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151 Edwards Rd S #69
C+ Composite 61.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

151 Edwards Rd S #69 · Monmouth, OR 97361
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured · 38 Days on market
Built 1977 Good condition $140/sqft · 32% above area Est $83k · 32% over ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Professionally remodeled and beautifully decorated home in Monmouth Mobile Estates, an all-ages community! Originally built in 1977, this home has been extensively updated with quality finishes throughout and truly feels better than new. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and an open-concept layout with wide hallways, this home is a must-see in person. The fully remodeled kitchen offers custom cabinets, espresso-stained butcher block countertops, matching corner dining tabletop, seating bar, and brand-new stainless steel appliances. Updates throughout include 22-mil Pergo waterproof and scratch-resistant luxury vinyl wide plank flooring, new carpet in the bedrooms, all new black matte hardwa

Key facts

  • New heat pump
  • Custom cabinets
  • Garage

Tags

PROFESSIONALLY REMODELEDFULLY REMODELED KITCHENCUSTOM CABINETSNEW HEAT PUMPREAL WOOD BURNING STOVENEW MEMBRANE ROOF INSTALLATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unit dimensions: 56 ft length by 14 ft width; Living area listed as 784 (unit measure withheld)
  • Financial info: Not provided
  • HOA & community: Located in Monmouth Mobile Estates (all-ages manufactured home community) with a courtyard layout and playground; Park lot rent: $825 monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Driveway; One parking space (one covered carport space)
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Updated/remodeled condition; Model: SHELBY; Manufacturer: COMMODORE; Facing information not provided
  • Construction: Built in 1977; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Aluminum exterior description; Membrane roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Tool shed; Yard; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Island; Range hood; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Stainless steel appliances; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); Second bedroom (main level)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Wall-to-wall carpet
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump (heating and central air cooling)
  • Interior features: One-level accessibility; Washer and dryer included; Double-pane vinyl-framed windows; Wood-burning stove fireplace; Luxury vinyl plank and wall-to-wall carpet flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room (main level); Electric tank water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 2.6% in Monmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#108 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities D, employment D.
  • Central SD 13J (town): math 26% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #149 of 183 in OR (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ash Creek Elementary School (473 students, 65% FRL); Talmadge Middle School (740 students, 64% FRL); Central High School (1,100 students, 65% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 177 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
10.77%
Cash-on-cash
16.01%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$83,028
List price
$110,000
Delta
32.49%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
277 Edwards Rd S #140 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 784 (0%) 2mo $72,000 $92 90
141 S 17th St #70 0.53mi 2/1.0 756 (-4%) 3mo $116,500 $154 67
543 Clay St E #4 0.73mi 2/1.0 784 (0%) 7mo $52,500 $67 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$8,362
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$41,063
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97361

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,482 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$411

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $487 -5% $449 +0% $411 +5% $373 +10% $335
Rent -10% $294 -5% $352 +0% $411 +5% $469 +10% $528
Rate -1.0pp $466 -0.5pp $439 base $411 +0.5pp $382 +1.0pp $353

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1630 Monmouth St Independence, OR 2.0 1.5 900 $1,375 $1.53 14d 1 0.34mi
1630 Monmouth St Unit 1630-20 Independence, OR 2.0 1.5 900 $1,375 $1.53 24d 1 0.35mi
314 Monmouth Independence Hwy Monmouth, OR 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,795 $1.63 44d 1 0.35mi
1021 Main St E Unit 1021-1 Monmouth, OR 2.0 1.0 800 $1,450 $1.81 44d 1 0.40mi
1408 Falcon Loop Unit 1408 Independence, OR 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,795 $1.70 14d 1 0.51mi
1400 E St Independence, OR 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 962 $1,525 $1.59 14d 2 0.56mi
163 Catron St N Unit 163-02 Monmouth, OR 2.0 1.0 760 $1,395 $1.84 44d 1 0.71mi
501 Catron St N Monmouth, OR 2.0 2.0 1090 $1,450 $1.33 14d 1 0.79mi
205 N Gun Club Rd Unit 123 Independence, OR 2.0 1.0 868 $1,400 $1.61 24d 1 0.81mi
523 Catron St N Unit 523-05 Monmouth, OR 2.0 2.0 1090 $1,450 $1.33 24d 1 0.81mi
523 Catron St N Unit 523-11 Monmouth, OR 2.0 2.0 1090 $1,400 $1.28 44d 1 0.81mi
537 Catron St N Unit 537-05 Monmouth, OR 2.0 2.0 1090 $1,400 $1.28 44d 1 0.83mi
242 Jackson St E Unit B Monmouth, OR 2.0 1.0 877 $1,650 $1.88 14d 1 0.89mi
675 White Oak Cir Independence, OR 2.0 2.0 923 $1,675 $1.81 14d 5 0.93mi
130 Main St W Monmouth, OR 2.0 1.0 750 $1,499 $2.00 14d 1 1.00mi
479 S Monmouth Ave Unit 479-18 Monmouth, OR 2.0 1.5 996 $1,545 $1.55 24d 1 1.02mi
219 S Monmouth Ave Unit 212 Monmouth, OR 2.0 1.0 980 $1,499 $1.53 44d 1 1.04mi
302 S Monmouth Ave Unit 302-A Monmouth, OR 1.0 1.0 600 $1,095 $1.82 44d 1 1.09mi
475 Jackson St W Monmouth, OR 1.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 44d 1 1.27mi
800 S 4th St Unit 800-08 Independence, OR 2.0 1.0 775 $1,250 $1.61 24d 1 1.31mi
308 Hoxton Ave Unit 2bd/2ba_880sq Monmouth, OR 2.0 2.0 880 $1,720 $1.95 14d 1 1.33mi
304 Hoxton Ave Unit 2bd/2ba_771sq Monmouth, OR 2.0 2.0 771 $1,500 $1.95 14d 1 1.33mi
300 Hoxton Ave Monmouth, OR 2.0–3.0 2.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 14d 9 1.34mi
336 Whitesell St W Unit 336-7 Monmouth, OR 2.0 2.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 24d 1 1.37mi
739 Jackson St W Unit 3 Monmouth, OR 2.0 2.0 850 $1,450 $1.71 44d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $113,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $113,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $113,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    listed $115,000 Active 1691-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,787
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,423
− Management
−$1,423
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$3,379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$811
After-tax cash flow
$4,119/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 15 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This professionally remodeled and beautifully decorated home in Monmouth Mobile Estates is in excellent condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central SD 13J
NCES district ID
4102840
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$42,374
Composite
31.04/100
National rank
#11310
State rank
#149 of 183 in OR

Livability — Monmouth

Score
72/100
State rank
#108
US rank
#5992

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety D+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Monmouth, OR
County
Polk County · 84,240 people
City population
14,488
Metro
Salem, OR
Population (ZIP)
14,488
Household income
$69,505
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
412.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,594 people
By 2030
93,209 · +5.2%
By 2040
101,942 · +15.1%
By 2050
110,395 · +24.6%
By 2075
131,091 · +48.0%
By 2100
141,746 · +60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 12% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 50.4% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -3.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.8 2020: R+1.7 2016: R+7.0 2012: R+4.8 2008: R+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.97%
Current HPI
309.076
Rent YoY
Metro
Salem, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $110,000 RMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $113,000 RMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $115,000 RMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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