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167 Commerce St
B Composite 70.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$110,000

167 Commerce St · Crawfordville, GA 30631
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,858 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1936 8,712 sqft lot $59/sqft · 17% below area Est $132k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming Opportunity in the Heart of Taliaferro County! Welcome to 167 Commerce St., a 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with so much potential. Featuring hardwood floors and spacious rooms, this property offers classic character ready to be refreshed. With a little love and updating, this house could be transformed into a beautiful home for years to come. Conveniently located near the heart of town, this property is perfect for anyone looking to invest in a great space and make it their own.

Key facts

  • Spacious rooms
  • Cozy fireplace
  • Classic character

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSCOZY FIREPLACESPACIOUS ROOMSCLASSIC CHARACTERHEART OF TOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#492 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Taliaferro County (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #175 of 187 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Taliaferro County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $110k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.74%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$132,094
List price
$110,000
Delta
-16.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
166 Commerce St 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,807 (-3%) 20mo $62,000 $34 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$30,783
Equity at exit
$49,461
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$84,964
Equity at exit
$76,225

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30631

Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,223 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $818/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$276

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on marketlisting id $110,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 276 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 275 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 273 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 271 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 270 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 269 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 268 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 267 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    historical
  15. 2025-09-26
    price $110,000 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Charming Opportunity in the Heart of Taliaferro County! Welcome to 167 Commerce St., a 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with so much potential. Featuring hardwood floors and spacious rooms, this property offers classic character ready to be refreshed. With a little love and updating, this house could be transformed into a beautiful home for years to come. Conveniently located near the heart of town, this property is perfect for anyone looking to invest in a great space and make it their own.

  16. 2025-09-05
    listed $110,000 Active
  17. 2025-09-05
    listed $110,000 Active
  18. 2025-09-02
    listed $129,000 New 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Charming Opportunity in the Heart of Taliaferro County! Welcome to 167 Commerce St., a 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with so much potential. Featuring hardwood floors and spacious rooms, this property offers classic character ready to be refreshed. With a little love and updating, this house could be transformed into a beautiful home for years to come. Conveniently located near the heart of town, this property is perfect for anyone looking to invest in a great space and make it their own.

  19. 2004-12-01
    soldstatus $69,910

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$818 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,012 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$194/yr (+$16/mo · 23.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,681
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$818
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,174
− Management
−$1,174
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$1,602
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$385
After-tax cash flow
$2,923/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Taliaferro County
NCES district ID
1304680
Math proficiency
10% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$27,500
Composite
17.01/100
National rank
#14191
State rank
#175 of 187 in GA

Livability — Crawfordville

Score
56/100
State rank
#492
US rank
#22716

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crawfordville, GA
Population (ZIP)
1,927

Population outlook (Taliaferro County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,506 people
By 2030
1,402 · -6.9%
By 2040
1,164 · -22.7%
By 2050
965 · -35.9%
By 2075
628 · -58.3%
By 2100
416 · -72.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 47% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Taliaferro

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.4% · R 42.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.8pp toward R · 2008: 30.7pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+21.9 2012: D+32.8 2008: D+30.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+57.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $110,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $110,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $110,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-02 Listed $129,000 GAMLS
  • 2004-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $69,910 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $818 · +32.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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