204 S York Ave · Oberlin, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$52,400
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Full basement
- New roof
- Spacious living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 50 x 120 (0.14 acres); Zoning: NC.1 / R-1
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Full concrete basement
- Exterior features: Patio; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Interior features: Disposal; Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Full concrete basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#202 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Oberlin (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #125 of 280 in KS (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Decatur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($362 loan paydown + $698 appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Decatur County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $52k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.57%
- DSCR
- 3.03
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $37,342
- Equity at exit
- $18,798
- IRR
- 50.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.08×
- Total profit
- $89,194
- Equity at exit
- $25,699
Cash invested: $14,672 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67749
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,164 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$275
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$66 /mo · $786/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $557
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,100
- Closing costs
- $1,572
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $52,400 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $52,400 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $52,400 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $52,400 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $52,400 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $52,400 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $52,400 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $52,400 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $52,400 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $52,400 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $52,400 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $52,400 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $52,400 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,400 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,400 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-03-12$52,400 Active
-
2006-05-01soldstatus $25,000
-
2006-05-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,965
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,935
- − Property taxes
- −$786
- − Insurance
- −$262
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,117
- − Management
- −$1,117
- − Depreciation
- −$1,524
- Taxable income
- $6,223
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,493
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oberlin
- NCES district ID
- 2010080
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,048
- Composite
- 31.92/100
- National rank
- #11052
- State rank
- #125 of 280 in KS
Livability — Oberlin
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #9113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oberlin, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,152
Population outlook (Decatur County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,798 people
- By 2030
- 2,738 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 2,643 · -5.5%
- By 2050
- 2,583 · -7.7%
- By 2075
- 2,841 · +1.5%
- By 2100
- 2,662 · -4.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Decatur
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.0) · D 14.8% · R 83.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -54.6pp · 2024: -69.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.0 2020: R+70.2 2016: R+71.4 2012: R+62.2 2008: R+54.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Current HPI
- 165.9428
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+109.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $52,400 Hays MLS
- 2006-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…