650 Clairmont Dr · East Altoona, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$52,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CAMELOT WOODS. Spacious 2000 double wide home offers 3 bedrooms 2 full baths. Well maintained, fairly new paint, new stove, new roof. Open floor plan with eat-in kitchen. Primary bedroom offers walk in closet and full bath with shower and garden tub! 2 additional bedrooms with plenty of room and full bath.
Key facts
- Built 2000
- Listed 9 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $406 monthly fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Manufactured home; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Has heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Skylights
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $53k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $53k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.81%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $251,888
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 656 Clairmont Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-4%) | 12mo | $33,000 | $24 | 82 |
| 1652 Saint Francis Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (-4%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $183 | 73 |
| 153 Ore Hill Rd | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,324 (-9%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $174 | 57 |
| 1500 N 4th Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (-9%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $114 | 51 |
| 1224 N 5th Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,287 (-12%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $85 | 42 |
| 1644 Edinboro Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,651 (+13%) | 13mo | $285,000 | $173 | 35 |
| 1631 Saint Francis Ln | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 | 1,248 (-14%) | 23mo | $244,900 | $196 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $2,548
- Equity at exit
- $7,888
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $17,281
- Equity at exit
- $4,574
Cash invested: $14,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16601
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,192 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$277
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$66 /mo · $794/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$406
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $170
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $207 | -5% $189 | +0% $170 | +5% $152 | +10% $134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $76 | -5% $123 | +0% $170 | +5% $217 | +10% $265 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $197 | -0.5pp $184 | base $170 | +0.5pp $157 | +1.0pp $143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,225
- Closing costs
- $1,587
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124 Clairmont Dr Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1101 E Walton Ave Altoona, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,605 | $1.65 | 44d | 9 | 1.24mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $406 · $4,872/yr
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-19status $52,900 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $52,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $52,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $52,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $52,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $52,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $52,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10$52,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 491-char remark
-
2026-06-09$52,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,309
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,963
- − Property taxes
- −$794
- − Insurance
- −$264
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,145
- − Management
- −$1,145
- − HOA
- −$4,872
- − Depreciation
- −$1,539
- Taxable income
- $1,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$381
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,664/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
The home requires significant interior and exterior updates, including painting, flooring replacement, and landscaping, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Cluttered and in need of cleaning
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Cluttered and in need of cleaning
- Major Exterior siding — Weathered and in need of repainting
- Major Flooring — Worn and in need of replacement
- Major Interior walls — Dingy and in need of painting
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and in need of trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace worn flooring — New flooring improves living space and adds value
- Both Trim and landscape exterior — Neat landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Cluttered and in need of cleaning | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Cluttered and in need of cleaning | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Weathered and in need of repainting | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Worn and in need of replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls · Dingy and in need of painting | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown and in need of trimming | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace worn flooring — New flooring improves living space and adds value ↑
- Both Trim and landscape exterior — Neat landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Altoona Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202340
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,465
- Composite
- 30.85/100
- National rank
- #6130
- State rank
- #406 of 539 in PA
Livability — East Altoona
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Altoona, PA
- County
- Blair County · 59,867 people
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,515
- Household income
- $58,070
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 715.0
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.97%
- Current HPI
- 183.9907
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-11.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $52,900 AHARMLS
- 2025-04-07 Sold (MLS) $35,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-03-01 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2025-02-18 Listed $39,900 AHARMLS
- 2010-05-26 Sold (MLS) $35,000 AHARMLS
- 2010-02-13 Listed $42,000 AHARMLS
- 2003-04-23 Listed $59,900 AHARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…