1013 Barnes Dr · Bessemer, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 50.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
I have a 3 bedroom home that needs repairs but would be a great home for a family it is in jefferson county selling as it has a fenced in yard.
Key facts
- Fenced in yard
- Built 1994
- Listed 32 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 5.9% in Bessemer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $7k; list at $60k implies a 757% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.80%
- DSCR
- 2.50
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $68,608
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 Goodview St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 4mo | $91,000 | $91 | 76 |
| 8 Owen Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,114 (+9%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $49 | 66 |
| 424 Joseph St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,072 (+5%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $145 | 58 |
| 131 Elrie Blvd | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (-10%) | 19mo | $70,000 | $76 | 58 |
| 249 2nd Ave E | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-12%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $67 | 55 |
| 300 Norwood Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 966 (-6%) | 10mo | $124,000 | $128 | 51 |
| 235 Kyser Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+4%) | 16mo | $62,000 | $58 | 49 |
| 413 Ash Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (-9%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $64 | 46 |
| 28 Martin St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (-7%) | 17mo | $24,000 | $25 | 44 |
| 402 Black Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (-7%) | 23mo | $67,900 | $71 | 36 |
| 104 Raimund Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 1,145 (+12%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $52 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $17,303
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $41,849
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35020
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Rents YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,055 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $251/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $473
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $507 | -5% $490 | +0% $473 | +5% $456 | +10% $439 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $390 | -5% $431 | +0% $473 | +5% $515 | +10% $557 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $503 | -0.5pp $488 | base $473 | +0.5pp $458 | +1.0pp $442 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 Clifton St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,100 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 300 Norwood Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 300 Norwood Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $900 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 18 Center St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1418 | $1,100 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 10 Center St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,000 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 704 Avenue I Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 622 Jefferson Ave Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 622 Jefferson Ave Unit 622 Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 808 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 810 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 931 Dartmouth Ave Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $925 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 208 9th Ct S Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $650 | $0.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 410 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $875 | $1.12 | 11d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3626 Wind Ridge Ln Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 510 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,025 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 806 4th Ave N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,050 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 512 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,125 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 531 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 830 5th Ave N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4015 Goodwin Rd Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,211 | $1.01 | 17d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-17$60,000 Active
-
1986-10-31soldstatus $7,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $251 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $251 · $21/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$251
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,013
- − Management
- −$1,013
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $4,980
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,195
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,483/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Bessemer
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #331
- US rank
- #20078
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 48,018
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,892
- Household income
- $35,362
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.54%
- Current HPI
- 179.7702
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.12%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
+757.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $60,000 FSBO.com
- 1986-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $251 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…