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137 S Palm Dr
D- Composite 35.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,800

137 S Palm Dr · Blythe, CA 92225
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,598 sqft · Other public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1920 0.32 ac lot $125/sqft · 13% above area Est $229k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Perfect for investors or first-time buyers, this property also offers excellent potential for multi-generational living. This spacious three-bedroom home sits on TWO LOTS, providing ample space for river and desert toys. The property features a detached garage and a Separate one-bedroom granny flat complete with its own kitchen--ideal for extended family, guests, or rental income opportunities. Additional APN# 848-022-020 included.

Key facts

  • Two lots
  • Own kitchen
  • Detached garage

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEONE-BEDROOM GRANNY FLATOWN KITCHENTWO LOTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From Osborne Realty go west on Hobsonway, then left (south) onto Palm Drive; home will be on the right
  • Financial info: Sale terms: Conventional or Cash; Property sold 'as is'
  • HOA & community: No monthly association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Total of 9 parking spaces; Detached garage (1 car); Covered parking (2 spaces); Carport spaces (2); 4 additional uncovered/assigned spaces; Driveway parking
  • Security: No gated community; No special security/safety features
  • Utilities: Water available in street; Sewer in street (paid); PUD: No
  • Home design: Bungalow-style single family residence; One story; Detached property; Front door faces east; Property described as needing cosmetic repairs
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Siding exterior; Built (year source: assessor)
  • Exterior features: Back yard and front yard; Level, rectangular lot on a public street; Guest house/casita with a 1-car garage; No additional exterior security features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Tile counters
  • Bedrooms: Includes a casita/guest house
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: One full bath; Two 3/4 baths
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace heating (wood); Natural gas heating available; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Entry from the living room; Unfurnished; Shower and tub in bathrooms; Wood and brick fireplace in the living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-230 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (20.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (36.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (36.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#143 in CA, #4,910 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
  • Palo Verde Unified (town): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,133 of 1,400 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Felix J. Appleby Elementary (632 students, 84% FRL); Palo Verde High (820 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 64% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $200k implies a 203% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,042 (36.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
4.91%
Cash-on-cash
-4.93%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$228,927
List price
$199,800
Delta
-12.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.7%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-47,100
Equity at exit
$29,791
10-year hold
IRR
-20.6%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-60,184
Equity at exit
$17,275

Cash invested: $55,944 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92225

Home prices YoY
-15.8%
Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,260 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,136/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$-230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,552
Max offer price $159,174
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-117 -5% $-173 +0% $-230 +5% $-287 +10% $-343
Rent -10% $-330 -5% $-280 +0% $-230 +5% $-180 +10% $-130
Rate -1.0pp $-129 -0.5pp $-179 base $-230 +0.5pp $-282 +1.0pp $-334

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,950
Closing costs
$5,994
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
450 W Barnard St Blythe, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 935 $975 $1.04 15d 2 0.34mi
400 N Palm Dr Blythe, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 928 $995 $1.07 15d 1 0.48mi
460 River Valley Ave Blythe, CA 3.0 2.0 1344 $2,600 $1.93 15d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,800 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,800 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,800 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,800 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,800 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,800 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,800 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,800 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,800 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,800 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,800 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,800 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,800 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,800 Active 36 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,800 Active 35 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,800 Active 34 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,800 Active 33 DOM
  18. 2026-04-27
    listed $199,800 Active 435-char remark
  19. 1985-11-19
    soldstatus $66,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,136 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,518 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$382/yr (+$32/mo · 33.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥116°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,125
− Mortgage interest
−$11,192
− Property taxes
−$1,136
− Insurance
−$999
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,210
− Management
−$1,210
− Depreciation
−$5,812
Taxable loss
−$6,434
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,544
After-tax cash flow
$-1,215/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palo Verde Unified
NCES district ID
0629640
Math proficiency
20% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$40,808
Composite
25.77/100
National rank
#12796
State rank
#1133 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Blythe

Score
74/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#4910

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blythe, CA
Population (ZIP)
21,101

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 26% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.53%
Current HPI
215.4794
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $199,800 GPSMLS
  • 1985-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,136 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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