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7 Gooseberry Dr
C+ Composite 61.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

7 Gooseberry Dr · Sun Valley, PA 18330
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured public records · 190 Days on market
Built 1990 7,405 sqft lot Est $98k · 27% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

REDUCED!! FULLY FURNISHED MOVE IN READY! Updated Mobile Home with Two Bedrooms opposite ends, Two Bathrooms, Eat In Stainless Kitchen, Dining Area, and Cozy Living Room. Enjoy a Private Fenced-in Backyard. MUST SEE! Call listing agent TODAY 570-269-3090

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1990

Tags

EAT IN STAINLESS KITCHENPRIVATE FENCED-IN BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $786 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,162 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pleasant Valley SD (rural): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #297 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $125k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
13.85%
Cash-on-cash
26.98%
DSCR
2.20
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$98,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
789 Toll Rd 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,036 (+6%) 18mo $103,900 $100 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$29,813
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
29.0%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$90,319
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18330

Home prices YoY
-7.4%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,959 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $654/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$786

Break-even live

Break-even rent $964
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $857 -5% $822 +0% $786 +5% $751 +10% $716
Rent -10% $632 -5% $709 +0% $786 +5% $864 +10% $941
Rate -1.0pp $849 -0.5pp $818 base $786 +0.5pp $754 +1.0pp $721

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,900 Active 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 186 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 184 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 183 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 181 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 180 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,900 Active 175 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 174 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 173 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 172 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 171 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 170 DOM
  18. 2026-04-02
    price $124,900 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    REDUCED!! FULLY FURNISHED MOVE IN READY! Updated Mobile Home with Two Bedrooms opposite ends, Two Bathrooms, Eat In Stainless Kitchen, Dining Area, and Cozy Living Room. Enjoy a Private Fenced-in Backyard. MUST SEE! Call listing agent TODAY 570-269-3090

  19. 2025-12-07
    listed $129,900 Active 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    REDUCED!! FULLY FURNISHED MOVE IN READY! Updated Mobile Home with Two Bedrooms opposite ends, Two Bathrooms, Eat In Stainless Kitchen, Dining Area, and Cozy Living Room. Enjoy a Private Fenced-in Backyard. MUST SEE! Call listing agent TODAY 570-269-3090

  20. 2025-02-06
    historical
  21. 2024-08-07
    listed $125,000 Active
  22. 2024-08-05
    listed $125,000 Active
  23. 2024-08-02
    historical
  24. 2024-07-18
    soldstatus $70,000
  25. 2024-07-12
    status Active
  26. 2024-07-12
    price $100,000
  27. 2024-06-21
    price $100,000
  28. 2024-05-09
    status Pending
  29. 2024-03-22
    listed $125,000 Active
  30. 2024-03-22
    listed $125,000 Active
  31. 2021-06-17
    soldstatus $65,000
  32. 2021-06-16
    soldstatus $65,000
  33. 2021-06-16
    soldstatus $65,000
  34. 2021-01-27
    listed $74,900
  35. 2021-01-27
    listed $74,900
  36. 2018-08-13
    soldstatus $27,000
  37. 2018-07-16
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$654 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,314 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$660/yr (+$55/mo · 101.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,512
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$654
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,881
− Management
−$1,881
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$7,842
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,882
After-tax cash flow
$7,554/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pleasant Valley SD
NCES district ID
4219290
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$61,593
Composite
37.18/100
National rank
#4476
State rank
#297 of 539 in PA

Livability — Sun Valley

Score
65/100
State rank
#1162
US rank
#13440

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sun Valley, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,586

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 14% Black 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.25%
Current HPI
165.6142
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+317.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $124,900 PMAR
  • 2025-12-07 Listed $129,900 PMAR
  • 2025-02-06 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2024-08-07 Listed $125,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-08-05 Listed $125,000 PMAR
  • 2024-08-02 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2024-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2024-07-12 Relisted PMAR
  • 2024-07-12 Price Changed $100,000 PMAR
  • 2024-06-21 Price Changed $100,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-05-09 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2024-03-22 Listed $125,000 PMAR
  • 2024-03-22 Listed $125,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2021-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2021-06-16 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2021-06-16 Sold (MLS) $65,000 PMAR
  • 2021-01-27 Listed $74,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2021-01-27 Listed $74,900 PMAR
  • 2018-08-13 Sold (MLS) $27,000 PMAR
  • 2018-07-16 Listed $29,900 PMAR

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $654 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…