400 N Hickory · Valley Center, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1974
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 3-car garage
- Utilities: Public utilities
- Home design: Bi-level home; Single-family onsite built
- Construction: Composition roof; Partial foundation; No egress windows in foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric cooling; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Finished basement; Microwave; Range
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($339/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (12.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#180 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Valley Center Pub Schools (suburban): math 30% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #57 of 169 in KS (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Elem (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #228 of 684 statewide, top 38%, 287 students, 47% FRL); Valley Center Middle School (math 23% / reading 28%, grade F, #104 of 219 statewide, top 49%, 761 students, 42% FRL); Valley Center High (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #165 of 327 statewide, top 55%, 995 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,613 units permitted in Sedgwick County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sedgwick County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.64%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-28,985
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-22,904
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67147
- Home prices YoY
- -16.1%
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,657 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,461/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $28
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $136 | -5% $82 | +0% $28 | +5% $-26 | +10% $-79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-103 | -5% $-37 | +0% $28 | +5% $94 | +10% $159 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $124 | -0.5pp $77 | base $28 | +0.5pp $-21 | +1.0pp $-71 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 W 3rd St Valley Center, KS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $1,900 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 635 N Redbud Ave Valley Center, KS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,495 | $1.37 | 14d | 3 | 0.38mi |
| 300 E Ford St Valley Center, KS | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-06$190,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,461 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,679 · $223/mo
- Expected delta
- +$218/yr (+$18/mo · 8.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,881
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,461
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,590
- − Management
- −$1,590
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$2,881
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$691
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valley Center Pub Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2012510
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,689
- Composite
- 30.68/100
- National rank
- #6178
- State rank
- #57 of 169 in KS
Livability — Valley Center
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #180
- US rank
- #8258
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Valley Center, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,193
Population outlook (Sedgwick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 537,014 people
- By 2030
- 546,984 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 559,141 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 562,027 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 557,255 · +3.8%
- By 2100
- 513,383 · -4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sedgwick
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 42.3% · R 56.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.1pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.6 2016: R+19.1 2012: R+19.7 2008: R+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.24%
- Current HPI
- 251.9475
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed $190,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,461 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…