167 Commerce St · Crawfordville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Opportunity in the Heart of Taliaferro County! Welcome to 167 Commerce St., a 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with so much potential. Featuring hardwood floors and spacious rooms, this property offers classic character ready to be refreshed. With a little love and updating, this house could be transformed into a beautiful home for years to come. Conveniently located near the heart of town, this property is perfect for anyone looking to invest in a great space and make it their own.
Key facts
- Spacious rooms
- Cozy fireplace
- Classic character
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#492 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Taliaferro County (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #175 of 187 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Taliaferro County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $110k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.74%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,094
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -16.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166 Commerce St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,807 (-3%) | 20mo | $62,000 | $34 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $30,783
- Equity at exit
- $49,461
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $84,964
- Equity at exit
- $76,225
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30631
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,223 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $818/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $276
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2025-09-26price $110,000 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Charming Opportunity in the Heart of Taliaferro County! Welcome to 167 Commerce St., a 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with so much potential. Featuring hardwood floors and spacious rooms, this property offers classic character ready to be refreshed. With a little love and updating, this house could be transformed into a beautiful home for years to come. Conveniently located near the heart of town, this property is perfect for anyone looking to invest in a great space and make it their own.
-
2025-09-05$110,000 Active
-
2025-09-05$110,000 Active
-
2025-09-02$129,000 New 487-char remark
Show marketing remark (487 chars)
Charming Opportunity in the Heart of Taliaferro County! Welcome to 167 Commerce St., a 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with so much potential. Featuring hardwood floors and spacious rooms, this property offers classic character ready to be refreshed. With a little love and updating, this house could be transformed into a beautiful home for years to come. Conveniently located near the heart of town, this property is perfect for anyone looking to invest in a great space and make it their own.
-
2004-12-01soldstatus $69,910
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $818 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,012 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$194/yr (+$16/mo · 23.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$818
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,174
- − Management
- −$1,174
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,602
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$385
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,923/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Taliaferro County
- NCES district ID
- 1304680
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,500
- Composite
- 17.01/100
- National rank
- #14191
- State rank
- #175 of 187 in GA
Livability — Crawfordville
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #492
- US rank
- #22716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crawfordville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,927
Population outlook (Taliaferro County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,506 people
- By 2030
- 1,402 · -6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,164 · -22.7%
- By 2050
- 965 · -35.9%
- By 2075
- 628 · -58.3%
- By 2100
- 416 · -72.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Taliaferro
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.4% · R 42.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.8pp toward R · 2008: 30.7pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+21.9 2012: D+32.8 2008: D+30.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+57.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $110,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-05 Listed $110,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-05 Listed $110,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-02 Listed $129,000 GAMLS
- 2004-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $69,910 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $818 · +32.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…