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4201 Blake Space #41 Rd SW
B Composite 70.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

4201 Blake Space #41 Rd SW · Albuquerque, NM 87121
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Land · 50 Days on market
Built 2024 $86/sqft · 57% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly remodeled home newer floors. Fresh paint. Upgraded appliances, Large yard. Two car parking Mobile home can stay on property or moved. Mobile home lot is $600 per month which includes water, sewer and garbage All rooms have mini splits and on cold winter night's you can warm up by the cozy fire place. This mobile home can come furnished or unfurnished. All appliances included.

Key facts

  • Built 2024
  • Listed 49 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R-MC*
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease: $585
  • HOA & community: Property has a monthly land lease

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Resale property; Mobile home model C-1680-32B (76' x 16')
  • Construction: Pitched shingle roof; Built as a mobile home (model C-1680-32B)
  • Exterior features: No special exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Room dimensions approximately 17.4 by 10
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: Single-pane windows; Main level primary bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $757 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
  • Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 162% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.95%
Cash-on-cash
30.91%
DSCR
2.38
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$243,066
List price
$105,000
Delta
-56.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$25,748
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$63,387
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87121

Home prices YoY
-19.4%
Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
259
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,877 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$757

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4301 Riley Rd SW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 963 $1,400 $1.45 3d 1 0.16mi
8401 Winter Sage Rd SW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,900 $1.41 44d 1 0.51mi
2763 Butch Cassidy Dr SW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,000 $1.48 14d 1 0.56mi
1604 Corriz Dr SW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,925 $1.64 44d 1 0.72mi
2300 Diamond Mesa Trl SW Albuquerque, NM 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1176 $2,334 $1.98 3d 26 0.85mi
1312 Quartz Dr SW Albuquerque, NM 4.0 2.0 1456 $2,098 $1.44 14d 1 0.95mi
1327 Ojo Feliz St SW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 924 $1,695 $1.83 21d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-04-10
    listed $105,000 Active 176-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,526
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,802
− Management
−$1,802
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$7,886
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,893
After-tax cash flow
$7,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albuquerque Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500060
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 30.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 45.00%
Median HH income
$48,151
Composite
53.29/100
National rank
#1487
State rank
#3 of 29 in NM

Livability — Albuquerque

Score
72/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#6219

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
City population
647,165
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
Population (ZIP)
75,510
Household income
$60,796
Rent vs Own
23.1% rent · 76.9% own
Severe rent burden
1617.0

Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
704,528 people
By 2030
711,723 · +1.0%
By 2040
714,522 · +1.4%
By 2050
709,274 · +0.7%
By 2075
680,015 · -3.5%
By 2100
619,879 · -12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 32% White 9% Native American 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 44% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.80%
Current HPI
261.8123
Rent YoY
▼ -1.86%
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-61.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Listed $40,000 FSBO.com
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $105,000 Southwest MLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $11,844 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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