🏗️ New Construction
7121 Salt Dome Dr · League City, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Cash flow +4.2/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$383,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This expansive new home is conveniently laid out on a single floor for maximum comfort and convenience. At its heart stands an open-plan layout connecting a spacious family room, lovely dining room and a multifunctional kitchen with wraparound countertops. A back door leads out to a covered patio, perfect for morning coffee and outdoor living. Residing on the opposite side are all four bedrooms, including the lavish owner's suite with a spa-style bathroom.
Key facts
- Covered patio
- Spa-style bathroom
- Open-plan layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community managed by First Service Residential; Annual association fee; Community amenities: clubhouse, sport court, fitness center, picnic area, playground, pool, tennis courts, trails
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Under construction (new construction); Built in 2026; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick construction; Built in 2026
- Exterior features: Fence; Back yard fencing; Subdivision setting; Pond on lot; Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Gas oven; Gas range
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Double vanity; Kitchen/family room combo; Separate shower; Tub with shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $384k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $293k (23.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $279k (27.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $279k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#135 in TX, #3,961 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Clear Creek ISD (suburban): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #114 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Creekside Int (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D+, #424 of 1,662 statewide, top 27%, 872 students, 32% FRL); Clear Springs H S (math 43% / reading 72%, grade C, #327 of 1,632 statewide, top 20%, 2,732 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 502 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($372k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.66%
- DSCR
- 0.48
- GRM
- 14.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $498,471
- List price
- $383,990
- Delta
- -22.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7018 Salt Dome Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,925 (-1%) | 1mo | $439,990 | $229 | 88 |
| 706 Hooks Trl | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,066 (+6%) | 18mo | $430,350 | $208 | 42 |
| 812 Hooks Trl | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,047 (+6%) | 19mo | $436,480 | $213 | 39 |
| 6616 Mcmahan Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,054 (+6%) | 23mo | $469,235 | $228 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -39.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.23×
- Total profit
- $-171,946
- Equity at exit
- $74,324
- IRR
- -62.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.93×
- Total profit
- $-268,733
- Equity at exit
- $43,099
Cash invested: $139,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77546
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 502
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,792 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,614
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$623 /mo · $7,477/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$117
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$586
- Net cashflow
- $-1,422
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,618
- Closing costs
- $14,954
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6160 Cornell Ln League City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2368 | $2,625 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6169 Mitchell Ct League City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2125 | $2,595 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $117 · $1,404/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $383,990 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 684-char remark
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2026-06-17days on market $383,990 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $383,990 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $383,990 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $389,990 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $389,990 Active 36 DOM
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
This expansive new home is conveniently laid out on a single floor for maximum comfort and convenience. At its heart stands an open-plan layout connecting a spacious family room, lovely dining room and a multifunctional kitchen with wraparound countertops. A back door leads out to a covered patio, perfect for morning coffee and outdoor living. Residing on the opposite side are all four bedrooms, including the lavish owner's suite with a spa-style bathroom.
-
2026-06-13days on market $389,990 Active 35 DOM
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
This expansive new home is conveniently laid out on a single floor for maximum comfort and convenience. At its heart stands an open-plan layout connecting a spacious family room, lovely dining room and a multifunctional kitchen with wraparound countertops. A back door leads out to a covered patio, perfect for morning coffee and outdoor living. Residing on the opposite side are all four bedrooms, including the lavish owner's suite with a spa-style bathroom.
-
2026-06-09days on market $389,990 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $389,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $389,990 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $389,990 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $389,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $389,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $389,990 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $389,990 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-06$415,840 Active 651-char remark
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2026-05-05$415,840 Active 460-char remark
Show marketing remark (460 chars)
This expansive new home is conveniently laid out on a single floor for maximum comfort and convenience. At its heart stands an open-plan layout connecting a spacious family room, lovely dining room and a multifunctional kitchen with wraparound countertops. A back door leads out to a covered patio, perfect for morning coffee and outdoor living. Residing on the opposite side are all four bedrooms, including the lavish owner's suite with a spa-style bathroom.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,506
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,922
- − Property taxes
- −$7,477
- − Insurance
- −$3,290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,680
- − Management
- −$2,680
- − HOA
- −$1,404
- − Depreciation
- −$14,501
- Taxable loss
- −$26,449
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,348
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,722/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clear Creek ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814280
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,240
- Composite
- 46.49/100
- National rank
- #2431
- State rank
- #114 of 826 in TX
Livability — League City
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #135
- US rank
- #3961
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- League City, TX
- County
- Galveston County · 357,330 people
- City population
- 98,109
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,789
- Household income
- $123,756
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1350.0
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.03%
- Current HPI
- 243.7934
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.74%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $383,990 HARMLS
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $383,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $389,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $389,990 HARMLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $399,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $399,990 HARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $415,840 HARMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $415,840 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…