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215 S Valley View Rd Lot 252 & 253
D+ Composite 46.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$135,000

215 S Valley View Rd Lot 252 & 253 · Donna, TX 78537
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured · 157 Days on market
Built 2013 Good condition 4,020 sqft lot $88/sqft · 41% above area Est $96k · 41% over $17/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 215 S Valley View Rd, located in the peaceful Quiet Village II community in Donna, TX. This well-kept mobile home sits on a spacious double lot, offering plenty of room for outdoor living, gardening, or additional parking. Enjoy the comfort of a 55+ neighborhood that’s quiet, welcoming, and conveniently located near schools, shopping, and daily essentials. A perfect option for anyone looking for a low-maintenance lifestyle in a well-established community.

Key facts

  • Spacious double lot
  • Outdoor living
  • 4,020 sq ft lot

Tags

SPACIOUS DOUBLE LOTOUTDOOR LIVINGLOW-MAINTENANCE LIFESTYLEWELL-ESTABLISHED COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($199/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (3.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.7% in Donna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,411 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Donna ISD (suburban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #821 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: J W Caceres Discovery Int Academy (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 262 students, 96% FRL); A P Solis Middle (math 8% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,602 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 666 students, 93% FRL); Donna H S (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,436 of 1,632 statewide, top 88%, 2,095 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 48% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 327 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.64%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$95,870
List price
$135,000
Delta
40.82%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
889 Kennard St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-5%) 17mo $110,000 $76 54
886 Kennard St 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,364 (-11%) 23mo $79,000 $58 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$74,653
Equity at exit
$121,619
10-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
6.80×
Total profit
$219,150
Equity at exit
$262,275

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78537

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,308 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$17
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,287
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $110 -5% $63 +0% $17 +5% $-30 +10% $-77
Rent -10% $-87 -5% $-35 +0% $17 +5% $68 +10% $120
Rate -1.0pp $85 -0.5pp $51 base $17 +0.5pp $-18 +1.0pp $-54

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
108 Collins St Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 1420 $1,550 $1.09 25d 1 0.44mi
310 Scobey Ave Unit 323 Donna, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $904 $0.74 45d 1 1.12mi
419 N 8th St Unit 2 Donna, TX 2.0 1.0 2190 $850 $0.39 25d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$17 · $204/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 157 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 145 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 144 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 143 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 140 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 139 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 138 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 137 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 136 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 135 DOM
  18. 2026-02-16
    price $135,000 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    Welcome to 215 S Valley View Rd, located in the peaceful Quiet Village II community in Donna, TX. This well-kept mobile home sits on a spacious double lot, offering plenty of room for outdoor living, gardening, or additional parking. Enjoy the comfort of a 55+ neighborhood that’s quiet, welcoming, and conveniently located near schools, shopping, and daily essentials. A perfect option for anyone looking for a low-maintenance lifestyle in a well-established community.

  19. 2026-01-15
    listed $145,000 Active 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    Welcome to 215 S Valley View Rd, located in the peaceful Quiet Village II community in Donna, TX. This well-kept mobile home sits on a spacious double lot, offering plenty of room for outdoor living, gardening, or additional parking. Enjoy the comfort of a 55+ neighborhood that’s quiet, welcoming, and conveniently located near schools, shopping, and daily essentials. A perfect option for anyone looking for a low-maintenance lifestyle in a well-established community.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,691
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$1,472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,255
− Management
−$1,255
− HOA
−$204
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$2,010
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$482
After-tax cash flow
$682/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home in a peaceful community offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. Upgrades in paint, landscaping, and kitchen appliances can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizing the kitchen with new appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizing the kitchen with new appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Donna ISD
NCES district ID
4817390
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -30.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$27,330
Composite
11.16/100
National rank
#9728
State rank
#821 of 826 in TX

Livability — Donna

Score
54/100
State rank
#1411
US rank
#24172

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
51,346
Population (ZIP)
51,346

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 49% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 91%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada
Languages at home
15% English-only · Spanish 84%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.30%
Current HPI
243.3933
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $135,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $145,000 MCALLENMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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