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1013 Barnes Dr
B Composite 72.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

1013 Barnes Dr · Bessemer, AL 35020
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1994 Est $69k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

I have a 3 bedroom home that needs repairs but would be a great home for a family it is in jefferson county selling as it has a fenced in yard.

Key facts

  • Fenced in yard
  • Built 1994
  • Listed 32 days

Tags

FENCED IN YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 5.9% in Bessemer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $60k implies a 757% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.76%
Cap rate
15.76%
Cash-on-cash
33.80%
DSCR
2.50
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$68,608
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
320 Goodview St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-2%) 4mo $91,000 $91 76
8 Owen Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,114 (+9%) 2mo $55,000 $49 66
424 Joseph St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,072 (+5%) 10mo $155,000 $145 58
131 Elrie Blvd 0.21mi 2/1.0 924 (-10%) 19mo $70,000 $76 58
249 2nd Ave E 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (-12%) 1mo $60,000 $67 55
300 Norwood Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 966 (-6%) 10mo $124,000 $128 51
235 Kyser Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,064 (+4%) 16mo $62,000 $58 49
413 Ash Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (-9%) 1mo $60,000 $64 46
28 Martin St 0.65mi 2/1.0 952 (-7%) 17mo $24,000 $25 44
402 Black Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 952 (-7%) 23mo $67,900 $71 36
104 Raimund Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 1,145 (+12%) 22mo $60,000 $52 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$17,303
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$41,849
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35020

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,055 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $251/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$473

Break-even live

Break-even rent $456
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $507 -5% $490 +0% $473 +5% $456 +10% $439
Rent -10% $390 -5% $431 +0% $473 +5% $515 +10% $557
Rate -1.0pp $503 -0.5pp $488 base $473 +0.5pp $458 +1.0pp $442

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
236 Clifton St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,100 $0.76 45d 1 0.34mi
300 Norwood Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 966 $1,000 $1.04 25d 1 0.57mi
300 Norwood Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 966 $900 $0.93 13d 1 0.57mi
18 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1418 $1,100 $0.78 45d 1 0.60mi
10 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,000 $0.87 45d 1 0.62mi
704 Avenue I Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,200 $0.97 25d 1 0.81mi
622 Jefferson Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 22d 1 0.86mi
622 Jefferson Ave Unit 622 Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 4d 1 0.86mi
808 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,050 $1.01 25d 1 0.94mi
810 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,050 $1.01 25d 1 0.95mi
931 Dartmouth Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 984 $925 $0.94 45d 1 1.09mi
208 9th Ct S Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 784 $650 $0.83 25d 1 1.15mi
410 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 780 $875 $1.12 11d 1 1.22mi
3626 Wind Ridge Ln Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1305 $1,850 $1.42 4d 1 1.22mi
510 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,025 $1.08 17d 1 1.28mi
806 4th Ave N Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,050 $0.96 25d 1 1.29mi
512 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,125 $1.19 13d 1 1.29mi
531 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,200 $1.18 4d 1 1.33mi
830 5th Ave N Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1072 $1,000 $0.93 45d 1 1.39mi
4015 Goodwin Rd Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,211 $1.01 17d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-05-17
    listed $60,000 Active
  15. 1986-10-31
    soldstatus $7,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$251 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$251 · $21/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,664
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$251
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,013
− Management
−$1,013
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$4,980
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,195
After-tax cash flow
$4,483/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Bessemer

Score
59/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#20078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
48,018
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,892
Household income
$35,362
Rent vs Own
40.6% rent · 59.4% own
Severe rent burden
1001.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.54%
Current HPI
179.7702
Rent YoY
▼ -3.12%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+757.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $60,000 FSBO.com
  • 1986-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $251 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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