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B Composite 73.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,995

None · Baltimore, MD 21229
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,688 sqft · Townhouse public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1930 2,178 sqft lot Est $241k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD HOME SOLD AS-IS, EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY. FHA UNINSURABLE. APPRAISED VALUE:$29,000 BIDDING DEADLINE: OWNER OCCUPANT 3/14/10 @ 11:59PM. CASE# 241-786579. GROUND RENT TO BE VERIFIED.

Key facts

  • Investment property
  • Immediate equity
  • Producing income

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYPRODUCING INCOMEIMMEDIATE EQUITYBELOW MARKET VALUEINCOME PRODUCING PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership interest: Ground rent; Finished above-grade area per assessor: 1,688
  • Financial info: Ground rent payment: $96 annually; Income/expense note: Annual ground rent listed

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block and concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent exists (paid annually)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Five bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total; One half bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; One fireplace; Nine total rooms; Two or more access exits

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $166k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $166k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,272/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 2776% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $105k; list at $166k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,995

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.67%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$241,384
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3910 Edmondson Ave 0.15mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,568 (-7%) 5mo $225,000 $143 70
743 Linnard St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,693 (+0%) 1mo $199,000 $118 70
405 N Loudon Ave 0.22mi 5/2.0 1,896 (+12%) 2mo $175,000 $92 67
802 N Woodington Rd 0.16mi 5/4.5 1,818 (+8%) 4mo $289,000 $159 66
3805 Harlem Ave 0.21mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,867 (+11%) 7mo $82,500 $44 60
509 Normandy Ave 0.20mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,458 (-14%) 1mo $212,000 $145 60
4411 Maple Wood Dr 0.48mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,660 (-2%) 10mo $342,000 $206 59
3716 Edmondson Ave 0.28mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,512 (-10%) 2mo $130,000 $86 59
319 Lyndhurst St 0.32mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,434 (-15%) 4mo $224,999 $157 52
510 Lyndhurst St 0.22mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,434 (-15%) 10mo $125,000 $87 49
4501 Rokeby Rd 0.47mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,920 (+14%) 9mo $274,000 $143 43
1102 Mount Holly St 0.40mi 4/3.5 (-1) 1,452 (-14%) 6mo $262,000 $180 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$14,957
Equity at exit
$24,750
10-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$83,979
Equity at exit
$14,352

Cash invested: $46,479 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21229

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,272 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$870
Tax from tax record
$287 /mo · $3,446/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$477
Net cashflow
$568

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,553
Max offer price $165,995
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $662 -5% $615 +0% $568 +5% $521 +10% $474
Rent -10% $389 -5% $479 +0% $568 +5% $658 +10% $748
Rate -1.0pp $652 -0.5pp $611 base $568 +0.5pp $525 +1.0pp $482

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,499
Closing costs
$4,980
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
409 Normandy Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1640 $1,500 $0.91 24d 1 0.25mi
3619 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1962 $2,800 $1.43 44d 1 0.35mi
623 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 24d 1 0.37mi
730 Linnard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1360 $1,750 $1.29 24d 1 0.43mi
3507 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1428 $2,300 $1.61 44d 1 0.44mi
405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1408 $2,950 $2.10 5d 1 0.51mi
715 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 1542 $2,550 $1.65 44d 1 0.86mi
1633 N Hilton St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1920 $2,600 $1.35 18d 1 1.04mi
1402 Poplar Grove St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1540 $800 $0.52 44d 1 1.15mi
114 S Rock Glen Rd Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1160 $2,350 $2.03 13d 1 1.16mi
2744 W Mosher St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1412 $2,100 $1.49 24d 1 1.17mi
3030 Windsor Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 2124 $1,995 $0.94 5d 1 1.45mi
2917 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 4.0 1700 $2,150 $1.26 24d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,995 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 476-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $165,995 Active 4 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,446 · $287/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,446 · $287/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,269
− Mortgage interest
−$9,298
− Property taxes
−$3,446
− Insurance
−$830
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,181
− Management
−$2,181
− Depreciation
−$4,829
Taxable income
$4,503
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,081
After-tax cash flow
$5,740/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
46,679
Household income
$60,047
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
2776.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.07%
Current HPI
226.896
Rent YoY
▲ 5.38%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+163.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $165,995 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $105,314 Public Records
  • 2017-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $77,533 Public Records
  • 2010-04-13 Sold (MLS) $35,100 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-04-13 Sold (MLS) $35,100 MRIS
  • 2010-03-15 Pending MRIS
  • 2010-03-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-03-06 Listed $27,550 MRIS
  • 2010-03-06 Listed $27,550 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 2000-09-08 Sold (MLS) $63,000 MRIS
  • 2000-05-21 Delisted MRIS
  • 2000-04-25 Listed $63,000 MRIS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,446 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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