioning as a long-term income-producing asset. Opportunity to add value through improvements and capture increased rental income over time.
-
2026-02-11historical
-
2026-02-05price $44,900
-
2026-01-12$59,900 Active
-
2013-10-18soldstatus $12,000
-
2012-11-04$12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $202 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $451 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- +$249/yr (+$21/mo · 123.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 50% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,936
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$202
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,435
- − Management
- −$3,435
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $31,819
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,636
- After-tax cash flow
- $23,031/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion City
- NCES district ID
- 3904433
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,327
- Composite
- 21.58/100
- National rank
- #8306
- State rank
- #600 of 656 in OH
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #704
- US rank
- #12605
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, OH
- County
- Marion County · 53,702 people
- City population
- 53,702
- Metro
- Marion, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,702
- Household income
- $55,057
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,078 people
- By 2030
- 60,049 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 50,604 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 40,162 · -35.3%
- By 2100
- 29,105 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.9% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.5pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+8.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.52%
- Current HPI
- 223.5344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marion, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+274.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $44,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $49,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-02-11 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $44,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $59,900 CBRMLS
- 2013-10-18 Sold (MLS) $12,000 CBRMLS
- 2012-11-04 Listed $12,000 CBRMLS
Property tax history
-15.3%/yrLatest (2025): $202 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…