151 Edwards Rd S #69 · Monmouth, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Professionally remodeled and beautifully decorated home in Monmouth Mobile Estates, an all-ages community! Originally built in 1977, this home has been extensively updated with quality finishes throughout and truly feels better than new. Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and an open-concept layout with wide hallways, this home is a must-see in person. The fully remodeled kitchen offers custom cabinets, espresso-stained butcher block countertops, matching corner dining tabletop, seating bar, and brand-new stainless steel appliances. Updates throughout include 22-mil Pergo waterproof and scratch-resistant luxury vinyl wide plank flooring, new carpet in the bedrooms, all new black matte hardwa
Key facts
- New heat pump
- Custom cabinets
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unit dimensions: 56 ft length by 14 ft width; Living area listed as 784 (unit measure withheld)
- Financial info: Not provided
- HOA & community: Located in Monmouth Mobile Estates (all-ages manufactured home community) with a courtyard layout and playground; Park lot rent: $825 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Driveway; One parking space (one covered carport space)
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Updated/remodeled condition; Model: SHELBY; Manufacturer: COMMODORE; Facing information not provided
- Construction: Built in 1977; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Aluminum exterior description; Membrane roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Tool shed; Yard; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Island; Range hood; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Stainless steel appliances; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); Second bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump (heating and central air cooling)
- Interior features: One-level accessibility; Washer and dryer included; Double-pane vinyl-framed windows; Wood-burning stove fireplace; Luxury vinyl plank and wall-to-wall carpet flooring
- Laundry & utility: Utility room (main level); Electric tank water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 2.6% in Monmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#108 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities D, employment D.
- Central SD 13J (town): math 26% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #149 of 183 in OR (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ash Creek Elementary School (473 students, 65% FRL); Talmadge Middle School (740 students, 64% FRL); Central High School (1,100 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 177 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.01%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,028
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 32.49%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 277 Edwards Rd S #140 | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 784 (0%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $92 | 90 |
| 141 S 17th St #70 | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (-4%) | 3mo | $116,500 | $154 | 67 |
| 543 Clay St E #4 | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (0%) | 7mo | $52,500 | $67 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $8,362
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $41,063
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97361
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,482 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $411
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $487 | -5% $449 | +0% $411 | +5% $373 | +10% $335 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $294 | -5% $352 | +0% $411 | +5% $469 | +10% $528 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $466 | -0.5pp $439 | base $411 | +0.5pp $382 | +1.0pp $353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1630 Monmouth St Independence, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1630 Monmouth St Unit 1630-20 Independence, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 314 Monmouth Independence Hwy Monmouth, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1021 Main St E Unit 1021-1 Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,450 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1408 Falcon Loop Unit 1408 Independence, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,795 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1400 E St Independence, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,525 | $1.59 | 14d | 2 | 0.56mi |
| 163 Catron St N Unit 163-02 Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,395 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 501 Catron St N Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 205 N Gun Club Rd Unit 123 Independence, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,400 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 523 Catron St N Unit 523-05 Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 523 Catron St N Unit 523-11 Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 537 Catron St N Unit 537-05 Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 242 Jackson St E Unit B Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,650 | $1.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 675 White Oak Cir Independence, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 923 | $1,675 | $1.81 | 14d | 5 | 0.93mi |
| 130 Main St W Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,499 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 479 S Monmouth Ave Unit 479-18 Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 996 | $1,545 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 219 S Monmouth Ave Unit 212 Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,499 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 302 S Monmouth Ave Unit 302-A Monmouth, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 475 Jackson St W Monmouth, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 800 S 4th St Unit 800-08 Independence, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,250 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 308 Hoxton Ave Unit 2bd/2ba_880sq Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,720 | $1.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 304 Hoxton Ave Unit 2bd/2ba_771sq Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 771 | $1,500 | $1.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 300 Hoxton Ave Monmouth, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 14d | 9 | 1.34mi |
| 336 Whitesell St W Unit 336-7 Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 739 Jackson St W Unit 3 Monmouth, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $113,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $113,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $113,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$115,000 Active 1691-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,787
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,423
- − Management
- −$1,423
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,379
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$811
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,119/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 15 photos
This professionally remodeled and beautifully decorated home in Monmouth Mobile Estates is in excellent condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central SD 13J
- NCES district ID
- 4102840
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,374
- Composite
- 31.04/100
- National rank
- #11310
- State rank
- #149 of 183 in OR
Livability — Monmouth
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #5992
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monmouth, OR
- County
- Polk County · 84,240 people
- City population
- 14,488
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,488
- Household income
- $69,505
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 412.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,594 people
- By 2030
- 93,209 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 101,942 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 110,395 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 131,091 · +48.0%
- By 2100
- 141,746 · +60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 12% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 50.4% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: R+1.7 2016: R+7.0 2012: R+4.8 2008: R+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.97%
- Current HPI
- 309.076
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-4.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $110,000 RMLS
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $113,000 RMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $115,000 RMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…