None · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD HOME SOLD AS-IS, EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY. FHA UNINSURABLE. APPRAISED VALUE:$29,000 BIDDING DEADLINE: OWNER OCCUPANT 3/14/10 @ 11:59PM. CASE# 241-786579. GROUND RENT TO BE VERIFIED.
Key facts
- Investment property
- Immediate equity
- Producing income
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership interest: Ground rent; Finished above-grade area per assessor: 1,688
- Financial info: Ground rent payment: $96 annually; Income/expense note: Annual ground rent listed
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Estimated year built
- Construction: Brick construction; Block and concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent exists (paid annually)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Five bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total; One half bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; One fireplace; Nine total rooms; Two or more access exits
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $166k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $166k).
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,272/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 2776% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $166k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.67%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $241,384
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3910 Edmondson Ave | 0.15mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,568 (-7%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $143 | 70 |
| 743 Linnard St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,693 (+0%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $118 | 70 |
| 405 N Loudon Ave | 0.22mi | 5/2.0 | 1,896 (+12%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $92 | 67 |
| 802 N Woodington Rd | 0.16mi | 5/4.5 | 1,818 (+8%) | 4mo | $289,000 | $159 | 66 |
| 3805 Harlem Ave | 0.21mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,867 (+11%) | 7mo | $82,500 | $44 | 60 |
| 509 Normandy Ave | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,458 (-14%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $145 | 60 |
| 4411 Maple Wood Dr | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,660 (-2%) | 10mo | $342,000 | $206 | 59 |
| 3716 Edmondson Ave | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-10%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $86 | 59 |
| 319 Lyndhurst St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,434 (-15%) | 4mo | $224,999 | $157 | 52 |
| 510 Lyndhurst St | 0.22mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,434 (-15%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $87 | 49 |
| 4501 Rokeby Rd | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+14%) | 9mo | $274,000 | $143 | 43 |
| 1102 Mount Holly St | 0.40mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 1,452 (-14%) | 6mo | $262,000 | $180 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $14,957
- Equity at exit
- $24,750
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $83,979
- Equity at exit
- $14,352
Cash invested: $46,479 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21229
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,272 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$870
- Tax from tax record
- −$287 /mo · $3,446/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $568
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $662 | -5% $615 | +0% $568 | +5% $521 | +10% $474 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $389 | -5% $479 | +0% $568 | +5% $658 | +10% $748 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $652 | -0.5pp $611 | base $568 | +0.5pp $525 | +1.0pp $482 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,499
- Closing costs
- $4,980
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 Normandy Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1640 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3619 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1962 | $2,800 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 623 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 730 Linnard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3507 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,950 | $2.10 | 5d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 715 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1542 | $2,550 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1633 N Hilton St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $2,600 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1402 Poplar Grove St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1540 | $800 | $0.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 114 S Rock Glen Rd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $2,350 | $2.03 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2744 W Mosher St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3030 Windsor Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2124 | $1,995 | $0.94 | 5d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2917 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1700 | $2,150 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,995 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 476-char remark
-
2026-06-17$165,995 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,446 · $287/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,446 · $287/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,269
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,298
- − Property taxes
- −$3,446
- − Insurance
- −$830
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,181
- − Management
- −$2,181
- − Depreciation
- −$4,829
- Taxable income
- $4,503
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,081
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,679
- Household income
- $60,047
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2776.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.07%
- Current HPI
- 226.896
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.38%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+163.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $165,995 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $105,314 Public Records
- 2017-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2012-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $77,533 Public Records
- 2010-04-13 Sold (MLS) $35,100 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-04-13 Sold (MLS) $35,100 MRIS
- 2010-03-15 Pending — MRIS
- 2010-03-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-03-06 Listed $27,550 MRIS
- 2010-03-06 Listed $27,550 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2000-09-08 Sold (MLS) $63,000 MRIS
- 2000-05-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-04-25 Listed $63,000 MRIS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,446 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…