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219 N Promenade St
C Composite 59.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$53,500

219 N Promenade St · Havana, IL 62644
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 866 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1914 9,075 sqft lot Est $46k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look at this 2 bedroom 1 bath property located in Havana, IL! This property offers a carport and an adorable storage shed for more room! It also has a fenced in yard for any fur animals to run free!

Key facts

  • Screened front porch
  • Partial basement
  • Rear carport

Tags

SCREENED FRONT PORCHREAR CARPORTEAT-IN KITCHENBUILT-IN HUTCHSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOMPARTIAL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1914; Living area reported as 866
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Not new construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Shed(s); Paved road access; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Bedroom 1 on main level (approx. 11.5 x 10.16, carpet); Bedroom 2 on main level (approx. 11.58 x 10.25, hardwood)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fan(s); Has basement: crawl space, partial, unfinished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room on main level (approx. 12 x 6)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#989 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Havana CUSD 126 (town): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #448 of 620 in IL (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Havana High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #379 of 693 statewide, top 57%, 279 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $370 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $53,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.28%
Cap rate
19.48%
Cash-on-cash
47.08%
DSCR
3.09
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$45,898
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
313 N Pearl St 0.18mi 2/1.0 840 (-3%) 4mo $35,000 $42 83
167 E Mound St 0.43mi 2/1.0 895 (+3%) 2mo $11,000 $12 72
425 N Broadway St 0.30mi 2/1.0 888 (+2%) 21mo $47,000 $53 64
700 S Promenade St 0.60mi 2/1.0 905 (+4%) 2mo $60,000 $66 63
128 E Dearborn St 0.56mi 2/1.0 840 (-3%) 8mo $45,000 $54 62
312 W 1st St 0.75mi 2/1.0 864 (-0%) 8mo $38,000 $44 58
520 S Pearl St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 792 (-8%) 0mo $82,000 $104 55
529 S Schrader St 0.65mi 2/1.0 800 (-8%) 13mo $33,000 $41 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.4%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$28,783
Equity at exit
$7,977
10-year hold
IRR
50.4%
Equity multiple
5.90×
Total profit
$73,350
Equity at exit
$4,626

Cash invested: $14,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62644

Home prices YoY
-14.0%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$281
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $865/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$588

Break-even live

Break-even rent $475
Max offer price $53,500
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $618 -5% $603 +0% $588 +5% $573 +10% $557
Rent -10% $491 -5% $540 +0% $588 +5% $636 +10% $684
Rate -1.0pp $615 -0.5pp $601 base $588 +0.5pp $574 +1.0pp $560

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,375
Closing costs
$1,605
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $53,500 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 662-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $53,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$865 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,040 · $87/mo
Expected delta
+$175/yr (+$15/mo · 20.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,623
− Mortgage interest
−$2,997
− Property taxes
−$865
− Insurance
−$268
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,170
− Management
−$1,170
− Depreciation
−$1,556
Taxable income
$6,597
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,583
After-tax cash flow
$5,469/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Havana CUSD 126
NCES district ID
1718510
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$39,881
Composite
16.52/100
National rank
#9181
State rank
#448 of 620 in IL

Livability — Havana

Score
60/100
State rank
#989
US rank
#19077

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Havana, IL
City population
4,657
Population (ZIP)
4,657

Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,087 people
By 2030
11,283 · -6.7%
By 2040
9,766 · -19.2%
By 2050
8,421 · -30.3%
By 2075
5,785 · -52.1%
By 2100
3,888 · -67.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mason

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 27.8% · R 70.1% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-48.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.81%
Current HPI
115.1077
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+24.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $53,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2022-10-11 Sold (MLS) $42,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-26 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-18 Listed $44,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $865 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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