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400 N Hickory
D Composite 41.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

400 N Hickory · Valley Center, KS 67147
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,265 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1974 0.36 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.36 acre lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 1974

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 3-car garage
  • Utilities: Public utilities
  • Home design: Bi-level home; Single-family onsite built
  • Construction: Composition roof; Partial foundation; No egress windows in foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric cooling; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Microwave; Range
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($339/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (12.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#180 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Valley Center Pub Schools (suburban): math 30% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #57 of 169 in KS (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Elem (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #228 of 684 statewide, top 38%, 287 students, 47% FRL); Valley Center Middle School (math 23% / reading 28%, grade F, #104 of 219 statewide, top 49%, 761 students, 42% FRL); Valley Center High (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #165 of 327 statewide, top 55%, 995 students, 34% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,613 units permitted in Sedgwick County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sedgwick County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,675 (12.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.64%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-28,985
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-22,904
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67147

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Active inventory
240
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,657 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$205 /mo · $2,461/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,621
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $82 +0% $28 +5% $-26 +10% $-79
Rent -10% $-103 -5% $-37 +0% $28 +5% $94 +10% $159
Rate -1.0pp $124 -0.5pp $77 base $28 +0.5pp $-21 +1.0pp $-71

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
225 W 3rd St Valley Center, KS 4.0 2.0 1759 $1,900 $1.08 14d 1 0.28mi
635 N Redbud Ave Valley Center, KS 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,495 $1.37 14d 3 0.38mi
300 E Ford St Valley Center, KS 2.0–3.0 2.0 1070 $1,350 $1.26 14d 1 0.97mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $190,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,461 · $205/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,679 · $223/mo
Expected delta
+$218/yr (+$18/mo · 8.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,881
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$2,461
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,590
− Management
−$1,590
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$2,881
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$691
After-tax cash flow
$1,030/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Valley Center Pub Schools
NCES district ID
2012510
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,689
Composite
30.68/100
National rank
#6178
State rank
#57 of 169 in KS

Livability — Valley Center

Score
69/100
State rank
#180
US rank
#8258

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Valley Center, KS
Population (ZIP)
11,193

Population outlook (Sedgwick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
537,014 people
By 2030
546,984 · +1.9%
By 2040
559,141 · +4.1%
By 2050
562,027 · +4.7%
By 2075
557,255 · +3.8%
By 2100
513,383 · -4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sedgwick

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 42.3% · R 56.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.1pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.6 2016: R+19.1 2012: R+19.7 2008: R+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.24%
Current HPI
251.9475
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $190,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,461 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…