219 N Promenade St · Havana, IL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$53,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take a look at this 2 bedroom 1 bath property located in Havana, IL! This property offers a carport and an adorable storage shed for more room! It also has a fenced in yard for any fur animals to run free!
Key facts
- Screened front porch
- Partial basement
- Rear carport
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1914; Living area reported as 866
- Construction: Shingle roof; Not new construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Shed(s); Paved road access; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Bedroom 1 on main level (approx. 11.5 x 10.16, carpet); Bedroom 2 on main level (approx. 11.58 x 10.25, hardwood)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fan(s); Has basement: crawl space, partial, unfinished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room on main level (approx. 12 x 6)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#989 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Havana CUSD 126 (town): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #448 of 620 in IL (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Havana High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #379 of 693 statewide, top 57%, 279 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $370 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.08%
- DSCR
- 3.09
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $45,898
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 N Pearl St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-3%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $42 | 83 |
| 167 E Mound St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 895 (+3%) | 2mo | $11,000 | $12 | 72 |
| 425 N Broadway St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (+2%) | 21mo | $47,000 | $53 | 64 |
| 700 S Promenade St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 905 (+4%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $66 | 63 |
| 128 E Dearborn St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-3%) | 8mo | $45,000 | $54 | 62 |
| 312 W 1st St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-0%) | 8mo | $38,000 | $44 | 58 |
| 520 S Pearl St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 792 (-8%) | 0mo | $82,000 | $104 | 55 |
| 529 S Schrader St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-8%) | 13mo | $33,000 | $41 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $28,783
- Equity at exit
- $7,977
- IRR
- 50.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $73,350
- Equity at exit
- $4,626
Cash invested: $14,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62644
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$281
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $865/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $588
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $618 | -5% $603 | +0% $588 | +5% $573 | +10% $557 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $491 | -5% $540 | +0% $588 | +5% $636 | +10% $684 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $615 | -0.5pp $601 | base $588 | +0.5pp $574 | +1.0pp $560 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,375
- Closing costs
- $1,605
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $53,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 662-char remark
-
2026-06-18$53,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $865 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,040 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$175/yr (+$15/mo · 20.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,623
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,997
- − Property taxes
- −$865
- − Insurance
- −$268
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,170
- − Management
- −$1,170
- − Depreciation
- −$1,556
- Taxable income
- $6,597
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,583
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,469/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Havana CUSD 126
- NCES district ID
- 1718510
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,881
- Composite
- 16.52/100
- National rank
- #9181
- State rank
- #448 of 620 in IL
Livability — Havana
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #989
- US rank
- #19077
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Havana, IL
- City population
- 4,657
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,657
Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,087 people
- By 2030
- 11,283 · -6.7%
- By 2040
- 9,766 · -19.2%
- By 2050
- 8,421 · -30.3%
- By 2075
- 5,785 · -52.1%
- By 2100
- 3,888 · -67.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mason
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 27.8% · R 70.1% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.81%
- Current HPI
- 115.1077
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+24.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $53,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-11 Sold (MLS) $42,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-26 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-18 Listed $44,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2024): $865 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…