🏷️ Likely Rental
1240 Church Ave · McKees Rocks, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tenant-occupied investment opportunity in McKees Rocks! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property offers immediate rental income potential and a convenient location close to shopping, dining, and major roadways. Features include a fenced rear yard and off-street parking in the rear, adding extra appeal for tenants. Whether you’re looking to expand your portfolio or secure a turnkey rental property, this opportunity is worth a look. Don’t miss your chance to add this income-producing property to your investments!
Key facts
- Convenient location
- Off-street parking
- Fenced rear yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story building; Resale property
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Public transportation access
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $666 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.3% vs local median 10.0% in McKees Rocks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#143 in PA, #1,154 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, employment F.
- Sto-Rox SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #532 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $40k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.41%
- DSCR
- 4.18
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $88,810
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1238 Church Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,070 (0%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $37 | 97 |
| 1126 Church Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,058 (-1%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $63 | 83 |
| 1140 Taggart St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 931 (-13%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $27 | 67 |
| 117 Owen St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,137 (+6%) | 3mo | $144,750 | $127 | 67 |
| 1613 Clarkton St | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 | 1,155 (+8%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $165 | 66 |
| 400 Broadway Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,179 (+10%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $98 | 57 |
| 214 Erwin Pl | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (-4%) | 6mo | $85,519 | $83 | 57 |
| 807 6th St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (-8%) | 1mo | $24,000 | $24 | 56 |
| 47 May Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+5%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $125 | 55 |
| 17 Norwood St | 0.47mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 957 (-11%) | 1mo | $63,000 | $66 | 55 |
| 1128 9th St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+8%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $52 | 49 |
| 3510 Middletown Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+12%) | 3mo | $169,000 | $141 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.79×
- Total profit
- $42,443
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- 81.8%
- Equity multiple
- 11.81×
- Total profit
- $121,080
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15136
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Rents YoY
- 13.1%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,220 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $848/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $666
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $689 | -5% $678 | +0% $666 | +5% $655 | +10% $644 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $570 | -5% $618 | +0% $666 | +5% $715 | +10% $763 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $687 | -0.5pp $677 | base $666 | +0.5pp $656 | +1.0pp $646 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Wright St Unit Na McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,175 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 907 Chartiers Ave Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 705 Russellwood Ave Apt 1 McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,549 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 614 Woodward Ave McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 8d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1126 Dohrman St Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1124a Dohrman St McKees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 214 Erwin Pl Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,685 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 27 Rudolph St Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 71 McKinnie Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 915 Woodward Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,399 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 27 Highland Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,425 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 933 Woodward Ave Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 933 Woodward Ave Unit NA McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 802 13th St Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $920 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 178 W Prospect Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $975 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 148 W Prospect Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $875 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 10 Highland Dr Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 29 E Prospect Ave Unit 2 Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 14 Wynne Ave Unit 2 Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 10 Leslie St Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,475 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $40,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $40,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$40,000 Active
-
2025-08-30historical $1,045
-
2025-08-15$1,045
-
2017-02-03soldstatus $12,000
-
2015-03-09soldstatus $14,500
-
1990-09-21soldstatus $16,000
-
1989-04-28soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $848 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $848 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,636
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$848
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,171
- − Management
- −$1,171
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $7,842
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,882
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,116/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sto-Rox SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222830
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,268
- Composite
- 8.51/100
- National rank
- #9904
- State rank
- #532 of 539 in PA
Livability — McKees Rocks
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #1154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McKees Rocks, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 22,623
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,623
- Household income
- $69,099
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 768.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.07%
- Current HPI
- 244.6934
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.12%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+300.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $40,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-08-30 Rental Removed $1,045 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-08-15 Listed for Rent $1,045 SHOWMOJO
- 2017-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 2015-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
- 1990-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 1989-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $848 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…