CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
459 Garren Ln
C+ Composite 62.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$232,286

459 Garren Ln · Carlyss, LA 70665
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,629 sqft · SingleFamily · 219 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition 7,502 sqft lot $143/sqft · 12% below area Est $264k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* 2/1 buydown with rate as low as 3.99% for the first 12 months. Contact Builder Sales Rep(s) for current incentive details. * The DALTON IV G has an open designed floor plan with 3 bedrooms & 2 full bathrooms. This NEW home includes upgraded luxury vinyl plank flooring added in all bedrooms. Special plan features include granite counters throughout, kitchen island, undermount kitchen sink & walk-in pantry, luxury vinyl plank floors in living room, kitchen, dining & all wet areas, 2 walk-in closets, separate shower & garden tub in primary suite, energy efficient appliances (range, dishwasher & microwave hood), walk-in closet in bedroom 2 and 3, low E tilt-in windows, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, covered patio, architectural roof with 30-year shingles, post tension slab, seasonal landscaping package & so much more!

Key facts

  • New construction
  • Kitchen island
  • Granite counters

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONGRANITE COUNTERSKITCHEN ISLANDUNDERMOUNT KITCHEN SINKWALK-IN PANTRYLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $232k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $232k).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 236 active listings in the ZIP; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $204,411 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.33%
Cash-on-cash
7.28%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$264,263
List price
$232,286
Delta
-12.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
470 Garren Ln 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,686 (+4%) 23mo $232,900 $138 74
222 Tara St 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+10%) 20mo $155,000 $86 46
5142 La-27 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,503 (-8%) 24mo $140,000 $93 42
5231 Winnie Dr 0.54mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,841 (+13%) 9mo $275,000 $149 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-12,465
Equity at exit
$34,635
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$21,668
Equity at exit
$20,084

Cash invested: $65,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70665

Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,532 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,218
Tax est. 1.5%
$290 /mo · $3,484/yr
Insurance
$97
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$532
Net cashflow
$395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,032
Max offer price $232,286
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,072
Closing costs
$6,969
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $232,286 Active 219 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $232,286 Active 218 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $232,291 Active 218 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $232,291 Active 217 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $232,291 Active 216 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $232,291 Active 215 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $232,291 Active 213 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $232,291 Active 212 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $232,291 Active 210 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $232,291 Active 209 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $232,291 Active 208 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $232,291 Active 207 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $232,291 Active 204 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $232,291 Active 202 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $232,291 Active 201 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $232,291 Active 200 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $232,291 Active 199 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    price $231,291 868-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1200 chars)

    Awesome builder rate + FREE front gutters OR window blinds(restrictions apply)! Brand NEW Construction in Maggy’s Ridge, a beautiful new construction community in Sulphur, Louisiana, proudly built by DSLD Homes. The DALTON IV G has an open designed floor plan with 3 bedrooms & 2 full bathrooms. This NEW home includes upgraded luxury vinyl plank flooring added in all bedrooms. Special plan features include granite counters throughout, kitchen island, undermount kitchen sink & walk-in pantry, luxury vinyl plank floors in living room, kitchen, dining & all wet areas, 2 walk-in closets, separate shower & garden tub in primary suite, energy efficient appliances (range, dishwasher & microwave hood), walk-in closet in bedroom 2 and 3, low E tilt-in windows, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, covered patio, architectural roof with 30-year shingles, post tension slab, seasonal landscaping package & so much more! Discover Maggy’s Ridge in Sulphur, LA—a community where small-town charm, modern comfort, and quality craftsmanship come together. Conveniently located with easy access to I-10 and US-90, making commuting simple and stress-free!

