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33 Hwy 16 #272
B- Composite 68.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

33 Hwy 16 #272 · West Glendive, MT 59330
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 53 Days on market
Built 1975 Fair condition 6,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 6,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1975
  • Listed 52 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No on-site parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-family residence; Above-grade finished living area: 924; Zoned Residential 6000
  • Construction: No basement
  • Exterior features: No fencing; Shed(s) on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven, Range, Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Has cooling (type: Other)
  • Interior features: Oven; Range; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $678 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#69 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Glendive Elementary (town): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #87 of 116 in MT (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dawson County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $29,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.73%
Cap rate
33.40%
Cash-on-cash
96.81%
DSCR
5.31
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
97.8%
Equity multiple
5.56×
Total profit
$38,318
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.60×
Total profit
$89,013
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59330

Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,120 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$38 /mo · $450/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$678

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $698 -5% $688 +0% $678 +5% $667 +10% $657
Rent -10% $589 -5% $633 +0% $678 +5% $722 +10% $766
Rate -1.0pp $693 -0.5pp $685 base $678 +0.5pp $670 +1.0pp $662

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $30,000 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $30,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $30,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $30,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $30,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $30,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $30,000 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $30,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,443
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$450
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,075
− Management
−$1,075
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$8,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,953
After-tax cash flow
$6,179/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires significant exterior repairs and foundation stabilization, but has potential for substantial value increase with these improvements.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant damage to the siding
  • Major exterior foundation — Exposed foundation with visible damage

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair foundation — Stabilizes structure and improves value
  • Both update bathroom decor — Modernizes space and enhances value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant damage to the siding Major $15,000–50,000
exterior foundation · Exposed foundation with visible damage Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both repair foundation — Stabilizes structure and improves value
  • Both update bathroom decor — Modernizes space and enhances value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glendive Elementary
NCES district ID
3012510
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$50,726
Composite
23.73/100
National rank
#7825
State rank
#87 of 116 in MT

Livability — West Glendive

Score
71/100
State rank
#69
US rank
#7019

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Glendive, MT
Population (ZIP)
8,281

Population outlook (Dawson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,008 people
By 2030
11,795 · +7.1%
By 2040
13,471 · +22.4%
By 2050
15,363 · +39.6%
By 2075
20,473 · +86.0%
By 2100
23,528 · +113.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Dawson

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.9) · D 19.3% · R 78.2% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-35.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -58.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.9 2020: R+57.8 2016: R+58.5 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+23.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.12%
Current HPI
144.3453
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $30,000 BMTMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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