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34236 Canal Dr N #236
C- Composite 53.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

34236 Canal Dr N #236 · Pinellas Park, FL 33781
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 91 Days on market
Built 1980 Good condition 58 ac lot Est $139k · 15% over $225/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2BR/2BA manufactured home in the resident-owned 55+ community of Sunset Palms in Pinellas Park. This well-maintained home features a bright living and dining area, functional kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a relaxing Florida room for additional living space. Covered carport and storage included. The community share is included in the purchase. Sunset Palms offers a clubhouse, heated pool, shuffleboard, fitness room, and an active social calendar. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and just minutes from St. Petersburg and the Gulf beaches.

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • Covered carport
  • Florida room

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMERESIDENT-OWNED COMMUNITYFLORIDA ROOMCOVERED CARPORTHEATED POOLSHUFFLEBOARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 57.65 acres; Living area: 1,248 sq ft (building area total 2,124 sq ft); Universal property ID available; Direction faces south
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees: $225; Total annual fees: $2,700; Furnished: Yes
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $225); Association amenities: Clubhouse, Pool, Shuffleboard court; Community features: Clubhouse, Fitness center, Pool, Golf carts allowed, Buyer approval required, Special community restrictions; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Water source: None listed
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Residential property; One story; Faces south; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Metal frame with vinyl siding; Membrane roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Completed condition; Built as double wide
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road; Sliding doors; Private mailbox

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Sliding doors; Private mailbox
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Outside laundry area; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in Pinellas Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in FL, #2,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Pinellas Park Elementary School (math 43% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,454 of 2,144 statewide, top 69%, 452 students, 74% FRL); Pinellas Park High School (math 28% / reading 35%, grade F, #424 of 667 statewide, top 64%, 1,919 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 48% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,690 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
8.46%
Cash-on-cash
7.75%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$138,528
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
34657 Orange Dr N 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-8%) 4mo $128,000 $111 80
82277 2nd Ave N #277 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 4mo $140,000 $104 80
82199 F St N #199 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,372 (+10%) 0mo $105,000 $77 77
34098 Cherry Dr N 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,128 (-10%) 2mo $125,000 $111 74
82418 New Circle Dr N 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,334 (+7%) 9mo $100,000 $75 72
82425 New Circle Dr N 0.26mi 2/2.0 1,144 (-8%) 6mo $130,500 $114 69
82402 New Circle Dr N #402 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,144 (-8%) 9mo $120,000 $105 67
82121 B St N #121 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,144 (-8%) 13mo $165,000 $144 65
82009 A St N #9 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,060 (-15%) 12mo $139,900 $132 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-13,266
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-10,392
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33781

Rents YoY
-3.0%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,040 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax est. 1.5%
$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$225
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$287

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,676
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $397 -5% $342 +0% $287 +5% $232 +10% $178
Rent -10% $126 -5% $207 +0% $287 +5% $368 +10% $449
Rate -1.0pp $368 -0.5pp $328 base $287 +0.5pp $246 +1.0pp $204

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8851 US Highway 19 N Pinellas Park, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 993 $2,295 $2.31 2d 23 0.53mi
3110 Grand Ave Pinellas Park, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1104 $2,467 $2.23 2d 34 0.53mi
4071 76th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,724 $2.46 4d 3 0.54mi
4355 84th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,550 $2.21 3d 10 0.57mi
4057 71st Ter N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 2.5 1420 $2,650 $1.87 5d 1 0.80mi
4520 76th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,545 $2.21 25d 1 0.84mi
2790 Grand Ave Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $2,782 $2.73 2d 16 0.87mi
4701 88th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 855 $1,853 $2.17 11d 20 0.88mi
4771 78th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 2.0 903 $1,640 $1.82 24d 1 0.94mi
8400 49th St N Pinellas Park, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 707 $1,749 $2.47 2d 22 1.06mi
4940 87th Ave Unit C Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 25d 1 1.06mi
3715 66th Ave N Unit B Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,475 $1.97 22d 1 1.08mi
4675 72nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,649 $2.20 22d 1 1.09mi
4631 69th Pl N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 2.5 1420 $2,595 $1.83 25d 1 1.17mi
4973 91st Ave Unit 12 (C) Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 2.0 875 $1,475 $1.69 15d 1 1.20mi
4973 91st Ave Unit C Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 2.0 875 $1,475 $1.69 14d 1 1.20mi
9505 49th St N Pinellas Park, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1049 $2,297 $2.19 3d 19 1.21mi
7050 48th St N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 1.5 1008 $2,350 $2.33 25d 1 1.23mi
5060 76th Ave N #409 Pinellas Park, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 22d 1 1.26mi
6898 47th Ln N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,525 $1.68 25d 1 1.27mi
7800 52nd St N Pinellas Park, FL 3.0 1.0 1163 $1,850 $1.59 25d 1 1.28mi
4732 68th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 3.0 1210 $2,000 $1.65 25d 1 1.32mi
6379 29th St N Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1323 $2,869 $2.17 25d 1 1.43mi
9911 Dahlia St #38 Pinellas Park, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 8d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$225 · $2,700/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,000 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-03-19
    listed $159,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,475
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$2,385
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,958
− Management
−$1,958
− HOA
−$2,700
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable income
$1,147
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$275
After-tax cash flow
$3,174/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 2BR/2BA manufactured home in Sunset Palms offers a bright and functional living space with a Florida room and covered carport. It is located in a desirable 55+ community with amenities and is ready for a new owner.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both interior paint — fresh paint can make a home more appealing
  • Both HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both interior paint — fresh paint can make a home more appealing
  • Both HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pinellas Park

Score
78/100
State rank
#170
US rank
#2546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pinellas Park, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
50,533
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,072
Household income
$57,785
Rent vs Own
35.6% rent · 64.4% own
Severe rent burden
1115.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 14% Two or more races 11% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -409.77%
Current HPI
348.546
Rent YoY
▼ -2.95%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $159,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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