34236 Canal Dr N #236 · Pinellas Park, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- ARV discount +0.8/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2BR/2BA manufactured home in the resident-owned 55+ community of Sunset Palms in Pinellas Park. This well-maintained home features a bright living and dining area, functional kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a relaxing Florida room for additional living space. Covered carport and storage included. The community share is included in the purchase. Sunset Palms offers a clubhouse, heated pool, shuffleboard, fitness room, and an active social calendar. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and just minutes from St. Petersburg and the Gulf beaches.
Key facts
- Manufactured home
- Covered carport
- Florida room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 57.65 acres; Living area: 1,248 sq ft (building area total 2,124 sq ft); Universal property ID available; Direction faces south
- Financial info: Total monthly fees: $225; Total annual fees: $2,700; Furnished: Yes
- HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $225); Association amenities: Clubhouse, Pool, Shuffleboard court; Community features: Clubhouse, Fitness center, Pool, Golf carts allowed, Buyer approval required, Special community restrictions; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Water source: None listed
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Residential property; One story; Faces south; Entry level: One
- Construction: Metal frame with vinyl siding; Membrane roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Completed condition; Built as double wide
- Exterior features: Asphalt road; Sliding doors; Private mailbox
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Sliding doors; Private mailbox
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Outside laundry area; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in Pinellas Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in FL, #2,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pinellas Park Elementary School (math 43% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,454 of 2,144 statewide, top 69%, 452 students, 74% FRL); Pinellas Park High School (math 28% / reading 35%, grade F, #424 of 667 statewide, top 64%, 1,919 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 48% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.75%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,528
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34657 Orange Dr N | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 4mo | $128,000 | $111 | 80 |
| 82277 2nd Ave N #277 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $104 | 80 |
| 82199 F St N #199 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,372 (+10%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $77 | 77 |
| 34098 Cherry Dr N | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,128 (-10%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $111 | 74 |
| 82418 New Circle Dr N | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,334 (+7%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $75 | 72 |
| 82425 New Circle Dr N | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-8%) | 6mo | $130,500 | $114 | 69 |
| 82402 New Circle Dr N #402 | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-8%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $105 | 67 |
| 82121 B St N #121 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-8%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $144 | 65 |
| 82009 A St N #9 | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,060 (-15%) | 12mo | $139,900 | $132 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-13,266
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-10,392
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33781
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,040 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$225
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $287
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $397 | -5% $342 | +0% $287 | +5% $232 | +10% $178 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $126 | -5% $207 | +0% $287 | +5% $368 | +10% $449 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $368 | -0.5pp $328 | base $287 | +0.5pp $246 | +1.0pp $204 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8851 US Highway 19 N Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 993 | $2,295 | $2.31 | 2d | 23 | 0.53mi |
| 3110 Grand Ave Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1104 | $2,467 | $2.23 | 2d | 34 | 0.53mi |
| 4071 76th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,724 | $2.46 | 4d | 3 | 0.54mi |
| 4355 84th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 3d | 10 | 0.57mi |
| 4057 71st Ter N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1420 | $2,650 | $1.87 | 5d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4520 76th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,545 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2790 Grand Ave Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $2,782 | $2.73 | 2d | 16 | 0.87mi |
| 4701 88th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $1,853 | $2.17 | 11d | 20 | 0.88mi |
| 4771 78th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 903 | $1,640 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8400 49th St N Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 707 | $1,749 | $2.47 | 2d | 22 | 1.06mi |
| 4940 87th Ave Unit C Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3715 66th Ave N Unit B Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,475 | $1.97 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4675 72nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,649 | $2.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4631 69th Pl N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1420 | $2,595 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4973 91st Ave Unit 12 (C) Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,475 | $1.69 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4973 91st Ave Unit C Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,475 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9505 49th St N Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $2,297 | $2.19 | 3d | 19 | 1.21mi |
| 7050 48th St N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $2,350 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5060 76th Ave N #409 Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6898 47th Ln N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,525 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7800 52nd St N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,850 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4732 68th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1210 | $2,000 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6379 29th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $2,869 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9911 Dahlia St #38 Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 8d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $225 · $2,700/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-19$159,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$2,385
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,958
- − Management
- −$1,958
- − HOA
- −$2,700
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $1,147
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$275
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained 2BR/2BA manufactured home in Sunset Palms offers a bright and functional living space with a Florida room and covered carport. It is located in a desirable 55+ community with amenities and is ready for a new owner.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both interior paint — fresh paint can make a home more appealing
- Both HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both interior paint — fresh paint can make a home more appealing ↑
- Both HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pinellas Park
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #2546
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pinellas Park, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 50,533
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,072
- Household income
- $57,785
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1115.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 14% Two or more races 11% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -409.77%
- Current HPI
- 348.546
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.95%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $159,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…