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1240 Church Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

1240 Church Ave · McKees Rocks, PA 15136
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,070 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1920 1,838 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tenant-occupied investment opportunity in McKees Rocks! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property offers immediate rental income potential and a convenient location close to shopping, dining, and major roadways. Features include a fenced rear yard and off-street parking in the rear, adding extra appeal for tenants. Whether you’re looking to expand your portfolio or secure a turnkey rental property, this opportunity is worth a look. Don’t miss your chance to add this income-producing property to your investments!

Key facts

  • Convenient location
  • Off-street parking
  • Fenced rear yard

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYRENTAL INCOME POTENTIALCONVENIENT LOCATIONFENCED REAR YARDOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story building; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Public transportation access

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $40,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$88,810) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $666 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.3% vs local median 10.0% in McKees Rocks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#143 in PA, #1,154 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, employment F.
  • Sto-Rox SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #532 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $40k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $39,400 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.05%
Cap rate
26.29%
Cash-on-cash
71.41%
DSCR
4.18
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$88,810
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1238 Church Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,070 (0%) 3mo $40,000 $37 97
1126 Church Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,058 (-1%) 2mo $67,000 $63 83
1140 Taggart St 0.16mi 2/1.0 931 (-13%) 4mo $25,000 $27 67
117 Owen St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,137 (+6%) 3mo $144,750 $127 67
1613 Clarkton St 0.40mi 2/1.5 1,155 (+8%) 1mo $190,000 $165 66
400 Broadway Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,179 (+10%) 3mo $115,000 $98 57
214 Erwin Pl 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,026 (-4%) 6mo $85,519 $83 57
807 6th St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 990 (-8%) 1mo $24,000 $24 56
47 May Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (+5%) 0mo $140,000 $125 55
17 Norwood St 0.47mi 1/1.0 (-1) 957 (-11%) 1mo $63,000 $66 55
1128 9th St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,160 (+8%) 5mo $60,000 $52 49
3510 Middletown Rd 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+12%) 3mo $169,000 $141 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
76.8%
Equity multiple
4.79×
Total profit
$42,443
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
81.8%
Equity multiple
11.81×
Total profit
$121,080
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15136

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Rents YoY
13.1%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,220 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $848/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$666

Break-even live

Break-even rent $376
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $689 -5% $678 +0% $666 +5% $655 +10% $644
Rent -10% $570 -5% $618 +0% $666 +5% $715 +10% $763
Rate -1.0pp $687 -0.5pp $677 base $666 +0.5pp $656 +1.0pp $646

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
214 Wright St Unit Na McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 954 $1,175 $1.23 15d 1 0.34mi
907 Chartiers Ave Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 24d 1 0.39mi
705 Russellwood Ave Apt 1 McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,549 $1.94 24d 1 0.55mi
614 Woodward Ave McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 8d 1 0.55mi
1126 Dohrman St Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 44d 1 0.55mi
1124a Dohrman St McKees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,250 $1.09 24d 1 0.56mi
214 Erwin Pl Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,685 $1.64 44d 1 0.59mi
27 Rudolph St Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 3d 1 0.66mi
71 McKinnie Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1176 $1,100 $0.94 24d 1 0.69mi
915 Woodward Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,399 $1.14 44d 1 0.73mi
27 Highland Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1488 $1,425 $0.96 24d 1 0.73mi
933 Woodward Ave Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 24d 1 0.76mi
933 Woodward Ave Unit NA McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 21d 1 0.76mi
802 13th St Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $920 $0.84 44d 1 0.90mi
178 W Prospect Ave Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1035 $975 $0.94 44d 1 1.10mi
148 W Prospect Ave Pittsburgh, PA 1.0 1.0 720 $875 $1.22 44d 1 1.12mi
10 Highland Dr Mc Kees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1188 $1,300 $1.09 44d 1 1.38mi
29 E Prospect Ave Unit 2 Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 1.39mi
14 Wynne Ave Unit 2 Pittsburgh, PA 1.0 1.0 800 $995 $1.24 13d 1 1.45mi
10 Leslie St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,475 $1.23 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $40,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $40,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $40,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $40,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $40,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $40,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $40,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $40,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $40,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-28
    listed $40,000 Active
  16. 2025-08-30
    historical $1,045
  17. 2025-08-15
    listed $1,045
  18. 2017-02-03
    soldstatus $12,000
  19. 2015-03-09
    soldstatus $14,500
  20. 1990-09-21
    soldstatus $16,000
  21. 1989-04-28
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$848 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$848 · $71/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,636
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$848
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,171
− Management
−$1,171
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$7,842
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,882
After-tax cash flow
$6,116/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sto-Rox SD
NCES district ID
4222830
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,268
Composite
8.51/100
National rank
#9904
State rank
#532 of 539 in PA

Livability — McKees Rocks

Score
82/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#1154

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McKees Rocks, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
22,623
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
22,623
Household income
$69,099
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
768.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.07%
Current HPI
244.6934
Rent YoY
▲ 13.12%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+300.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $40,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-08-30 Rental Removed $1,045 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-08-15 Listed for Rent $1,045 SHOWMOJO
  • 2017-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
  • 2015-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
  • 1990-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
  • 1989-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $848 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…