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1401 N Midland Trlr 9
B- Composite 65.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1401 N Midland Trlr 9 · Nampa, ID 83651
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Manufactured public records · 333 Days on market
Built 1999 Est $88k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your next chapter in this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a welcoming 55 and over community. This mobile home offers comfort and functionality with a spacious layout perfect for daily living and relaxation. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, ensuring privacy and ease. Entertain guests or unwind in the generously sized living area and enjoy meals in the cozy dining space just off the kitchen. Outside, the rented lot provides a low-maintenance lifestyle without sacrificing outdoor enjoyment. Conveniently located near community essentials, you're just a short trip from a local grocery store, a trusted pet and garden supply spot, and an educational cente

Key facts

  • Cozy dining space
  • En suite bath
  • Conveniently located

Tags

EN SUITE BATHGENEROUSLY SIZED LIVING AREACOZY DINING SPACELOW MAINTENANCE LIFESTYLECONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Nampa NE area; directions: Nampa Caldwell Blvd, south on Midland to address; OK Mobile Home Park
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee

Exterior

  • Home design: Mobile/manufactured home
  • Construction: Originally built in 1999
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approx. 5,999 sq ft); Located in a mobile/manufactured home park (rented lot)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Main-level master and additional bedrooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 3.2% in Nampa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#47 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Vallivue School District (rural): math 34% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #48 of 92 in ID (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Canyon Elementary School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #247 of 357 statewide, top 70%, 692 students, 33% FRL); Ridgevue High School (math 27% / reading 67%, grade D-, #55 of 169 statewide, top 34%, 1,578 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,620 units permitted in Canyon County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Canyon County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.92%
Cash-on-cash
27.23%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$87,696
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
571 Caldwell Blvd Trlr 36 Blvd 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,008 (0%) 14mo $89,990 $89 76
1401 N Midland Blvd #17 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 924 (-8%) 10mo $110,000 $119 73
1410 W Flamingo Ave Trlr 7 #7 0.38mi 3/2.0 924 (-8%) 3mo $72,000 $78 66
571 Caldwell Blvd #11 0.27mi 3/1.5 924 (-8%) 15mo $60,000 $65 59
1715 W Flamingo Ave #67 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 980 (-3%) 14mo $89,999 $92 58
1715 W Flamingo Ave Trlr 27a Unit 27A 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (-5%) 11mo $77,500 $81 58
1715 W Flamingo Ave Trlr 91 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 938 (-7%) 7mo $115,000 $123 57
1410 Flamingo #57 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 938 (-7%) 15mo $69,900 $75 54
1410 W Flamingo Ave #93 Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 924 (-8%) 20mo $79,985 $87 52
1907 W Flamingo #107 0.51mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,106 (+10%) 6mo $169,900 $154 50
1715 Flamingo Unit 61A 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (+14%) 1mo $85,000 $74 50
1715 W Flamingo Ave #39 Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,120 (+11%) 18mo $87,500 $78 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$29,707
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
34.4%
Equity multiple
4.65×
Total profit
$101,992
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83651

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Rents YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $294/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$635

Break-even live

Break-even rent $747
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1215 N Benewah St Nampa, ID 3.0 2.0 1219 $1,250 $1.03 14d 1 0.13mi
1013 W Willow Ave Nampa, ID 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 14d 1 0.13mi
1490 W Bonneville Cir Nampa, ID 2.0 1.5 970 $1,350 $1.39 23d 1 0.30mi
1435 W Bonneville Cir Unit 1470-103 Nampa, ID 2.0 1.5 970 $1,350 $1.39 3d 1 0.31mi
1275 Caldwell Blvd Nampa, ID 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 921 $1,900 $2.06 23d 1 0.34mi
1805 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 965 $1,395 $1.45 21d 1 0.49mi
1825 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 880 $1,395 $1.59 23d 1 0.49mi
1860 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 880 $1,395 $1.59 14d 1 0.51mi
1865 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 880 $1,395 $1.59 23d 1 0.52mi
1925 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 965 $1,395 $1.45 23d 1 0.55mi
1920 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 880 $1,395 $1.59 23d 1 0.55mi
450 W Orchard Ave Nampa, ID 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1129 $1,699 $1.50 3d 11 0.56mi
2084 W Bella Ln Unit 1460910P Nampa, ID 3.0 2.0 1237 $3,905 $3.16 23d 1 0.63mi
16060 N Merchant Way Nampa, ID 2.0–3.0 2.0 1115 $1,695 $1.52 3d 1 0.66mi
9848 W Sand Hill Dr Nampa, ID 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1008 $1,650 $1.64 23d 1 0.79mi
1820 W Camelot Dr Nampa, ID 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,195 $1.57 3d 1 0.80mi
151 N Midland Blvd Unit 101 Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 930 $1,325 $1.42 14d 1 0.84mi
151 N Midland Blvd Unit 103 Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 930 $1,325 $1.42 23d 1 0.84mi
617 Purple Sage Dr Nampa, ID 3.0 2.0 1104 $1,795 $1.63 23d 1 0.94mi
11179 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 3d 1 0.99mi
11199 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 23d 1 1.01mi
11188 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 23d 1 1.02mi
11004 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 21d 1 1.03mi
11010 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 23d 1 1.03mi
11160 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 23d 1 1.04mi
15690 N Knightgate Ln Nampa, ID 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1239 $1,825 $1.47 3d 3 1.04mi
11159 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 23d 1 1.06mi
11028 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 23d 1 1.06mi
11130 W Ashburn Ln Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 1106 $1,650 $1.49 14d 2 1.08mi
11034 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 19d 1 1.08mi
15550 N Kodee Way Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 14d 1 1.08mi
11039 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 10d 1 1.08mi
11144 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 3d 1 1.13mi
11139 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 945 $1,395 $1.48 14d 1 1.14mi
11139 W Brassy Cove Loop Unit 201 Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 21d 1 1.14mi
11082 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 10d 1 1.17mi
11215 W Ashburn Ln Nampa, ID 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1176 $1,825 $1.55 3d 2 1.17mi
11132 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 3d 1 1.17mi
11214 W Ashburn Ln Nampa, ID 3.0 3.0 1301 $1,825 $1.40 3d 2 1.17mi
11106 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID 2.0 2.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 3d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2025-10-18
    price $99,900
  2. 2025-08-14
    price $119,900
  3. 2025-06-28
    listed $124,900 Active
  4. 2021-01-29
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$294 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$689 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$395/yr (+$33/mo · 134.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,605
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$294
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$6,333
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,520
After-tax cash flow
$6,098/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vallivue School District
NCES district ID
1600600
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$47,377
Composite
38.3/100
National rank
#4229
State rank
#48 of 92 in ID

Livability — Nampa

Score
72/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#6250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nampa, ID
County
Canyon County · 235,358 people
City population
142,249
Metro
Boise City, ID
Population (ZIP)
38,121
Household income
$69,914
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
723.0

Population outlook (Canyon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
269,596 · +8.3%
By 2040
311,081 · +25.0%
By 2050
350,809 · +41.0%
By 2075
441,884 · +77.6%
By 2100
505,641 · +103.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Canyon

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.4% · R 72.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: -35.2pp · 2024: -46.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.6 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+35.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -132.40%
Current HPI
335.6717
Rent YoY
▲ 6.41%
Metro
Boise City, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-18 Price Changed $99,900 IMLS
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $119,900 IMLS
  • 2025-06-28 Listed $124,900 IMLS
  • 2021-01-29 Listed $45,000 IMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $294 · -6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…