  19. 2026-05-14
    price $231,291 1200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1200 chars)

    Awesome builder rate + FREE front gutters OR window blinds(restrictions apply)! Brand NEW Construction in Maggy’s Ridge, a beautiful new construction community in Sulphur, Louisiana, proudly built by DSLD Homes. The DALTON IV G has an open designed floor plan with 3 bedrooms & 2 full bathrooms. This NEW home includes upgraded luxury vinyl plank flooring added in all bedrooms. Special plan features include granite counters throughout, kitchen island, undermount kitchen sink & walk-in pantry, luxury vinyl plank floors in living room, kitchen, dining & all wet areas, 2 walk-in closets, separate shower & garden tub in primary suite, energy efficient appliances (range, dishwasher & microwave hood), walk-in closet in bedroom 2 and 3, low E tilt-in windows, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, covered patio, architectural roof with 30-year shingles, post tension slab, seasonal landscaping package & so much more! Discover Maggy’s Ridge in Sulphur, LA—a community where small-town charm, modern comfort, and quality craftsmanship come together. Conveniently located with easy access to I-10 and US-90, making commuting simple and stress-free!

  20. 2025-11-13
    listed $227,291 Active 868-char remark
    Show marketing remark (868 chars)

    * 2/1 buydown with rate as low as 3.99% for the first 12 months. Contact Builder Sales Rep(s) for current incentive details. * The DALTON IV G has an open designed floor plan with 3 bedrooms & 2 full bathrooms. This NEW home includes upgraded luxury vinyl plank flooring added in all bedrooms. Special plan features include granite counters throughout, kitchen island, undermount kitchen sink & walk-in pantry, luxury vinyl plank floors in living room, kitchen, dining & all wet areas, 2 walk-in closets, separate shower & garden tub in primary suite, energy efficient appliances (range, dishwasher & microwave hood), walk-in closet in bedroom 2 and 3, low E tilt-in windows, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, covered patio, architectural roof with 30-year shingles, post tension slab, seasonal landscaping package & so much more!

  21. 2025-11-12
    listed $227,291 Active 1200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1200 chars)

    Awesome builder rate + FREE front gutters OR window blinds(restrictions apply)! Brand NEW Construction in Maggy’s Ridge, a beautiful new construction community in Sulphur, Louisiana, proudly built by DSLD Homes. The DALTON IV G has an open designed floor plan with 3 bedrooms & 2 full bathrooms. This NEW home includes upgraded luxury vinyl plank flooring added in all bedrooms. Special plan features include granite counters throughout, kitchen island, undermount kitchen sink & walk-in pantry, luxury vinyl plank floors in living room, kitchen, dining & all wet areas, 2 walk-in closets, separate shower & garden tub in primary suite, energy efficient appliances (range, dishwasher & microwave hood), walk-in closet in bedroom 2 and 3, low E tilt-in windows, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, covered patio, architectural roof with 30-year shingles, post tension slab, seasonal landscaping package & so much more! Discover Maggy’s Ridge in Sulphur, LA—a community where small-town charm, modern comfort, and quality craftsmanship come together. Conveniently located with easy access to I-10 and US-90, making commuting simple and stress-free!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,379
− Mortgage interest
−$13,012
− Property taxes
−$3,484
− Insurance
−$1,161
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,430
− Management
−$2,430
− Depreciation
−$6,757
Taxable income
$1,104
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$265
After-tax cash flow
$4,471/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This newly constructed home in Maggy's Ridge is move-in ready with excellent condition and no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with updates like fresh paint and smart home devices.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances home's appeal and can increase rental value
  • Both Add smart thermostat — Improves energy efficiency and comfort, attracting buyers and renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances home's appeal and can increase rental value
  • Both Add smart thermostat — Improves energy efficiency and comfort, attracting buyers and renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calcasieu Parish
NCES district ID
2200330
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5979
State rank
#29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Carlyss

Score
61/100
State rank
#237
US rank
#18031

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carlyss, LA
Population (ZIP)
12,891

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,179 people
By 2030
218,199 · +2.8%
By 2040
228,486 · +7.7%
By 2050
236,208 · +11.3%
By 2075
251,696 · +18.6%
By 2100
247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.65%
Current HPI
99.2379
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $231,291 Zillow
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $231,291 SWLAR
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $227,291 Zillow
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $227,291 SWLAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…